Mudkip 10606 analysis

10606 | Hasty   7/20/23/21/15/31

Compared to a standard "runnable" Mudkip:

MAJOR DIFFERENCES
- Must fight Timmy to hit several Attack thresholds, mainly Rival 2's Grovyle
- Outspeed Rival 2's Grovyle without X Speed (saves a valuable turn and $350 in Petalburg)
- Outspeed Wattson's Magnemite without X Speed (eliminates Supersonic risk and potential heal before fight; can also X Speed past Voltorb)
- Outspeed CTB's Wingull
- Facade from Norman's first Slaking is a damage range to 2HKO (not a range if L30 or if Growl is used instead of X Defend)
	> Work around this by switching to a slave that has Growl on turn 1. If Facade, slave dies, so bring in Marshtomp and use Growl on loafing turn (so keep Growl, not Mud-Slap). If Yawn, have the slave use Growl on the loafing turn, then let it die and bring in Marshtomp and start setting up on the next loafing turn. This strat makes the X Defend unnecessary, although it may still be worth the investment (Slaking does like 25 damage after Growl+X Defend).
- Outspeed T&L

MINOR DIFFERENCES
- Outspeed Calvin's Zig
- Do less damage to Calvin's Zig at -1
- Damage range on first museum Carvanha (can eliminate with early Soft Sand)
- Damage range on museum Zubat (irrelevant if in Torrent)
- Outspeed Vivian's Meditite and always 2HKO with WG+MS (so lead with WG to save 3 seconds of speedfall text)
- Less damage on all of Norman's pokes
- Must use third X Attack on Rival 3 (extra turn, but can Strength Wailmer)
- Outspeed Doduo
- Outspeed Matt's Sharpedo
- Damage range on Matt's Sharpedo

VERY MINOR DIFFERENCES
- Have to Mud Shot Brawly's Makuhita
- Speedtie the X Speed Delcatty at L28 (probably worth fighting instead of X Acc Delcatty)
- Outspeed Zangoose at L29 (since MS x2 won't kill anyway, just Strength+WG+Strength to save speedfall text)
- Damage range on first Mt. Pyre Zubat (irrelevant if in Torrent)
- Speedtie Winona's Altaria
- Outspeed Archie 2's Crobat at +1 with Carbos

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Test run notes (11/1)
- 30-36 grovyle
- persims when? prob early
- just risk golbat heal range. would be 1 extra turn, 1 extra strength pp, much less risk
- get repel to wear off AFTER timmy
- early brawly?
- which delcatty?
- early bed? really nice for PP (still good on surfs), and should be no loss except hp manip for mightyena (but you alleviate risk of missing carvanhas)
- use +2 spec strat on winona (means 12 x atk is fine, although might want 9 spec)
- wingull b/c ultra ball chance?
- use desert candy after delcatty (timmy makes you 29. minor time loss on machop, 27 delcatty/29 linoone is a wash, then 33 for rival 3, save a turn with x attack x2, makes early bed easier, fewer tentacools, guarantee pyre zubats, then experience returns to normal in fortree gym
- can replenish full heals in mossdeep (so 3-4 heal powders should be ok)
- need 3 speed IVs for crobat (otherwise tie)
- 2 potions, 5 supers for winona/T&L/archie torrent manip
- carbos + x speed on winona? also can fight x speed delcatty and outspeed crobat at +1

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Shopping notes 11/2

fortree shopping (post-mt. pyre): 11 super repels, 4 super potions, 3 hyper potions, 1 revive
> get early potions for manip since you'll have plenty of supers (prob 2/5 in slateport)
> 0 4 11 8 12 1 2 || herb shop 5 5
	- 2 extra x speed for kyogre rather than 1
	- 2 extra x spec from these standard uses:
		> winona
		> winona
		> archie 2
		> archie 2
		> wallace
		> glacia
		> glacia
		> glacia
		> champ

23-52 after winona
no damage on matt
52-87 for xatu
15-87 for T&L

SKIP ETHER, then X Attack on Winona

probably skip carbos (can't use on delcatty anyway + you get altaria most of the time anyway + crobat speedtie can be worked around, maybe x speed twice because you often need to stall)

winona if at very high health (rare): x speed, x attack, x spec (skip if in torrent), surf, strength x2, surf, strength x2
(you want to give swellow more turns to increase chance of going below <50% so pelipper doesn't use supersonic. also can guarantee skarmory range if you get torrent from pelipper)

7 super repels loses 5.5s to 6 max repels. other downsides: fewer revives, harder to skip E4 center

main benefits:
- never have to sell overheat
- never run out of healing items
- late-game supers for torrent manip
- always get enough x spec and speed for kyogre
- always get x attack for winona
- can x speed on winona
- can x spec on shelly
- can x spec x3 on archie 2