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- 3/29/24-4/1/24 Update, day 765-768 of Russian invasion.
- Belarus/Western Border:
- RU drone wreckage was found inside Romania 5 km from the city of Braila, some 27km inside romanian territory. The county capital is the 11th largest in Romania, with about 154,000 people living there.
- During the RU missile attack in Lviv, two people were killed overnight.
- UA has the capacity to import some 1700 MW of power via the european market.
- Poland is reportedly chastising the Deputy minister of agriculture, who exhbited strange and explosive behavior at a negotiation on the border with UA representatives.
- Kyiv/Central Ukraine/Politics:
- There was a large attack on friday morning, with 60 drones and 39 missiles used across UA targeting energy infrastrucrure. 58 drones and 26 missiles were intercepted.
- UA intercepted 9 missiles and 9 drones out over other weekends attacks.
- UA stated they have managed to scale up 10x the production of longer range UAV's, with ranges in excess of 700km.
- UA is allocating some $115 million USD for repairing and protecting electrical infrastructure.
- RU has fired 132 missiles and 48 drones at Kyiv since the new year.
- More than 70% of the budget of the UA MoD for 2024 will go to the financial payments of the servicemembers, and 20% (or $6.7 Billion USD) will go to the purchase of weapons and equipment. 10% is for operational expenses.
- There was an unknown explosion in an apartment building in Rural Kyiv, killing a woman and destroying her apartment.
- UA recieved over 100 heavy generators from USAID.
- There were rolling blackouts in Dnipro, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, Poltava, and Sumy Oblasts over the weekend.
- Northeast Ukraine/Kharkiv city:
- Almost all critical electrical infrastructure nexuses in Kharkiv city have been destroyed. Currently there is no plan to evacuate the city, due to energy supply from elsewhere in the country.
- RU targeted a fire station along the RU border in Kharkiv region, blowing off a third of the building.
- An RU recon unit was stopped while trying to infiltrate Sumy oblast.
- Kupyansk/East Kharkiv
- RU did not launch any offensive actions recently towards Kupyansk, as the bulk of forces have been redirected closer to Kreminna.
- Kreminna/Lyman axis:
- RU launched 3 assaults towards Terny over the last day, and appears to be expanding the contested area to the north of current positions. There has been no observed RU gains towards Terny itself for about 3 weeks now.
- Its noted that RU is launching 6-16 airstrikes a day here, with it being the focus of renewed RU personnel and equipment stockpiling.
- Kramatorsk/Bakhmut:
- UA has intensified its drone strikes towards Lysychansk in the NE donetsk region.
- RU launched 8 assaults here over the last day, with additional drone and airstrikes in the direction of Chasiv Yar. UA has increased its drone and artillery strikes notably S of Bakhmut, apparently wiping out a number of RU APC's which have attempted to dislodge UA defenders in the Klischiivka hills.
- Per UA commanders, RU has 6x the volume of artillery fire in the Bakhmut direction.
- Avdiivka/Pokrovske:
- RU launched some 13 assaults in the Avdiivka area over the past day, including the use of an land drone with weaponry attached, which was later destroyed.
- RU launched a battalion sized mechanized attack near Tonenke, which was apparently defeated with some 20/30 armored vehicles hit.
- Donetsk/Luhansk/occupied regions:
- RU launched 22 attacks in the SW Marinka direction over the last day.
- RU has started a new wave of conscription in Luhansk oblast, for those 18-30.
- Zaporizhia/Southern Axis:
- RU fired 418 times along the Zaporizhia Axis, 95x by drones, and 304x artillery.
- RU is changing rental laws in Berdyansk, as they seek to put pressure on people who have not accepted a Russian passport and registered their home as such, otherwise prohibiting renters. RU is also requiring additional utility meters be installed, for unknown reason.
- RU is also starting conscription efforts for those between 18-30.
- IAEA observers recorded RU artillery fire outgoing from the ZNPP grounds.
- Kherson:
- RU attacked the Krynky bridgehead 2x over the last day.
- UA Drone ops have expanded NE of Krynky and along the highway towards Korsunka
- Odessa/Black Sea/Crimea:
- RU has reportedly intensified its usage of aviation in the black sea to pressure UA positions on snake island, especially in the absence of RU naval combatants.
- Following RU drone strikes on Odesa, power infrastructure was damaged and rolling blackouts in some areas have been taking place.
- While there are no active RU ships in the Black sea carrying missiles, UA claims that RU will resume Kalibr launches soon due to a decrease in air launched cruise missile stocks.
- RU shot down its own SU-27 near sevastapol, allegedly due to "human error" of the SAM operators.
- Russia:
- A joint investigation by Insider, an RU investigative journalism outlet and 60 minutes, alleged that GRU operatives in Unit 29155 (the same bagmen who were responsible for poisonings of RU political adversaries across europe) were intimately involved with the reported cases of "Havana Syndrome", and that an officer recieved an accelerated promotion in return for turning over his work in "potential capabilities of non-lethal acoustic weapons in combat activities in urban settings". There was also evidence supplied of an "Project Reduktor", where the Soviet union/Russia investigated the possibility of such weaponry as recently as the 2010s.
- The so-called "havana Syndrome" or "Anomalous health incidents" apparently date back 2 years prior to Cuba, and are alleged to be primarily focused on US state department and CIA staff who worked in or around the Ukrainian and Georgia postings at some point in their career. The specifics of how such a weapon could be used are unclear, but the hypothesis advanced is that ultrasonic waves are used to damage myelin sheaths in the brain, leading to low grade brain damage difficult to image. There has been controversy for over a decade about the mechanisms of injury.
- Per the UK, RU is recruiting about 30,000 new soldiers a month.
- RU investigative journalists located the crypto wallet which paid the ISIS-K fighters immediately after the attack. It belonged to the Tajikistan wing of ISIS-K.
- General:
- Over the last day UA forces conduced 14 airstrikes and RU forces conducted 67 air strikes (including drones), and 89 MLRS strikes.
- Yesterday Ukrainian forces eliminated:
- 710 x soldiers (Total 442,880) [7 day avg 774].
- 17x APC
- 20x Tank
- 1x Air defense
- 32x Artillery (0xMLRS)
- 35x vehicles
- 26x UAV
- Estimated cost: $108.3 million USD
- total estimated cost- $96.1 Million/day per last 30 days, $2.9 Billion USD total over last 30 days.
- Over March, RU lost:
- 76 tanks
- 739 APCs
- 976 artillery systems;
- 53 SAM
- 1 ship;
- 1,546 vehicles
- 963 UAV
- 2 aircraft
- Overseas:
- France will supply hundreds of VAB (Armored Vanguard Vehicle) APC's to Ukraine from its inactive stockpile over the year.
- The Pope called on RU and UA to exchange all prisoners with each other.
- Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo has stated that Russian and Belarusian athletes will not be welcome at the Olympic Games to be held in the French capital this year, as she attended a training camp in Kyiv.
- UA boxer Bohachuk won the world boxing welterweight title from American Brian Mendoza, in a 12 round slugfest by decision.
- The US House Majority Leader Mike Johnson has indicated he will bring the UA aid bill to the floor following the easter recess.
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