7/4/24- 7/8/24 Ukrainian General Update LanguageLearner

7/5/24-7/8/24 Update, day 862-865 of Russian invasion.


Belarus/Western Border:

Belarus continues to host Wagner group instructors for its military forces.

Starting July 17th, UA will require military registration documents for all male  citizens between 18-60 if crossing the border.

HU PM Viktor Orban visited Moscow for talks with Putin, drawing widespread condemnnation from UA representatives.

On July 5, the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, Moldova and Romania signed a joint statement on solidarity and a memorandum on countering disinformation. The countries will also help Ukraine's energy sector.

The meeting between Tusk and Zelensky began in Warsaw



Kyiv/Central Ukraine:

On July 5th, UA intercepted 32/32 RU shaheds. On July 6th, UA intercepted 24/27 shaheds. On July 7th,UA intercepted 13/13 shaheds and 0/2 iskanders.

RU launched 38 missiles of various kinds across UA today, costing some $200-250 million USD. UA intercepted 30/38. 3 Transformer substations in Kyiv were heavily damaged.

33 people have been killed and 140 have been injured in the RU missile attack across UA today. 22 were killed in kyiv, and 11 in Dnipro Oblast. The strike near Okhmatdyt children's hospital damaged the children's dialysis ward, and a mass recovery effort is ongoing with large quantities of volunteers.

2 bodies are expected to be recovered from the rubble, there were no child fatalities at the hospital. 600 patients were evacuated from the hospital following the strike.

5 doctors and 2 patients were killed elsewhere in Kyiv when a medical center was hit by missile debris. Another maternity hospital was likewise damaged.

The 3rd Patriot air defense complex arrived in UA from Germany

In Kyiv, energy companies restored two-thirds of their generating capacity after recent RU missile attacks. EU modernization and decentralization of power infrastructure is likewise ongoing.

A UA civilian hang glider took off in Kyiv on the 5th, prompting an air alert.

Dnipro city finally dismantled the debris from a high rise damaged by missiles on June 28th, removing some 2000 tons of debris.

From July 1st-7th, RU used over 600 glide bombs, 60 shaheds, and 40 rockets.


Northeast Ukraine/Kharkiv city:

RU struck the Sumy region energy infrastructure on the 6th, with energy broadly restored by the next morning. An ongoing heat wave and humid weather have most locals venturing to local rivers and lakes for relief.

RU fired ballistic missiles into NE Sumy overnight.

RU continues to launch heavy strikes, including copious glide bombs, into the NE Kharkiv region. UA forces have advanced near Hlyboke, N of Lyptsi. Skirmishes continue in Vovchansk, with no noted RU gain in several days, as UA has recontested new territory in the NE of Vovchansk.

RU continues to heavily utilize airstrikes to the NE of Vovchansk in an attempt to push further around the city. Meanwhile UA drone strikes deeper inside RU proper have targeted long range artillery platforms and air defense systems.

RU is reportedly withdrawing some depleted forces from the Vovchansk area, following increased UA strikes on staging areas inside RU. UA additionally struck two SAM systems in Belgorod.

A civilian vehicle ran over an RU mine on a dirt road in the Kharkiv region, killing a family of 4.


Kupyansk/Lyman:

RU has continued efforts to push towards Synkivka, launching heavy MLRS strikes on the forest belt. UA has contested additional territory to the N of Lyman.


Kramatorsk/Bakhmut:

RU is broadly concentrating infantry in the forests north of Kanal, as Kalinina has become a major spot of fighting.

RU has reportedly lost approximately 5000 troops taking the Kanal microdistrict, with several hundred artillery barrages per day, as this remains the primary direction of the RU efforts.

RU is redoubling its efforts towards Toretsk, after a successful breakthrough of local Territorial defense units  last week. Currently RU is seeking to expand its gains around the city, with heavy "meat assaults" leading to conspicuous RU losses. RU is supporting these efforts with copious glide bomb activity.

RU continues to push to New-York and E Toretsk, aided by thermobaric strikes.


Avdiivka/Pokrovsk:

RU continues to focus on this area, with the bulk of RU losses in this region. RU advancement W of Ocheretyne near Sokil continue to progress along the main periphery of the highway leading into Avdiivka.



Donetsk city/Occupied regions:

RU launched 20 assaults to the NW and SW of Marinka, including further contesting central Krasnohorivka and broadly assaulting from the industrial southern portion into the residential N.

UA shot down an RU SU-25 in recent days near Pokrovsk.

Fierce fighting in Krasnohorivka in recent days.

RU has intensified its operations towards Krasnohorivka, launching 80 kamikaze UAVs and 640 other drone attacks over 3 days.

Pregnant women in the occupied territories are reportedly denied medical assistance for delivery, unless they accept an RU passport. Such activity would also make her child a "russian citizen"



Zaporizhia/Southern Axis:

RU continues efforts to push around Robotyne, attacking along the NE fields.

RU has increased its volume of airstrikes towards Orikhiv, and is reportedly heavily relying on such airstrikes to advance.

The Russians exported more than 80,000 tons of Ukrainian grain from the temporarily occupied Donetsk region. This is a new batch of this year's grain harvest.




Kherso

RU launched 3 assaults on the UA bridgehead at Krynky. UA has allegedly gained some advantages in its operations here recently, although whether that is on the ground or aerial front is unspecified.

Heavy fire damage across the Dnipro river area has affected

UA reportedly has an advantage in drone activity over the Dnipro currently.

The situation in the Dnipro islands is hellish, from close contacts there. Soldiers plunge to their depths with a missed step off a boat, weighed down by armor. The drowned bodies wash up into icebergs and are looted for anything of value, as drones buzz overhead and tanks snipe from the shoreline. On top of this, an assumed cholera epidemic has hit RU soldiers on some of the islands, as they are prevented from evacuating by UA drone strikes.

RU continues to shell civilian villages and rescue workers across the Dnipro, killing a man in Odradoamyanka


Odessa/Black Sea/Crimea:

On July 4th, RU attacked Odesa with 17 drones, damaging infrastructure.

Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey have launched an international operation to clear the mines of the Black Sea. Preparations have been going on since at least October 2023. Demining ships, helicopters and drones will be involved in the tasks.

The SBU detained 3 women who were adjusting RU missile strikes in Odesa

RU is reportedly increasing the use of civilian contractors in building defensive lines along the Crimean coastline.

RU has issued some 850 court summons in Crimea for "Discrediting the RU armed forces", broadly extorting fines


Russia:

UA drones targeted RU oil depots in the Krasnodar region.

On the night of July 7, UA drones attacked an ammunition depot near the village of Sergiyivka in the Voronezh region of Russia.

Reportedly RU is trying a new tactic, where it launches drones without GPS signals before activating said GPS immediately above the intended target for ballistic missiles, making the work of air defense even more difficult.



General:

Over the last day UA forces conducted 12 airstrikes and RU forces conducted 61 air strikes (including drones), and 89 MLRS strikes. 435 RU kamikaze drones were used including 59 Shaheds/Lancets and FPV.

Yesterday Ukrainian forces eliminated:

1200x soldiers (Total 552,190 day avg 1,197 last 7 days)
40x APC
16x Tank
29x Artillery (0xMLRS)
1x Air Defense
1x Aircraft
47x vehicles
31x UAV

estimated cost: 110.4 million USD

total estimated cost- 99.1 Million/day per last 30 days, $3.0 Billion USD over last 30 days.

RU and UA estimated Losses per Volya, from June 26th-July 2nd

RU- 3280 KIA/MIA/POW/Deserted
    9142 WIA/Hospitalized with illness

UA- 1520 KIA/MIA/POW/Deserted
    4864 WIA/Hospitalized with illness

Overall- RU 316,280 losses, 720,383 non-fatal casualties (including some repeat injured)
	 UA 126,041 losses, 324,863 non-fatal casualties (including repeat injured)

Overseas:

On July 10th, Zaluzhny will begin working as an ambassador to the UK. The UK announced a new package of aid to UA, comprised of some 250k artillery rounds, 100 brimstone missiles, 61 bulldozers, 50 small boats, and 10 AS-90 artillery platforms.

At a summit in Washington, NATO is set to make a commitment to the defense industry, calling on the bloc's member states to increase weapons production and return to stricter standardization of ammunition, as currently there are 14 exceptions carved out for 155mm ammo deviation.

Latvia is handing over some 2500 drones to UA, with the first 300 handed over this week.

The Netherlands, together with its partners, is preparing to hand over the Patriot anti-aircraft missile complex to Ukraine to strengthen Ukrainian air defense.

Japan, together with Cambodia, will carry out demining work on the territory of Ukraine

Speaker of the US House of Representatives Mike Johnson will meet with the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyi on July 10 during the NATO summit in Washington.

The U.S. Treasury Department has proposed new sanctions against Russian oil tankers, but the White House fears they will cause gasoline prices to rise.