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- Alright, so before we begin, I should note that there might be a couple of eye-pops upon seeing these numbers, so let's quickly clarify something, as to avoid angry meta arguing.
- If you are not campaigning locally, then your voters will go elsewhere for their local representatives, or they will write incredibly rude things on their spoilt ballot papers. This is one of the main features of the electoral system - it tends to punish inactivity harshly.
- We can also clarify that we are now factoring in endorsements into these polls, which are asking specifically about local voting pattern, except for the question on the National Picture.
- These polls are not factoring in the latest posts either, so please bear that in mind.
- ---
- Polling Conducted on the 16th of December, prior to Manifestos and Leader's Debate.
- The Margin of Error on the National Polling is 3%. The Margin of Error on Constituency Polling is **5%**.
- #The National Picture
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Green Party|26.9%|30.6%|-3.7
- Conservative|21.5%|24.6|-3.1
- Labour|15.7%|14.1|+1.6
- Liberal Democrats|13.4%|13.1|+0.3
- Classical Liberals|7.7%|7.5|+0.2
- Scottish National Party|5.8%|2.9%|+2.9
- NLP|5.0%|1.0%|+4.0
- Militant Workers Front|3.0%|2.8%|+0.2
- Scottish Unionist Party|1.0%|6.3%|-5.3%
- #Highlands and Islands (SLD)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Liberal Democrat|43%|24%|+19
- Conservative|22%|20%|+2
- Scottish National Party|16%|5%|+11
- Classical Liberals|15%|11%|+4
- New Liberty Party|3%|1%|+2
- Scottish Unionist Party|1%|5%|-4
- Greens and Labour (Prev 30%) endorsed the Liberal Democrats.
- Militant Worker's Front (4%) has not made an endorsement.
- #Mid Scotland and Fife (CON)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Conservative|36%|31%|+5
- Liberal Democrat|34%|22%|+12
- Classical Liberals|21%|10%|+11
- Militant Worker's Front|4%|4%|-
- Scottish National Party|3%|4%|-1
- Scottish Unionist Party|2%|4%|-2
- Greens and Labour (Prev 24%) endorsed the Liberal Democrats.
- NLP (Prev 1%) endorsed the Classical Liberals
- #North East Scotland (CON)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Liberal Democrat|25%|17%|+8
- Labour|22%|9%|+13
- Classical Liberals|19%|10|+9
- Conservative|16%|34%|-18
- SNP|13%|4%|+9
- Scottish Unionist Party|4%|8%|-4
- Greens (Prev 12%) endorsed Labour.
- NLP (Prev 3%) endorsed the Classical Liberals.
- Militant Worker's Front (3%) has not made an endorsement.
- #Lothian (SGP)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Green|48%|37%|+11
- Conservative|25%|19%|+6
- Classical Liberal|14%|9%|+5
- Militant Worker's Front|6%|3%|+3
- New Liberty Party|5%|1%|+4
- Scottish Unionist Party|2%|2%|-
- Labour and Liberal Democrats (Prev 27%) endorsed Greens
- SNP (2%) has not made an endorsement.
- #Central Scotland (SGP)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Green|51%|31%|+20
- Labour|33%|18%|+15
- Classical Liberals|7%|6%|+1
- Scottish Unionist Party|5%|11%|-6
- New Liberty Party|4%|1%|+3
- Tories (Prev 21%) endorse SUP
- Liberal Democrats (Prev 7%) endorse Green
- SNP (2%) and Militant Worker's Front (3%) have not made an endorsement.
- #South Scotland (CON)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Conservative|39%|33%|+6
- Labour|16%|12%|+4
- Green|13%|24%|-11
- New Liberty Party|11%|1%|+10
- Scottish National Party|9%|3%|+6
- Liberal Democrats|9%|9%|-
- Scottish Unionist Party|3%|10%|-7
- Classical Liberals (Prev 7%) endorse NLP
- Militant Worker's Front (1%) has not made an endorsement.
- #West Scotland (LAB)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Labour|62%|22%|+40
- Scottish Unionist Party|11%||
- Scottish National Party|11%||
- New Liberty Party|9%||
- Classical Liberals|7%||
- Greens and Liberal Democrats (Prev 36%) endorse Labour
- Tories (Prev 17%) endorse SUP
- Militant Worker's Front (3%) has not made an endorsement.
- #Glasgow (SGP)
- Party|Polling|Previous|Change
- --|--|--|--
- Green|43%|43%|-
- Labour|30%|18%|+12
- Militant Worker's Front|14%|5%|+9
- New Liberty Party|7%|1%|+6
- Conservative|5%|11%|-6
- Scottish Unionist Party|1%|5%|-4
- Classical Liberals (Prev 5%) endorse NLP
- SNP (4%) and Liberal Democrats (8%) have not made an endorsement.
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