nathan peterman

In the last three seasons, Peterman has a TD% of 2.3%. However, the league average last year was 4.8%. If you adjust his TD% to 50%, above mahomes's 6.9, he goes from throwing 3 TDs in his last 8 games to 65 . I'll be generous and give him 66.

Now, let's adjust his passer rating. It goes from 32.5 to only 158.3 by just adjusting his TD% to greatly above average. Later on, I will adjust it further to take yards into account.

Next, we have to account for him less more than league average. He has 130 pass attempts over 8 games. The LA is 35.5/game, So we will round up to 50 passes per game. Peterman also has a flukey 4.2 Y/A, which can be adjusted to 15 (way above LA) based on the league average of 7.5.

So we can estimate that over a 16 game season, his adjusted yardage is: 50( attempts per game ) x 15 ( 15 yards per attempt ) x 16 (games) = 12000 yards in a 16 game season

Now, I will adjust his passer rating again based on these 16 game stats

12000 yards  800 attempts  800 completions (also adjusted)
After this, his passer rating bottoms out at 158..3, which lands him squarely as the greatest qb last year.

His final 16 game adjusted stats:

12000 yards / 800 ATT / 800 CMP / 100% CMP (better) / 400 TD / 0 INT (better) / 50 Y/A / 158.3 RATE
What does this tell us?

It tells us that Petermans perceived lack of success in the league is largely inflated by unsustainable, wildly outlier stats in his 18 games as perceived poor talent. When you adjust for the future by bringing up his outlier stats, he trends heavily towards being an elite nfl QB of 2019 memedom

(plz no delete mods this took time)