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- 0.3 = WIN
- 0.7*0.8 = LOSE
- 0.7*0.2*0.3 = WIN
- 0.7*0.2*0.7*0.8 = LOSE
- 0.7*0.2*0.7*0.2*0.3 = WIN
- 0.7*0.2*0.7*0.2*0.7*0.8 = LOSE
- Remainder: 34.8% to win (Thunderbolt spam)
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