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Kaleidoscope Crabe - Mesper

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  1. Hullo, you didn't have any other sales
  2.  
  3. So here they are
  4.  
  5. [b]Item 1[/b]
  6. https://backpack.tf/item/9897176665
  7. [u]Sale 1[/u]
  8. Bot owner to bot
  9.  
  10. [b]Item 2[/b]
  11. https://backpack.tf/item/9726463936
  12. [u]Sale 2[/u]
  13. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164041004#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200
  14. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358675252#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200
  15. Untrace, qsold to bot buy order then keys used to unbox further
  16.  
  17. [u]Sale 3[/u]
  18. Mannco
  19.  
  20. [b]Item 3[/b]
  21. https://backpack.tf/item/9267470526
  22. [u]Sale 4[/u]
  23. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211044856#!/compare/1608163200/1608768000
  24. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071379867#!/compare/1607731200/1608595200
  25. Untrace
  26.  
  27. [u]Sale 5[/u]
  28. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071379867#!/compare/1610668800/1614902400
  29. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1610582400/1610668800
  30. Bulk for Green Black Hole Glengarry Bonnet
  31.  
  32. [u]Sale 6[/u]
  33. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1614211200/1614297600
  34. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172690987#!/compare/1614211200/1614297600
  35. Untrace
  36.  
  37. [u]Sale 7[/u]
  38. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172690987#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000
  39. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199049789825#!/compare/1615248000/1615334400
  40. Your purchase off scrap for ~17.7k according to you
  41.  
  42. Taking 18 keys here
  43.  
  44. [b]Item 4[/b]
  45. https://backpack.tf/item/9267272855
  46. [u]Sale 8[/u]
  47. MP
  48.  
  49. [u]Sale 9[/u]
  50. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060826484#!/compare/1608163200/1608508800
  51. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800
  52. Untrace
  53.  
  54. [u]Sale 10[/u]
  55. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600
  56. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316875234#!/compare/1608768000/1609113600
  57. SCM
  58.  
  59. [u]Sale 11[/u]
  60. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316875234#!/compare/1609113600/1609718400
  61. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197284226#!/compare/1589760000/1611014400
  62. Untrace
  63.  
  64. [b]Item 5[/b]
  65. https://backpack.tf/item/9260746171
  66. [u]Sale 12[/u]
  67. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146297105#!/compare/1609027200/1611100800
  68. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800
  69. Bulk for Molten Mallard Bomber's Bucket Hat
  70.  
  71. [u]Sale 13[/u]
  72. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000
  73. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069692074#!/compare/1611619200/1611792000
  74. Untrace
  75.  
  76. [u]Sale 14[/u]
  77. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069692074#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800
  78. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800
  79. Sold for 19 keys
  80.  
  81. [b]Item 6[/b]
  82. https://backpack.tf/item/9256963195
  83. [u]Sale 15[/u]
  84. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023034313#!/compare/1609545600/1610150400
  85. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600
  86. Sold for 16 keys
  87.  
  88. [b]Item 7[/b]
  89. https://backpack.tf/item/9241655422
  90. [u]Sale 16[/u]
  91. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353502204#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400
  92. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400
  93. Sold for 15 keys 2 ref
  94.  
  95. Taking 15 keys
  96.  
  97. [u]Sale 17[/u]
  98. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
  99. Sold for 16 keys, it's one of Erik's histories on Marketplace atm
  100.  
  101. [b]Item 8[/b]
  102. https://backpack.tf/item/9239080783
  103. [u]Sale 18[/u]
  104. Excluding sales between scammer alts
  105.  
  106. [u][Sale 19[/u]
  107. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400
  108. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294649667#!/compare/1612224000/1612396800
  109. Sold for 19 keys
  110.  
  111. [u]Sale 20[/u]
  112. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294649667#!/compare/1612396800/1614124800
  113. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800
  114. Untrace
  115.  
  116. [b]Item 9[/b]
  117. https://backpack.tf/item/9239015345
  118. [u]Sale 21[/u]
  119. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
  120. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
  121. Untrace
  122.  
  123. [b]Item 10[/b]
  124. https://backpack.tf/item/9234553323
  125. [u]Sale 22[/u]
  126. MP
  127.  
  128. [u]Sale 23[/u]
  129. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833105317#!/compare/1608076800/1610064000
  130. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
  131. Untrace
  132.  
  133. [u]Sale 24[/u]
  134. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800
  135. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800
  136. Untrace
  137.  
  138. [b]Item 11[/b]
  139. https://backpack.tf/item/9221793825
  140. [u]Sale 25[/u]
  141. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147318341#!/compare/1608940800/1609113600
  142. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800
  143. 2 ref matches
  144.  
  145. [u]Sale 26[/u]
  146. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1612137600/1612483200
  147. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600
  148. Sold for 18 keys
  149.  
  150. [b]Item 12[/b]
  151. https://backpack.tf/item/9217363862
  152. [u]Sale 27[/u]
  153. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313058677#!/compare/1607904000/1608076800
  154. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141382684#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
  155. Untrace
  156.  
  157. [u]Sale 28[/u]
  158. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141382684#!/compare/1608076800/1608163200
  159. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1608076800/1608163200
  160. Bulk for DUPED SF TC
  161.  
  162. [u]Sale 29[/u]
  163. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600
  164. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057493413#!/compare/1605139200/1612483200
  165. Sold for 20 keys
  166.  
  167. [b]Item 13[/b]
  168. https://backpack.tf/item/9213716074
  169. [u]Sale 30[/u]
  170. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966563795#!/compare/1610755200/1610841600
  171. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111017966#!/compare/1612828800/1612828800
  172.  
  173. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111017966#!/compare/1612828800/1612828800
  174. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966563795#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800
  175. Tradeback
  176.  
  177. [b]Item 14[/b]
  178. https://backpack.tf/item/9204151987
  179. [u]Sale 31[/u]
  180. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128553858#!/compare/1612310400/1614643200
  181. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400
  182. Untrace, likely SCM
  183.  
  184. [b]Item 15[/b]
  185. https://backpack.tf/item/9185079640
  186. [u]Sale 32[/u]
  187. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074621665#!/compare/1607904000/1611964800
  188. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1607817600/1607904000
  189. Probably SCM
  190.  
  191. [u]Sale 33[/u]
  192. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1612137600/1612224000
  193. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353942289#!/compare/1607904000/1614902400
  194. Untrace
  195.  
  196. [b]Item 16[/b]
  197. https://backpack.tf/item/9177507338
  198. [u]Sale 34[/u]
  199. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057034883#!/compare/1608508800/1613174400
  200. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035176425#!/compare/1597017600/1614988800
  201. Sold for:
  202. Disco Beat Down Shutterbug
  203. Reindoonicorn Rancher Taunt: The Skating Scorcher
  204. This is probably high
  205.  
  206. [b]Item 17[/b]
  207. https://backpack.tf/item/9176986001
  208. [u]Sale 35[/u]
  209. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1610236800/1610323200
  210. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243128080#!/compare/1610323200/1610409600
  211. Untrace
  212.  
  213. [b]Item 18[/b]
  214. https://backpack.tf/item/9171501023
  215. [u]Sale 36[/u]
  216. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600
  217. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200010261#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600
  218. Untrace
  219.  
  220. [u]Sale 37[/u]
  221. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200010261#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000
  222. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119033484#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000
  223. Untrace
  224.  
  225. [u]Sale 38[/u]
  226. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119033484#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400
  227. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295784389#!/compare/1612483200/1612656000
  228. Untrace
  229.  
  230. [u]Sale 39[/u]
  231. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295784389#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000
  232. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089551863#!/compare/1612828800/1613088000
  233. Untrace, I'd like to say 18 keys though
  234.  
  235. [u]Sale 40[/u]
  236. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089551863#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
  237. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
  238. 22.22 ref matches
  239.  
  240. [u]Sale 41[/u]
  241. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
  242. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962802715#!/compare/1613865600/1614211200
  243. Untrace
  244.  
  245. [u]Sale 42[/u]
  246. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962802715#!/compare/1614556800/1614729600
  247. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800
  248. Untrace
  249.  
  250. [u]Sale 43[/u]
  251. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200
  252. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199058977691#!/compare/1615075200/1615161600
  253. https://prnt.sc/10ic89n
  254. This matches and it's way too much
  255. Excluding
  256.  
  257. [u]Sale 44[/u]
  258. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199058977691#!/compare/1615161600/1615334400
  259. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879722456#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000
  260. Instant dumped, 1 scrap matches
  261.  
  262. [u]Sale 45[/u]
  263. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879722456#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000
  264. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102508208#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000
  265. Moved?
  266.  
  267. [b]Item 19[/b]
  268. https://backpack.tf/item/9164225946
  269. [u]Sale 46[/u]
  270. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091267840#!/compare/1613260800/1614038400
  271. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102508208#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
  272. Untrace
  273.  
  274. [b]Item 20[/b]
  275. https://backpack.tf/item/9148408541
  276. [u]Sale 47[/u]
  277. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200010261#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
  278. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
  279. Untrace
  280.  
  281. [b]Marketplace sales[/b]
  282. https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31109;5;u155
  283. Dec 15th - $49.99 / $2.00 = 25.00 keys
  284. Mar 3rd - $51.99 / $2.17 = 23.96 keys
  285.  
  286. [b]Mannco sales[/b]
  287. https://mannco.store/item/23348
  288. Jan 4th - $44.99 / $1.86 = 24.19 keys
  289. Jan 22nd - $33.95 / $1.88 = 18.06 keys
  290. Jan 30th - $39 / $1.85 = 21.08 keys
  291.  
  292. [u]Sales[/u]
  293. 18, 19, 16, 15, 16, 19, 18, 20, 18, 25, 24, 24, 18, 21
  294.  
  295. [u]Sales but in order[/u]
  296. 15, 16, 16, 18, 18, 18, 18, 19, 19, 20, 21, 24, 24, 25
  297.  
  298. [b]Current Listings[/b]
  299. https://prnt.sc/10iccs7
  300. Fresh seller at 18 keys, this is you
  301. 19 days @ 19 keys
  302. 17 days @ 20 keys
  303. Bot selling 2 @ 20 keys
  304. 1 month @ 30 keys
  305.  
  306. Buyers are up to 17.5 keys
  307.  
  308. https://prnt.sc/10icdmz
  309. MP sellers at ~23/24 up to 28/29 keys
  310.  
  311. Given the long unsold at 19 keys/20 keys, I am inclined to tighten the range here to 18 - 19 keys
  312.  
  313. [b][u]Trend over the past 2 weeks[/u][/b]
  314. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603827b75c06be1e8203623b
  315. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603971020c353f91ab249bec
  316. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603a913d011e7c2a486dae7c
  317. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603c29d4eceee2abc1c54d57
  318. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603d68c4e7b7be5459ed6407
  319. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603ec44983f40a2025095d96
  320. https://gladiator.tf/listings/604000dd90942dcad9173888
  321. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60416c125616d8ce34a17f83
  322. https://gladiator.tf/listings/6042a39dabb084b59e2d4b33
  323. https://gladiator.tf/listings/604408295f89e27f7e502370
  324. https://gladiator.tf/listings/604551bdc815f5d402ece347
  325. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60469e9dbf9dc951b356fc58
  326. https://gladiator.tf/listings/6047e0ac7c4f2688f6154740
  327. https://gladiator.tf/listings/6049207c94bd967165a24468
  328.  
  329. The frequent qs.store listings at ~18.5 keys support my proposed range. Buyers have been over 17 keys more than a month ago https://gladiator.tf/listings/6024eeedb568718cba34e0fb
  330.  
  331. [b][u]Gladiator stats[/u][/b]
  332. https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Kaleidoscope%20Crabe%20de%20Chapeau
  333. 4 sales at ~17.5 keys rounding up to 18 keys
  334.  
  335. Yeah I think 18 - 19 keys is the right call here
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