Advertisement
Guest User

Untitled

a guest
Mar 25th, 2018
109
0
Never
Not a member of Pastebin yet? Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features!
text 2.46 KB | None | 0 0
  1. points from flips:
  2. average = 2+3+5+10/4 = 5
  3. x5 flips = 25
  4.  
  5. from 2-3-5-10
  6. chance of a not getting a 2 = 9/12 * 8/11 * 7/10 * 6/9 * 5/8 = ~16%
  7. chance of getting a 2 = ~84%
  8.  
  9. chance of not getting a 3 assuming one flip was 2 = 8/11 * 7/10 * 6/9 * 5/8 = ~21%
  10. chance of getting a 3 assuming one flip was 2 = ~79%
  11.  
  12. chance of not getting a 5 assuming one flip was 2 and one was 3 = 7/10 * 6/9 * 5/8 = ~29%
  13. chance of getting a 5 assuming one flip was 2 and one was 3 = ~71%
  14.  
  15. chance of not getting a 10 assuming 2 3 and 5 were also gotten = 6/9 * 5/8 = ~42%
  16. chance of getting a 10 assuming 2 3 and 5 were also gotten = ~58%
  17.  
  18. chance of getting 2, 3, 5, 10 = 84% * 79% * 71% * 58% = ~27%
  19.  
  20. average score from 2-3-5-10 option = .27 * 20 = ~5.5
  21.  
  22.  
  23. from 10-10-10
  24.  
  25. chance of not getting a 10 = 9/12 * 8/11 * 7/10 * 6/9 * 5/8 = ~16%
  26. chance of getting a 10 = ~84%
  27.  
  28. chance of not getting a 10 assuming 1 10 already gotten = 9/11 * 8/10 * 7/9 * 6/8 = ~38%
  29. chance of getting a 10 assuming 1 10 already gotten = ~62%
  30.  
  31. chance of not getting a 10 assuming 2 10 already gotten = 8/9 * 7/8 * 6/7 = ~67%
  32. chance of getting a 10 assuming 2 10 already gotten = ~33%
  33.  
  34. chance of getting 3 tens = 84% * 62% * 33% = ~17%
  35.  
  36. average score from 10-10-10 = .17 * 60 = 10.2
  37.  
  38. from 5-5-5
  39.  
  40. by symmetry, chance is .17
  41. average score from 5-5-5 = .17 * 70 = ~12
  42.  
  43. from 3-3-3
  44.  
  45. by symmetry, chance is .17
  46. average score from 3-3-3 = .17 * 75 = ~12.8
  47.  
  48. from 2-2-2
  49.  
  50. by symmetry, chance is .17
  51. average score from 2-2-2 = .17 * 80 = ~13.6
  52.  
  53.  
  54. from RRBBGG
  55.  
  56. with 5 flips cannot happen
  57.  
  58. from GGGG
  59.  
  60. chance of a not getting a G = 8/12 * 7/11 * 6/10 * 5/9 * 4/8 = ~7%
  61. chance of getting a G = ~93%
  62.  
  63. chance of not getting a 2nd G after getting a first = 8/11 * 7/10 * 6/9 * 5/8 = ~21%
  64. chance of getting a 2nd G after getting a first = ~79%
  65.  
  66. chance of not getting a 3rd G after getting a first 2 = 8/10 * 7/9 * 6/8 = ~47%
  67. chance of getting a 3rd G after getting a first 2 = ~53%
  68.  
  69. chance of not getting a 4th G after getting a first 3 = 8/9 * 7/8 = ~78%
  70. chance of getting a 4th G after getting a first 3 = ~22%
  71.  
  72. chance of getting 4 G in one pass = 93% * 79% * 53% * 22% = ~9%
  73.  
  74. average score from GGGG option = .09 * 120 = 10.8
  75.  
  76. from BBBB
  77.  
  78. by symmetry, chance is .09
  79. average score from BBBB = .09 * 200 = 18
  80.  
  81.  
  82. from RRRR
  83.  
  84. by symmetry, chance is .09
  85. average score from BBBB = .09 * 325 = 29
  86.  
  87.  
  88. Sum of averages = 25 + 5.5 + 10.2 + 12 + 12.8 + 13.6 + 10.8 + 18 + 29 = 137 armory points per green core on average
Advertisement
Add Comment
Please, Sign In to add comment
Advertisement