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Jan 27th, 2020
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  1. Training Set Results:
  2. Overall accuracy (percentage of predictions that are correct) = 0.6578217821782179
  3. Count of True Positives (people detained who would have recidivated): 1312
  4. Count of True Negatives (people released who did not recidivate): 2010
  5. Count of False Positives (people detained who would not have recidivated): 755
  6. Count of False Negatives (people released who recidivated): 973
  7. Of those people detained, percentage who would not have recidivated = 0.3652636671504596
  8. Of those people released, percentage who recidivated = 0.32618169627891386
  9. Of those people who would not have recidivated, percentage detained = 0.2730560578661845
  10. Of those who would have recidivated, percentage released = 0.4258205689277899
  11.  
  12. Results for African-Americans in training set
  13. Overall accuracy (percentage of predictions that are correct) = 0.65143299767622
  14. Count of True Positives (people detained who would have recidivated): 864
  15. Count of True Negatives (people released who did not recidivate): 818
  16. Count of False Positives (people detained who would not have recidivated): 432
  17. Count of False Negatives (people released who recidivated): 468
  18. Of those people detained, percentage who would not have recidivated = 0.3333333333333333
  19. Of those people released, percentage who recidivated = 0.36391912908242613
  20. Of those people who would not have recidivated, percentage detained = 0.3456
  21. Of those who would have recidivated, percentage released = 0.35135135135135137
  22.  
  23. Results for Caucasians in training set
  24. Overall accuracy (percentage of predictions that are correct) = 0.6552524666279744
  25. Count of True Positives (people detained who would have recidivated): 331
  26. Count of True Negatives (people released who did not recidivate): 798
  27. Count of False Positives (people detained who would not have recidivated): 242
  28. Count of False Negatives (people released who recidivated): 352
  29. Of those people detained, percentage who would not have recidivated = 0.4223385689354276
  30. Of those people released, percentage who recidivated = 0.3060869565217391
  31. Of those people who would not have recidivated, percentage detained = 0.2326923076923077
  32. Of those who would have recidivated, percentage released = 0.5153733528550513
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