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late surge stuff

Apr 28th, 2020
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  1. Offensive Ranges:
  2. L26 Bite+Kick Ivysaur (does not include crits because I suck):
  3. 22-25 modest 58/256 (0.2265625)
  4. 26-29 modest 128/256 (0.5)
  5. 30-31 modest 165/256 (0.64453125)
  6.  
  7. 0-2 neutral 26/256 (0.1015625)
  8. 3-6 neutral 58/256 (0.2265625)
  9. 7-10 neutral 128/256 (0.5)
  10. 11-14 neutral 165/256 (0.64453125)
  11. 15-18 neutral 196/256 (0.765625)
  12. 19-21 neutral 226/256 (0.8828125)
  13. 22-25 neutral 246/256 (0.9609375)
  14. 26-31 neutral 256/256 (1)
  15.  
  16. Venonat:
  17. MK @L28
  18. 19-21 iv 9/16
  19. 22-25 iv 11/16
  20. 26-29 iv 13/16
  21. 30-31 iv 15/16
  22. non-torrent WP(@l28) 2/16
  23.  
  24.  
  25. Oddish:
  26. MK @L28 (which you always are)
  27. modest always 0/16
  28. 0-14 iv 0/16
  29. 15-18 iv 1/16
  30. 19-21 iv 2/16
  31. 22-25 iv 4/16
  32. 26-29 iv 6/16
  33. 30-31 iv 8/16
  34.  
  35. What to do turn 2 if not leading MK (or turn 3 after turn 2 bite if abandoning MK after a turn 1 miss)
  36. (Oddish has 51hp)
  37. same rolls for all 28-31 iv spA
  38. Bite: 23-28 (1x23,4x24,3x25,4x26,3x27,1x28)
  39. T-WP: 25-30 (2x25,3x26,4x27,3x28,3x29,1x30)
  40.  
  41. T-WP after minroll bite: 7/16
  42. T-WP after 24roll bite: 11/16
  43. T-WP after 25roll bite: 14/16
  44. T-WP after 26roll bite: 16/16
  45.  
  46. Bite after minroll bite: 1/16
  47. Bite after 24roll bite: 4/16
  48. Bite after 25roll bite: 8/16
  49. Bite after 26roll bite:11/16
  50. Bite after 27roll bite:15/16
  51. Bite after maxroll bite:16/16
  52.  
  53. So probably MK not T-WP turn 2 if 5/16 lowest bite rolls. Bite turn 2 on either just maxroll or on top 4/16 rolls.
  54. - Bite not T-WP for all of the top 4/16 rolls rather than just maxroll if content with 15/16 range to avoid a NVE box.
  55. > It's 15/16 + the flinch chance so it probably is good- but maybe just go for the maxroll with knowing 1 less damage isn't too bad
  56. either to give some margin of error.
  57. - Maybe T-WP on all but minroll (i.e. even on 11/16) for MK pp + playing around MK missing twice- but also the NVE box to consider.
  58. If no torrent probably Bite top 8/16 rolls (11/16 is perhaps slightly unclear but flinch chance + MK being able to miss repeatedly makes bite seem like the right play).
  59.  
  60. Bulbasaur MK (l29)
  61. neutral:
  62. 0-3 11/16
  63. 4-6 13/16
  64. 7-9 14/16
  65. 10-31 16/16
  66.  
  67. 0-3 modest 0/16
  68. 4-6 modest 1/16
  69. 7-9 modest 2/16
  70. 10-13 modest 6/16
  71. 14-16 modest 9/16
  72. 17-20 modest 11/16
  73. 21-23 modest 13/16
  74. 24-27 modest 14/16
  75. 28-31 modest 16/16
  76.  
  77. Bulbasaur MK (L28) [not top bridge hiker]
  78. Neutral:
  79. 0 iv 6/16
  80. 1-4 iv 9/16
  81. 5-7 iv 11/16
  82. 8-11 iv 13/16
  83. 12-14 iv 14/16
  84. 15-31 iv 16/16
  85. modest never guaranteed.
  86.  
  87. Bite Geodude (L29)
  88. 28-30 iv 14/16
  89. 31 iv 15/16
  90.  
  91. non-torrent WP Jigglypuff (L29) [top bridge hiker]
  92. 28-30 iv 13/16
  93. 31 iv 14/16
  94.  
  95. non-torrent WP Ekans #1 (L32)
  96. 28-31 iv 6/16
  97.  
  98. non-torrent WP Ekans #2 (L32)
  99. 28-31 iv 11/16
  100.  
  101.  
  102.  
  103.  
  104.  
  105. Exp:
  106. bridge: 25 for oddish #1, 28 for venonat, 29 for bulbasaur
  107. tunnel: 30 for jigglypuff, 32 for door rocket 1 (irrelevant unless biting sandshrew or doing some weird candy here strat)
  108.  
  109. both: 33 for giovanni
  110.  
  111. [Assumes minimum exp for 20 for misty strat w.o any split exp bullshit or w.e]
  112. [107 for 25 for oddish #1
  113. [32 for 28 for venonat
  114. [1880 for 29 for rock tunnel (noted for candy strats purposes)
  115. [437 for 29 for martha
  116. [70 for 29 for bulbasaur
  117. [2118 for 30 for choice of tunnel hiker (noted for candy strats purposes)
  118. [367 for 30 for jigglypuff
  119. [25 for 30 for pidgey
  120. [2489 for 32 post rock tunnel (asdf)
  121. [970 for 32 for key rocket
  122. [214 for 32 for door rocket #1
  123. [1579 for 33 for door rocket #2
  124. [818 for 33 for arbok
  125. [94 for 33 for giovanni
  126.  
  127. exp source:
  128. tunnel top hiker +378
  129. bridge +165
  130. 4poke tunnel hiker +113
  131.  
  132.  
  133.  
  134.  
  135.  
  136. surge minion 403
  137. surge 1405
  138. (minion+surge 1808)
  139. L33 -> L34 candy 3135 (assumes L33 and no more exp)
  140. L34 -> L35 candy 3351
  141. L35 -> L36 candy 3572
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