import random

c = [0.8, 0.4, 0.05]
clicks_total = 6 * 8


tri_hits = 0
total_rounds = 0
for i in range(100000):
    lvl = 0
    available_clicks = clicks_total
    while available_clicks > 0 and lvl < 3:
        if random.uniform(0, 1) < c[lvl]:
            lvl = lvl + 1
        else:
            lvl = max(lvl - 1, 0)
        available_clicks = available_clicks - 1

        if lvl == 3:
            tri_hits = tri_hits + 1
            break

    total_rounds = total_rounds + 1
    print("rounds: %d hits: %d chance: %f" %(total_rounds, tri_hits, tri_hits / total_rounds))