6/22-6/26/24 Ukrainian General Update LanguageLearner

6/22/24-6/26/24 Update, day 850-854 of Russian invasion.


Belarus/Western Border:

Belarus continues to host Wagner group instructors for its military forces


Kyiv/Central Ukraine:

Per Budanov, UA has returned to a 1:5 artillery ratio vs RU, compared to 1:7 prior to US assistance arriving. He estimates it will take until sometime in July for the situation at the frontline to stabilize and be significantly impacted by the new ammo supplies.

Per the UA Air force, UA intercepted 1953/2277 shaheds this year (86%). Most intercepts happen from smaller air defense groups rather then large AD platforms.

During the period of using the Serhiy Prytula crowdfunded ICEYE satellites, UA specialists have taken a total of 4,173 images of enemy targets, including:

370 air bases;
238 positions of air defence systems and radio reconnaissance;
153 oil or fuel depots;
147 missile, aerial weapons and ammunition storage points;
17 naval bases.

A Ukrenegro manager was arrested and charged with corruption in purchasing bulletproof vests for the company at an inflated price, losing some $250,000 USD.

Zelensky signed a law declaring English the language of international communication in UA, and will offer a 10% bonus to civil servants who speak english.

English language skills will become mandatory for:
heads of local state administrations;
military officers;
prosecutors;
tax officials;
customs officers;
heads and teaching staff at institutes of higher education and scientific institutions;
heads of healthcare institutions.

UA will also begin funding the showing of english language films, in english. The original version of this law which would have required all english language films to be broadcast in the original english by 2027, was stripped after outcry.

The Cabinet of Ministers allowed enterprises and organizations that are certified operators of mine countermeasures to reserve 100% of the composition of groups or departments that are involved in demining the territories of Ukraine.


Northeast Ukraine/Kharkiv city:

RU continues to launch heavy strikes, including copious glide bombs, into the NE Kharkiv region. RU appears to have further solidified control over parts of N Vovchansk city.

RU is reportedly withdrawing some depleted forces from the Vovchansk area, following increased UA strikes on staging areas inside RU. UA additionally struck two SAM systems in Belgorod.

RU has launched some 700 glide bomb attacks in Kharkiv so far this month.


Kupyansk/Lyman:

RU has contested additional territory to the SE of Kupyansk along the highway near Berestove, launching 22 assaults over the last day.

RU is reportedly transferring new troops to the Svatove/Lyman axis, as they continue efforts to push W of the city.


Kramatorsk/Bakhmut:

RU forces aided by extensive MLRS strikes have advanced along the highway W of Ivanivske, up to the forest belt. RU launched 6 assaults over the last day. RU is broadly concentrating infantry in the forests north of Kanal.

RU has redoubled its efforts near Chasiv yar, launching about 6 assaults per day. RU has reportedly decreased its average equipment use per assault, and is losing some 50 soldiers per day + wounded .

RU has contested additional territory in W Kanal microdistrict, aided by heavy bombardment of the residential district over the last month. RU still has yet to decisively seize territory W of the river here, and faces a literal uphill battle in any attempts to cross under fire.

RU has increased its artillery volume of fire near Chasiv yar, and has brought more DPR/LPR conscript troops to the battle following heavy losses of RU VDV experienced forces. RU continues efforts to push towards Kliischivka, so as to flank Chasiv yar from the south near Toretsk.



Avdiivka/Pokrovsk:

RU continues to focus on this area, launching some 33 assaults to the W of Avdiivka.

RU has advanced further to the SW and NW, from the Arkanhelske direction towards Novopokrovske and Sokil.

The 3rd line of defensive fortifications which is being built by civilian contractors is reportedly 90% complete in the Donetsk oblast AO.

An RU soldier immediately executing his fellow soldier following an FPV strike (apparently at said wounded soldiers request) indicates the current level of combat medicine in low level RU units. The casualty apparently suffered a groin injury and immediately gestures to the other soldier to shoot him in the head, which the approaching soldier carried out without hesitation. This is probably more an indication of RU troops low belief in follow-on medical care, mixed with low morale, then anything else.

Zelensky visited the Donetsk AO troops with the new Commander of the Joint Forces of the ZSU, Andrii Hnatov

In May of this year, the ZSU recorded 715 cases when the Russians used ammunition containing dangerous chemicals. This is 271 more cases than in April. The overwhelming majority is CS gas.


Donetsk city/Occupied regions:

RU launched 20 assaults to the NW and SW of Marinka, including further contesting central Krasnohorivka and broadly assaulting from the industrial southern portion into the residential N.

Fierce fighting in Krasnohorivka in recent days.

RU has intensified its operations towards Krasnohorivka, launching 80 kamikaze UAVs and 640 other drone attacks over 3 days.

RU is reportedly importing judges from RU proper to the occupied territories, with 65/75 judges in occupied Zaporizhia and 51/53 judges in Kherson. The bulk of judges are reportedly from poorer regions of RU, as urban judicial staff from Moscow and St Petersburg are less likely to move to UA.

Russian authorities have forced over 10,000 children in occupied Donetsk Oblast to join the "Young Republic" (Molodaya Respublika) organization

As of now, 6 million Ukrainian citizens live on the TOT, 1.5 million of them are children


Zaporizhia/Southern Axis:

RU launched 22 assaults towards Staromaiorske and Robotyne. RU launched 457 attacks on 8 settlements, 182x with drones and 255x with artillery.

UA claims to have targeted RU forces and air defense at the Mariupol airport, as well as training grounds nearby.

RU has intensified glide bomb strikes on Kamianske.

Following damage to the power systems in Enerhodar, the NPP adjacent town was without electricity for 16 hours.

RU has begun to require that residents of Mariupol have an RU passport in order to retain their housing, or it will be nationalized.


Kherson:

RU launched 3 assaults on the UA bridgehead at Krynky. UA has allegedly gained some advantages in its operations here recently, although whether that is on the ground or aerial front is unspecified.

UA reportedly has an advantage in drone activity over the Dnipro currently.


Odessa/Black Sea/Crimea:

A cluster munition was reportedly intercepted over a crowded Sevastopol beach, leading to civilian casualties on the beach. RU claims it was a cluster ATACMS missile that was knocked off course by RU interceptor activity. At least 4 people were killed, and 151 injured.

There is one RU missile carrier ship in the black sea, and 2 RU missile ships in the sea of Azov



Russia:

UA drone strikes targeted RU oil refineries in Krasnodar, Bryansk, and Crimea on the 21st. The overwhelming of RU air defense resulted in a friendly fire incident where a naval Ka-29 helicopter was shot down.

The same strike reportedly damaged or destroyed some 120 drones of various kinds

Per new RU VDV command and training manuals, RU is reorganizing its focus to more infantry heavy frontline assaults, notable in that these previously "elite" forces are now reliant on the same tactics as other much less skilled/equipped units. RU command estimates for the lifespan of company-sized assault groups in combat (30-90 soldiers) is less then 48 hours before they are combat ineffective.

RU milbloggers visiting troops on the frontline report a culture of confusion and punitive punishments, with frontline soldiers literally not knowing why theyre fighting outside of "repelling UA troops" or propaganda like "denazification and defeating NATO"

Putin advocated for a "new eurasian security system" to serve as a replacement for NATO, and included such far afield countries as Kazakhstan and North Korea.

RU responded negatively to SK and Japanese complains and sanctions, following RU formally forming a strategic partnership agreement with the DPRK.

RU has intensified recruiting from prisons, in exhange for expungement of criminal sentences. RU will newly allow the FSB to select conscripts for service.s

RU has reportedly increased its defense industry working hours, with reports of the Kalashnikov corporation mandating 12 hour/6 day shifts without overtime pay.

An IS Causcas branch launched a combined series of terror attacks in Dagestan, as the group has increased their activity following the Crocus mall terror attack in march.

The Kremlin continued efforts to co-opt former Wagner Group personnel by introducing a new bill that would exempt much of the Wagner force from criminal responsibility for their participation in the Wagner armed rebellion on June 23 and 24, 2023

Bloomber reports a 62% increase in sexual assaults against minors in RU since 2022, attributed to returning soldiers who are leading criminal data increases in RU with untreated PTSD as they return home.


General:

Over the last day UA forces conducted Xairstrikes and RU forces conducted X air strikes (including drones), and X MLRS strikes. X RU kamikaze drones were used including XShaheds/Lancets and FPV.

Yesterday Ukrainian forces eliminated:

1220x soldiers (Total 538,060 day avg 1320 last 7 days)
19x APC
4x Tank
40x Artillery (0xMLRS)
0x Air Defense
0x Aircraft
45x vehicles
22x UAV

estimated cost: 58.2 million USD

total estimated cost- $100.1 Million/day per last 30 days, $3.0 Billion USD over last 30 days.


Overseas:

The US has announced new patriot missiles off the production line will be prioritized for Ukraine instead of prior allocations.

Joe Biden recently indicated that the US has secured commitments from five unspecified countries to provide Ukraine with additional Patriots and other air defense systems, and so far, Romania and now the Netherlands have confirmed their participation in this effort

The ICC issued arrest warrants for RU military leadership, Secretary Sergei Shoigu and Chief of staff Valery Gerasimov

The EU adopted its 14th package of sanctions against Russia on June 24, including new restrictions against Russian funding to political parties and other "opinion-forming" organizations and Russian state media broadcasts within the EU. RU responded by sanctioning some 80 EU based news broadcasters.

The EU approved a first tranche of up to 1.4 billion euros (about $1.5 billion) in military assistance for Ukraine from the proceeds of frozen Russian assets

The Council of the EU decided to extend temporary protection until March 4, 2026 for more than 4 million Ukrainians fleeing Russia's war of aggression

The United States is preparing to announce a package of military aid to Ukraine worth about $150 million, the Associated Press reported on June 24