Pokemon FRLG Tourney Predictions

I deleted my Red predictions paste after I got eliminated, but I think I'll maintain and keep this one regardless of whether/when I get eliminated.

Finals

	Pickle, Kurddt, Pinkish
	What a banger for the finals! I've been riding the "pickle wins" train to a tie for first in pick 'ems, so I ain't stopping. All six permutations are quite likely, and that's just what I'd want for the finals.

Round 4

Only winners advance, low quantity of matchups, but oh boy oh boy do they have some high quality.

1.	Pickle	MachWing	Pokeguy
	The most volatile of the three matchups, since I don't really know what to do with this one, I'm going with pot order. All six permutations make sense in my head.
	Pickle, MW, Pokeguy

2.	Shiru	Ananan	Pinkish
	They're all really good, Shiru has really shown up both rounds so far, so I'll pick him.
	Shiru, Ananan, Pinkish

3.	Kurddt	Snorms	Juanly
	Kurddt and Snorms both really impressed me with their times last round, so credits to them. I think it's enough for me to pick Kurddt over a Juanly that I expected to dominate this tournament, but hasn't yet.
	Kurddt, Juanly, Snorms

Round 3

Advancement is only the top 3 second place finishers this round.

1. Kukker	Kurddt	Roushmore
	Should be pot order, Kurddt should have a decent shot at semis, but I'll predict he falls short of whoever who gets second in race 5
	Kukker, Kurddt, Roush

2. Pinkish	Leaf	Snorms
	Pinkish is way better than the other two. Don't have any good guess for who gets second, so I'll just go with pot order. Only one advances from this race.
	Pinkish, Leaf, Snorms

3. Shiru	Headbob	Amoeba
	Amoeba is picking himself to advance, so is he up to something? For now I'll guess no and stick to pot order. Headbob probably contends for advancement as well, but much like Kurddt I'll guess he falls short of the folks in race 5.
	Shiru, Headbob, Amoeba

4. Pokeguy	Pickle	Guillem
	I really want Pickle to win this one, and I think he can. Won't be bold enough to say Pokeguy won't advance, however.
	Pickle, Pokeguy, Guillem

5. Iron	Juanly	MachWing
	Despite his pre-tournament dominance, Juanly has had some really really cursed races. That won't happen twice in a row. (Right?) Also, Iron and MW back at it again with the hailless battle, Iron won the last bout so I'll go with MW this round
	Juanly, MW, Iron

6. Thunder	Ananan	Kadir
	Kadir's run ends here unfortunately. Honestly I don't have a guess as to who wins this, so I'll go with general track record and predict Ananan but still advance Thunder on time
	Ananan, Thunder, Kadir

Predictions
Pot 1: Shiru, Juanly, Kukker
Pot 2: Pinkish, Ananan, Pickle
Pot 3: Pokeguy, Thunder, MachWing

Round 2

Simpler for advancement and seeding, all winners seeded higher than 2nd places, all 2nd places and no 3rd places advance. 4/20 - Lots of wording changes to my "analysis"

1. Ananan	Pokeguy	Viroda
	Pokeguy does better this time around, but Ananan is still better. RIP Viroda
	Ananan, Pokeguy, Viroda

2. Juanly	Roush	Blake
	Juanly is on a different level than the other two, I think Roush will beat Blake
	Juanly, Roush, Blake

3. MachWing	Iron	Sheltie
	MW is the better runner and racer, but Iron gets hailless. I'll stick to pot order for this one, but this should be a close one.
	EDIT: Sheltie is in this race now with Danyal dropping, unfortunately for her MW and Iron are high/high-mid tier racers so my prediction stays the same
	MW, Iron, Sheltie

4. Kukker	Headbob	Odden
	I'm gonna pick Kukker this time for once, he plays too risky for my level of comfort but I can't deny he is really good at the game. Not to mention Headbob was totally out of form in round 1. Volatile enough of a matchup that I'm not comfortable with any prediction here
	Kukker, Headbob, Odden

5. Shiru	JP		Pickle
	First race for Shiru, but he's been doing enough R2 that he won't run it down. Pickle is by far the top Pot 3 racer, and he should beat JP out for advancement and challenge Shiru for first. Gonna be the best race in this round.
	Shiru, Pickle, JP

6. KR		Leaf	Kadir
	Definitely winnable for all three racers, so uh... I'll go with pot order I guess?
	KR, Leaf, Kadir

7. Thunder	Snorms	Qpalz
	Probably just pot order, this prediction relies on Thunder repeating (or even beating) his round 1 performance.
	Thunder, Snorms, Qpalz

8. Randalle	Pinkish	Guillem
	frick
	Pinkish, Randalle, Guillem

9. Kurddt	Amoeba	Asmo
	Two top-tier Emerald runners advance. Amoeba running Char might give Asmo a decent chance at advancing, though I gotta pay my respects to Char race WR holder now. (Holy moly my round 1 race was too close for comfort even after going back to Squirt)
	Kurddt, Amoeba, Asmo

Actual
Winners: Pokeguy, Juanly, Iron, Kukker, Shiru, Leaf, Thunder, Pinkish, Kurddt
Pot 1: Kukker, Shiru, Pokeguy, Thunder, Pinkish, Irondre
Pot 2: Kurddt, Juanlyways, Leaf27, Pickleplop, Ananan, Headbob
Pot 3: Guillem, MachWing, Snorms, Roushmore, Amoeba, Kadir
How did I do? (Not well) 6/9 winners (8/12 if counting Thunder) 16/18 advancement not bothering to check pots but I was way off

Round 1

This round all winners are seeded higher than the others, 2nd and 3rd places are in a time battle.

0. Shiru
	Shiru is GOD GAMER

1. Irondre_	Danyal	blaketurnertron
	Iron is the best of the runners in this race. I know Blake has been learning the game these last few weeks, and he's done good stuff in other games. Sad as his luck has been so far, I don't think I'd count on him to die to 15/16 VR ranges, so I'll pick him to get second and advance.
	Iron, Blake, Danyal

2. Machwing	ceegs	LoveSickHero
	Machwing is the best of the three. He wins, not sure if I trust either of ceegs or LSH to advance, but I know both have been learning the game recently. In LSH's case, he gets held back by the fact that he runs the fire lizard, unfortunately.
	Mach, ceegs, LSH

3. Juanlyways	Qpalz	Its_shmo
	Juanly has been the best racer the last month, he wins handily. I'll give it to qpalz to take second and probably advance on time.
	Juanly, qpalz, shmo

4. Thunder_147_
	Unfortunately, both Leaf and Zenaga dropped. That makes it easy on me though, I don't need to worry about picking this race anymore. Adding ceegs from race #2 to advance as Leaf's replacement in my predictions.

5. Pokeguy	Kidrocker96	TecTecTecTec
	This race could get interesting for all the wrong reasons, but I think it'll ultimately be a fairly normal result.
	Pokeguy, Kidrocker, Tec x4

6. randalleatscheese	AmoebaUK	xxshuzoxx
	Amoeba and I have handshook on both going with Charmander in Round 1. (Obviously for him, that's what he would run regardless, but still.) Unfortunately for me, he is the better Char runner, so I'll pick him over myself. That being said, I still have enough ego to pick myself to advance by time :) NOTE: I will be honest and say I'm already considering going back on my word. Won't do that quite yet, but if I do, I'm so switching this prediction to myself.
	amoeba, me, shuzo

7. Kurddt	Pickleplop
	Amazing 1v1. Picking pickle cuz he's one of the best racers, period. Kurddt advances on time easily because he's a great Gen 3 runner.
	pickle, kurddt

8. KukkerTM	PinkishPrincess	Kadir61plays
	This one's gonna be great, and it might get the best time for Round 1. And regardless of whether it does it'll be the fastest heat overall. I would personally place PP in the top tier of racers right now, and he's only gonna improve by race time. Kukker has been killing it on WR attempts, but I'll go with PP on this one. All three advance on time, because I know Kadir has been learning and doing really well already.
	PP, Kukker, Kadir

9. Ananan	Roushmore	Fsu_Pyscho
	All I know is Ananan is the best of these three racers. With absolutely no other clue, let's say Roush advances?
	Ananan, Roush, Psycho

10. JP_Xinnam	Guillemcuatel	Asmodemus
	JP is easily the best of these three, even if he lays an egg or dies a bunch. Not sure if the others advance.
	JP, Guillemcuatel, Asmodemus

11. Headbob	OddenBjornsen	Kapital
	Headbob is the best of these three. I'll take Kapital over Odden, but I think there's a good chance that won't eliminate Odden.
	Headbob, Kapital, Odden

12. Snorms	SheltieSci	Viroda
	Wouldn't be surprised if Viroda wins this one, but I'll stick with the veteran snorms. As far as I can tell, both of them will advance anyways, and Sheltie sneaks in because she's been hard at work learning this game for the last month.
	Snorms, Viroda, Sheltie

Predictions
Advancing to Round 2 (not sorted): Shiru (bye), Iron, Mach, Juanly, Thunder, Pokeguy, amoeba, pickle, Pinkish, Ananan, JP, Headbob, Snorms, Blake, qpalz, Leaf, Kidrocker, me, kurddt, Kukker, Kadir, Roush, Kapital, Viroda, Danyal, Sheltie, Odden
Challenging myself to pick pots in my boredom, this won't matter much but why the heck not. (also not sorted cuz that's way too hard)
Pot 1: Shiru, Thunder, Juanly, pickle, Pinkish, Mach, Pokeguy, Ananan, Headbob
Pot 2: JP, Iron, Amoeba, Snorms, Kukker, Kurddt, Kadir, Viroda, Roush
Pot 3: Kapital, Me, Blake, KR, Danyal, Sheltie, Odden, qpalz, ceegs

Actual
Winners: (Shiru), Kukker, Ananan, Thunder, Juanly, me, Kidrocker, Mach, Kurddt, Snorms, JP, Iron, Headbob
Pot 1: Shiru666, Kukker, Ananan, Thunder_147_, Juanly, Randalle, Kidrocker96, MachWing, kurddt
Pot 2: Snorms, JP Xinnam, Irondre_, Headbob, Pinkish, Leaf, Roushmore, Amoeba, Pokeguy
Pot 3: pickleplop, Kadir, Viroda, Qpalz, Odden, Blaketurnertron, Guillemcuatel, Asmodemus, Danyal (if Leaf hadn't returned Sheltie would've made the cut)
How did I do? (Not well) 7/11 winners (8/12 if counting Thunder) 25/27 advancement not bothering to check pots but I was way off