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den4ik2003
Feb 17th, 2026
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  1. 0 UP=0.4400/0.4300 DN=0.5700/0.5600 ev_vol=$0.00 BLOCKER=min_move (|0.000222| < 0.0003)
  2. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.5m btc=68,045.93 cash=50.00 m2m=0.00 eq=50.00 pos=0 ticks=576374 actions=0 UP=0.4700/0.4600 DN=0.5400/0.5300 ev_vol=$0.00 BLOCKER=min_move (|0.000000| < 0.0003)
  3. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.5m btc=68,063.99 cash=50.00 m2m=0.00 eq=50.00 pos=0 ticks=578343 actions=0 UP=0.4800/0.4600 DN=0.5400/0.5200 ev_vol=$0.00 BLOCKER=min_move (|0.000265| < 0.0003)
  4. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.4m btc=68,079.95 cash=50.00 m2m=0.00 eq=50.00 pos=0 ticks=579798 actions=0 UP=0.4800/0.4600 DN=0.5400/0.5200 ev_vol=$0.00 BLOCKER=min_lag (-0.020002 < 0.01)
  5. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.3m btc=68,078.86 cash=50.00 m2m=0.00 eq=50.00 pos=0 ticks=580752 actions=0 UP=0.4600/0.4500 DN=0.5500/0.5400 ev_vol=$0.00 BLOCKER=min_lag (-0.015033 < 0.01)
  6. 22:01:47 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: POST https://clob.polymarket.com/order "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  7. 22:01:47 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: GET https://clob.polymarket.com/data/order/0x3a34710ab32fefc5bb8641028f1696fe3015b247302ad1c638dfd90434d1a088 "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  8. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: === BUY Result ===
  9. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: ok: True
  10. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: order_id: 0x3a34710ab32fefc5bb8641028f1696fe3015b247302ad1c638dfd90434d1a088
  11. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: side: UP
  12. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: reason: momentum_lag
  13. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: req_usd: 1.5633
  14. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: shares: 3.6279
  15. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: price: 0.4300
  16. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: cost_usd: 1.5600
  17. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: raw: {'errorMsg': '', 'orderID': '0x3a34710ab32fefc5bb8641028f1696fe3015b247302ad1c638dfd90434d1a088', 'takingAmount': '3.627905', 'makingAmount': '1.559999', 'status': 'matched', 'transactionsHashes': ['0xfecb464a1c37bbaaa49f287a0d0757f3677cf92262c137bb7d75a24740d27e2a'], 'success': True}
  18. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: sign: 122.3 ms | post: 300.9 ms | total: 423.2 ms
  19. 22:01:47 INFO momentum_prod: BUY UP reason=momentum_lag shares=3.6279 px=0.4300 notional=1.56 pos=1
  20. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.2m btc=68,066.14 cash=48.44 m2m=1.52 eq=49.96 pos=1 ticks=582283 actions=1 UP=0.4300/0.4200 DN=0.5800/0.5700 ev_vol=$1.56 BLOCKER=entry_cooldown
  21. 22:01:51 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: POST https://clob.polymarket.com/order "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  22. 22:01:51 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: GET https://clob.polymarket.com/data/order/0x78c66b6f3f3bf5f2fc5ff48b14e666672768f260d01f278aa13809be6d9b0c51 "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  23. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: === SELL(hedge->DOWN) Result ===
  24. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: ok: True
  25. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: order_id: 0x78c66b6f3f3bf5f2fc5ff48b14e666672768f260d01f278aa13809be6d9b0c51
  26. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: side: UP
  27. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: reason: stop_hit
  28. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: req_sh: 3.627905
  29. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: shares: 3.7333
  30. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: price: 0.3800
  31. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: cost_usd: 2.3147
  32. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: hedge: bought DOWN @ 0.6200 (eff sell @ 0.3800)
  33. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: raw: {'errorMsg': '', 'orderID': '0x78c66b6f3f3bf5f2fc5ff48b14e666672768f260d01f278aa13809be6d9b0c51', 'takingAmount': '3.733332', 'makingAmount': '2.239999', 'status': 'matched', 'transactionsHashes': ['0xeae0f199a8c6ebc8ea12959295a2f609a8a1a6646ff33f2fae90576a68d3d772'], 'success': True}
  34. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: sign: 11.0 ms | post: 149.8 ms | total: 160.8 ms
  35. 22:01:51 INFO momentum_prod: SELL UP reason=stop_hit shares=3.7333 px=0.3800 notional=2.31 pos=0
  36. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.1m btc=68,061.62 cash=49.82 m2m=0.00 eq=49.82 pos=0 ticks=583274 actions=2 UP=0.4100/0.4000 DN=0.6000/0.5900 ev_vol=$1.56 BLOCKER=min_move (|-0.000035| < 0.0003)
  37. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.0m btc=68,032.01 cash=49.82 m2m=0.00 eq=49.82 pos=0 ticks=584960 actions=2 UP=0.4100/0.4000 DN=0.6000/0.5900 ev_vol=$1.56 BLOCKER=depth (ask_sz=5 bid_sz=3837 min=10.0)
  38. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 58.0m btc=67,992.21 cash=49.82 m2m=0.00 eq=49.82 pos=0 ticks=586899 actions=2 UP=0.4000/0.3900 DN=0.6100/0.6000 ev_vol=$1.56 BLOCKER=min_lag (-0.047622 < 0.01)
  39. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 57.9m btc=67,990.73 cash=49.82 m2m=0.00 eq=49.82 pos=0 ticks=587658 actions=2 UP=0.4200/0.4100 DN=0.5900/0.5800 ev_vol=$1.56 BLOCKER=min_lag (0.001079 < 0.01)
  40. 22:02:11 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: POST https://clob.polymarket.com/order "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  41. 22:02:11 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: GET https://clob.polymarket.com/data/order/0x8b7735f6dac6c6017611cf2c1c4e5b70a1429a7e4cd762aba41dde9968b1e917 "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  42. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: === BUY Result ===
  43. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: ok: True
  44. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: order_id: 0x8b7735f6dac6c6017611cf2c1c4e5b70a1429a7e4cd762aba41dde9968b1e917
  45. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: side: DOWN
  46. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: reason: momentum_lag
  47. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: req_usd: 1.0091
  48. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: shares: 1.7241
  49. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: price: 0.5800
  50. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: cost_usd: 1.0000
  51. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: raw: {'errorMsg': '', 'orderID': '0x8b7735f6dac6c6017611cf2c1c4e5b70a1429a7e4cd762aba41dde9968b1e917', 'takingAmount': '1.724135', 'makingAmount': '0.999998', 'status': 'matched', 'transactionsHashes': ['0x8c74077c49ca09a6c5b6836dc4aef67f3ea9b1a6a905aba44668067fcf1bb10a'], 'success': True}
  52. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: sign: 13.7 ms | post: 238.2 ms | total: 251.8 ms
  53. 22:02:11 INFO momentum_prod: BUY DOWN reason=momentum_lag shares=1.7241 px=0.5800 notional=1.00 pos=1
  54. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 57.8m btc=67,994.36 cash=48.82 m2m=0.98 eq=49.80 pos=1 ticks=588485 actions=3 UP=0.4300/0.4100 DN=0.5900/0.5700 ev_vol=$2.56 BLOCKER=entry_cooldown
  55. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 57.7m btc=67,997.14 cash=48.82 m2m=0.98 eq=49.80 pos=1 ticks=589552 actions=3 UP=0.4300/0.4100 DN=0.5900/0.5700 ev_vol=$2.56 BLOCKER=edge_ratio (0.020124 < 0.024000)
  56. 22:02:18 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: POST https://clob.polymarket.com/order "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  57. 22:02:18 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: GET https://clob.polymarket.com/data/order/0xe258293c93cbc3bea6cf0a2402293194299897053f2956407649f8987bd80c5f "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  58. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: === SELL Result ===
  59. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: ok: False
  60. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: order_id: 0xe258293c93cbc3bea6cf0a2402293194299897053f2956407649f8987bd80c5f
  61. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: side: DOWN
  62. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: reason: partial_tp1
  63. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: req_sh: 1.000000
  64. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: shares: 0.0000
  65. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: price: 0.0000
  66. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: cost_usd: 0.0000
  67. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: error: zero fill on FAK order
  68. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: raw: {'errorMsg': '', 'orderID': '0xe258293c93cbc3bea6cf0a2402293194299897053f2956407649f8987bd80c5f', 'takingAmount': '2.32558', 'makingAmount': '0.999999', 'status': 'matched', 'transactionsHashes': ['0x24aace6d640490326fd7c5a57fb2db1f5a17ee7fdd2fcef4429f84865e8a94cd'], 'success': True}
  69. 22:02:18 INFO momentum_prod: sign: 15.0 ms | post: 324.6 ms | total: 339.6 ms
  70. 22:02:18 WARNING momentum_prod: order_failed SELL DOWN reason=partial_tp1 err=zero fill on FAK order
  71. 22:02:19 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: POST https://clob.polymarket.com/order "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  72. 22:02:19 INFO httpx: HTTP Request: GET https://clob.polymarket.com/data/order/0x6a75d681b93ab02b17afe9d22904152e97876384800385bc7da5aef8654c87a7 "HTTP/2 200 OK"
  73. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: === SELL(hedge->UP) Result ===
  74. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: ok: True
  75. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: order_id: 0x6a75d681b93ab02b17afe9d22904152e97876384800385bc7da5aef8654c87a7
  76. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: side: DOWN
  77. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: reason: quick_take_profit
  78. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: req_sh: 0.724135
  79. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: shares: 2.3256
  80. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: price: 0.5600
  81. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: cost_usd: 1.0233
  82. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: hedge: bought UP @ 0.4400 (eff sell @ 0.5600)
  83. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: raw: {'errorMsg': '', 'orderID': '0x6a75d681b93ab02b17afe9d22904152e97876384800385bc7da5aef8654c87a7', 'takingAmount': '2.32558', 'makingAmount': '0.999999', 'status': 'matched', 'transactionsHashes': ['0x03cc7bcbedf9d2ca1b32e8feaf4994d9c39089d73e2b5e773159408b3348159e'], 'success': True}
  84. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: sign: 11.6 ms | post: 394.9 ms | total: 406.5 ms
  85. 22:02:19 INFO momentum_prod: SELL DOWN reason=quick_take_profit shares=2.3256 px=0.5600 notional=1.02 pos=0
  86. [status] aggro event=bitcoin-up-or-down-february-17-2pm-et left= 57.6m btc=68,002.58 cash=49.78 m2m=0.00 eq=49.78 pos=0 ticks=590595 actions=5 UP=0.4200/0.4100 DN=0.5900/0.5800 ev_vol=$2.56 BLOCKER=min_move (|0.000153| < 0.0003)
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