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Dec 17th, 2017
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  1. Alright, so before we begin, I should note that there might be a couple of eye-pops upon seeing these numbers, so let's quickly clarify something, as to avoid angry meta arguing.
  2.  
  3. If you are not campaigning locally, then your voters will go elsewhere for their local representatives, or they will write incredibly rude things on their spoilt ballot papers. This is one of the main features of the electoral system - it tends to punish inactivity harshly.
  4.  
  5. We can also clarify that we are now factoring in endorsements into these polls, which are asking specifically about local voting pattern, except for the question on the National Picture.
  6.  
  7. These polls are not factoring in the latest posts either, so please bear that in mind.
  8.  
  9. ---
  10.  
  11. Polling Conducted on the 16th of December, prior to Manifestos and Leader's Debate.
  12.  
  13. The Margin of Error on the National Polling is 3%. The Margin of Error on Constituency Polling is **5%**.
  14.  
  15. #The National Picture
  16.  
  17. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  18. --|--|--|--
  19. Green Party|26.9%|30.6%|-3.7
  20. Conservative|21.5%|24.6|-3.1
  21. Labour|15.7%|14.1|+1.6
  22. Liberal Democrats|13.4%|13.1|+0.3
  23. Classical Liberals|7.7%|7.5|+0.2
  24. Scottish National Party|5.8%|2.9%|+2.9
  25. NLP|5.0%|1.0%|+4.0
  26. Militant Workers Front|3.0%|2.8%|+0.2
  27. Scottish Unionist Party|1.0%|6.3%|-5.3%
  28.  
  29. #Highlands and Islands (SLD)
  30.  
  31. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  32. --|--|--|--
  33. Liberal Democrat|43%|24%|+19
  34. Conservative|22%|20%|+2
  35. Scottish National Party|16%|5%|+11
  36. Classical Liberals|15%|11%|+4
  37. New Liberty Party|3%|1%|+2
  38. Scottish Unionist Party|1%|5%|-4
  39.  
  40. Greens and Labour (Prev 30%) endorsed the Liberal Democrats.
  41.  
  42. Militant Worker's Front (4%) has not made an endorsement.
  43.  
  44. #Mid Scotland and Fife (CON)
  45.  
  46. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  47. --|--|--|--
  48. Conservative|36%|31%|+5
  49. Liberal Democrat|34%|22%|+12
  50. Classical Liberals|21%|10%|+11
  51. Militant Worker's Front|4%|4%|-
  52. Scottish National Party|3%|4%|-1
  53. Scottish Unionist Party|2%|4%|-2
  54.  
  55. Greens and Labour (Prev 24%) endorsed the Liberal Democrats.
  56.  
  57. NLP (Prev 1%) endorsed the Classical Liberals
  58.  
  59. #North East Scotland (CON)
  60.  
  61. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  62. --|--|--|--
  63. Liberal Democrat|25%|17%|+8
  64. Labour|22%|9%|+13
  65. Classical Liberals|19%|10|+9
  66. Conservative|16%|34%|-18
  67. SNP|13%|4%|+9
  68. Scottish Unionist Party|4%|8%|-4
  69.  
  70. Greens (Prev 12%) endorsed Labour.
  71.  
  72. NLP (Prev 3%) endorsed the Classical Liberals.
  73.  
  74. Militant Worker's Front (3%) has not made an endorsement.
  75.  
  76. #Lothian (SGP)
  77.  
  78. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  79. --|--|--|--
  80. Green|48%|37%|+11
  81. Conservative|25%|19%|+6
  82. Classical Liberal|14%|9%|+5
  83. Militant Worker's Front|6%|3%|+3
  84. New Liberty Party|5%|1%|+4
  85. Scottish Unionist Party|2%|2%|-
  86.  
  87. Labour and Liberal Democrats (Prev 27%) endorsed Greens
  88.  
  89. SNP (2%) has not made an endorsement.
  90.  
  91. #Central Scotland (SGP)
  92.  
  93. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  94. --|--|--|--
  95. Green|51%|31%|+20
  96. Labour|33%|18%|+15
  97. Classical Liberals|7%|6%|+1
  98. Scottish Unionist Party|5%|11%|-6
  99. New Liberty Party|4%|1%|+3
  100.  
  101. Tories (Prev 21%) endorse SUP
  102.  
  103. Liberal Democrats (Prev 7%) endorse Green
  104.  
  105. SNP (2%) and Militant Worker's Front (3%) have not made an endorsement.
  106.  
  107. #South Scotland (CON)
  108.  
  109. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  110. --|--|--|--
  111. Conservative|39%|33%|+6
  112. Labour|16%|12%|+4
  113. Green|13%|24%|-11
  114. New Liberty Party|11%|1%|+10
  115. Scottish National Party|9%|3%|+6
  116. Liberal Democrats|9%|9%|-
  117. Scottish Unionist Party|3%|10%|-7
  118.  
  119. Classical Liberals (Prev 7%) endorse NLP
  120.  
  121. Militant Worker's Front (1%) has not made an endorsement.
  122.  
  123. #West Scotland (LAB)
  124.  
  125. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  126. --|--|--|--
  127. Labour|62%|22%|+40
  128. Scottish Unionist Party|11%||
  129. Scottish National Party|11%||
  130. New Liberty Party|9%||
  131. Classical Liberals|7%||
  132.  
  133. Greens and Liberal Democrats (Prev 36%) endorse Labour
  134.  
  135. Tories (Prev 17%) endorse SUP
  136.  
  137. Militant Worker's Front (3%) has not made an endorsement.
  138.  
  139. #Glasgow (SGP)
  140.  
  141. Party|Polling|Previous|Change
  142. --|--|--|--
  143. Green|43%|43%|-
  144. Labour|30%|18%|+12
  145. Militant Worker's Front|14%|5%|+9
  146. New Liberty Party|7%|1%|+6
  147. Conservative|5%|11%|-6
  148. Scottish Unionist Party|1%|5%|-4
  149.  
  150. Classical Liberals (Prev 5%) endorse NLP
  151.  
  152. SNP (4%) and Liberal Democrats (8%) have not made an endorsement.
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