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DrySesame

Cloud 9 Killer Exclusive

DrySesame
Aug 18th, 2020 (edited)
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  1. Mini for PE Runner Warm Up
  2. [b]Cloud 9 Killer Exclusive[/b]
  3.  
  4. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7956993203[/b]
  5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000
  6. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198919096070#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000
  7. Sold for Frostbite Juju (used there)
  8.  
  9. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198919096070#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
  10. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198689581#!/compare/1593993600/1594080000
  11. Untrace. Note the Ghastly Ghosts Jr Larrikin Robin.
  12.  
  13. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198689581#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
  14. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044157063#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
  15. Ghastly Ghosts Jr Larrikin Robin was traded here and traded with the above on the same day. Possibly gambling?
  16.  
  17. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044157063#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400
  18. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045363247#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400
  19. Untrace
  20.  
  21. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045363247#!/compare/1596412800/1596585600
  22. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
  23. Sold for C9 Grim Hatte after adding 10 keys.
  24. Marketplace has recent sales at ~ 33 keys.
  25. Even if taking one month outdated price, thats 24 keys. Assuming this is too low and excluding.
  26.  
  27. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1597017600/1597104000
  28. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1597017600/1597104000
  29. Sold for [b]50 keys[/b]
  30.  
  31. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7956982839[/b]
  32. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
  33. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358965606#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
  34. Sold for [b]37 keys[/b]
  35.  
  36. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358965606#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
  37. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990190854#!/compare/1592438400/1592697600
  38. Sold for [b]42 keys[/b]
  39.  
  40. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198990190854#!/compare/1593216000/1593561600
  41. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400
  42. Untrace
  43.  
  44. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400
  45. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968633696#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400
  46. Sold for Pyroland Daydream Globetrotter (23) + Hellish Inferno Taunt: I See You (7.5) + Fountain of Delight Taunt: Luxury Lounge (8.5)
  47. + Acidic Bubbles of Envy Taunt: I See You ( multiple sellers at ~ 8 in marketplace , buyers at 6) = [b]estimated ~ 46.5 keys[/b]
  48.  
  49. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968633696#!/compare/1593302400/1594080000
  50. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995499850#!/compare/1592352000/1593561600
  51. Untrace
  52.  
  53. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7956887108[/b]
  54. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129819677#!/compare/1594512000/1595548800
  55. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890391967#!/compare/1594771200/1596240000
  56. Untrace
  57.  
  58. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7956106785[/b]
  59. A bunch of trade backs and mannco sale
  60.  
  61. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7955958134[/b]
  62. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140815239#!/compare/1591056000/1596499200
  63. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024944083#!/compare/1565395200/1596153600
  64. Untrace
  65.  
  66. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/4954465905[/b]
  67. Duped
  68.  
  69. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/3792054051[/b]
  70. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071260549#!/compare/1589846400/1590019200
  71. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
  72. Sold for a Chiroptera Venenata Bombing Run (66) after adding 20 keys + Cloud 9 Flipped Trilby (15) = [b]31[/b]
  73. Well, obviously the Bombing run is underpriced, but since the market for it has been seeing rapid increase recently, I would exclude this for now.
  74.  
  75. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200
  76. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847625517#!/compare/1591747200/1591920000
  77. Untrace
  78.  
  79. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847625517#!/compare/1591920000/1592006400
  80. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146727359#!/compare/1591660800/1592092800
  81. Untrace
  82.  
  83. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146727359#!/compare/1592524800/1592697600
  84. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188549202#!/compare/1592438400/1592524800
  85. Sold for [b]38 keys[/b]
  86.  
  87. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188549202#!/compare/1592697600/1593129600
  88. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000
  89. Sold for PE Runner (used there)
  90.  
  91. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000
  92. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053787974#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400
  93. Untrace
  94.  
  95. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053787974#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600
  96. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600
  97. Untrace and traded back within a few days
  98.  
  99. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200
  100. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198962439228#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200
  101. Sold for Haunted Ghosts Texas 10 Gallon(39.5) + 3 keys = [b]42.5[/b]
  102.  
  103. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198962439228#!/compare/1593129600/1593302400
  104. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360479576#!/compare/1593216000/1593302400
  105. Sold for Purple Energy Modest Pile of Hat (73) after adding Cloud 9 Dread Hiding Hood (19) + Orbiting Fire Carouser's Capotain (9) + 3 keys
  106. So, 73 - 19 - 9 - 3 = [b]42[/b]
  107.  
  108. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360479576#!/compare/1593475200/1593561600
  109. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056336908#!/compare/1593561600/1593734400
  110. Sold for Orbiting Planets Mining Light (46) + 8 keys + 1.5 sweets = [b]~56 keys[/b]
  111.  
  112. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2212401914[/b]
  113. Excluding this as it may have different price due to being killstreaked
  114.  
  115. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/1785477209[/b]
  116. Marketplace 6/8/2020
  117.  
  118. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/1887515156[/b]
  119. Duped
  120.  
  121. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/8718108703[/b]
  122. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386195044#!/compare/1591574400/1592006400
  123. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093827610#!/compare/1587081600/1592006400
  124. Untrace
  125.  
  126. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/8715826717[/b]
  127. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071795333#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200
  128. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
  129. Untrace
  130.  
  131. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000
  132. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883610801#!/compare/1590710400/1591056000
  133. Untrace
  134.  
  135. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883610801#!/compare/1591056000/1597708800
  136. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207703545#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800
  137. Untrace
  138.  
  139. Subsequent is marketplace sale on 13/6/2020
  140.  
  141. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7957069565[/b]
  142. Tradebacks
  143.  
  144. [b]Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/538;5;u58[/b]
  145. 1. 2 sold on 5/24/2020 for $89.99 / $1.88 = 47.87 keys ~ [b]48[/b]
  146. 2. Sold on 6/7/2020 for $76.99 / $1.98 = 38.88 keys ~ [b]39[/b]
  147. 3. Sold on 6/14/2020 for $88.99 / $1.99 = 44.72 keys (https://backpack.tf/item/8715826717) Buyout : [b]42[/b] (http://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQW91NE)
  148. 4. Sold on 6/27/2020 for $88.99 / $2.04 = 43.62 keys ~ [b]44[/b]
  149. 5. 2 sold on 6/29/2020 for $89.99 / $2.01 = 44.77 keys ~ [b]45[/b]
  150. 6. Sold on 7/13/2020 for $71.05 / $1.92 = 37.01 keys ~ [b]37[/b]
  151. 7. Sold on 7/16/2020 for $80 / $1.98 = 40.40 keys ~ [b]40[/b]
  152. 8. Sold on 7/23/2020 for $97.99 / $1.92 = 51.04 keys ~ [b]51[/b]
  153. 9. Sold on 7/28/2020 for $95 / $1.92 = 49.48 keys ~ [b]49[/b]
  154. 10. Sold on 8/2/2020 for $95 / $1.90 = 50.00 keys ~ [b]50[/b]
  155. 11. Sold on 8/6/2020 for $97.99 / $1.85 = 52.97 keys (https://backpack.tf/item/4954465905 , duped) (wait, could be this too, https://backpack.tf/item/1785477209)
  156. Assuming that its clean, taking [b]53[/b]
  157. 12. Sold on 8/8/2020 for $97.99 / $1.87 = 52.40 keys ~ [b]52[/b]
  158.  
  159. [b]Sales summary:[/b]
  160. [s]2x 37[/s]
  161. [s]1x 38[/s]
  162. [s]1x 39[/s]
  163. [s]1x 40[/s]
  164. 3x 42
  165. 1x 43
  166. 1x 44
  167. 1x 45
  168. 1x 47
  169. 1x 48
  170. 1x 49
  171. 2x 50
  172. 1x 51
  173. 1x 52
  174. 1x 53
  175. 1x 56
  176.  
  177. Pricing this at 42 - 56
  178.  
  179.  
  180.  
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