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- First off, let's try no items.
- __________________________
- 252+ Atk Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 148-175 (41.9 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- 252 SpA Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 170-200 (38.2 - 45%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Arceus Shadow Claw vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 174-206 (49.2 - 58.3%) -- 97.7% chance to 2HKO
- TWICE, THEN
- 252+ Atk Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 148-175 (41.9 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- 252 SpA Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 170-200 (38.2 - 45%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- __________________________
- Now, let's give them their most commonly used items, not counting mega stones.
- __________________________
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 178-210 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
- 252 SpA Life Orb Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 221-260 (49.7 - 58.5%) -- 99.6% chance to 2HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Leftovers Mewtwo: 178-210 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- 80.1% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- 252 SpA Life Orb Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 221-260 (49.7 - 58.5%) -- 99.6% chance to 2HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Shadow Claw vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 226-268 (64 - 75.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- THEN
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Leftovers Mewtwo: 192-227 (54.3 - 64.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- (112.05 - 133.95% total after Leftovers)
- 252 SpA Leftovers Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 170-200 (38.2 - 45%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- __________________________
- "What about Mega Mewtwo Y?"
- Three things.
- 1) Mega Mewtwo Y has LOWER Defense than Mewtwo, by 20 base points (70 compared to 90).
- 2) Mega Mewtwo Y's increased Speed is useless against Extreme Speed.
- 3) Life Orb Mewtwo outdamages Mega Mewtwo Y anyways.
- __________________________
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mega Mewtwo Y: 219-258 (62 - 73%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
- ------
- 252 SpA Mega Mewtwo Y Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 204-240 (45.9 - 54%) -- 48.4% chance to 2HKO
- __________________________
- "What about Modest natured Mewtwo?"
- Still won't help. 10% higher SpAttack isn't enough to OHKO Arceus, and Arceus will 2HKO Mewtwo with Extreme Speed, meaning Mewtwo won't get the chance to hit a second time. If Mewtwo is holding Leftovers to even potentially avoid the 2HKO (20% chance, only if Arceus has a Silk Scarf instead of a Life Orb), it misses the 2HKO itself. If Arceus is holding a Life Orb, then Mewtwo just kinda dies.
- __________________________
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 178-210 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
- 252+ SpA Life Orb Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 242-286 (54.5 - 64.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Leftovers Mewtwo: 178-210 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- 80.1% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- 252+ SpA Leftovers Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 186-220 (41.8 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Shadow Claw vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 226-268 (64 - 75.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- THEN
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 0 HP / 0 Def Leftovers Mewtwo: 192-227 (54.3 - 64.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- (112.05 - 133.95% total after Leftovers)
- 252+ SpA Leftovers Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 186-220 (41.8 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Life Orb damage
- __________________________
- "What about bulky Mewtwo?"
- Now you're getting into crippling overspecialization. Mewtwo will still lose to the Silk Scarf variant every time, and will only beat the Life Orb variant sometimes.
- _________________________
- 252+ Atk Silk Scarf Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 178-210 (42.7 - 50.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
- 252+ SpA Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 186-220 (41.8 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
- ------
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Shadow Claw vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 226-268 (54.3 - 64.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- THEN
- 252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Extreme Speed vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mewtwo: 192-227 (46.1 - 54.5%) -- 8.2% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
- (94.15 - 112.65% total after Leftovers)
- 252+ SpA Leftovers Mewtwo Aura Sphere vs. 252 HP / 4 SpD Arceus: 186-220 (41.8 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Life Orb damage
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