Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
hello there, are you truly busy ?
ps: you are now immune and cannot be voted, but something should get voted.
immunity challenge made everyone in your tribe immune
which includes ya even if didnt join discord
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Hello
Send me discord link
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
I don't have the right to invite
do you have a pm on ffr ?
birdmang - 01/19/2018
I'm off work and having a beer at mod Pizza waiting for the bus
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
I could ask rb/raeko to link you too
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Let's hash a few things out, don't know what yet but let's start
I'll ask her now on discord
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
kk
birdmang - 01/19/2018
How are you planning to navigate this game
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
pretty much like a standard game without the vote advantage
abusing alliances maybe
coordinating votes is kinda forced
birdmang - 01/19/2018
You have confidence in your ability-- yes it is, we have a pretty fucking bad Bayesian probability of hitting wolf, and that actually compounds daily for each day we dont
You have to make a voting pact with a small group of trustees to hit wolf, the critical number is likely 4 votes
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
well "confidence in my ability", more like trying to supervise where everyone's interactions lead to and move from that
yeah
I posted about that in the thread recently
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Knocking off the first wolf tilts the game heavily in our favor statistically
Because two wolf coordination among ten makes the math essentially random and distributed human reading ability tilts in our favor a bit imo
Well I have vote immunity
How do we best use tjis
It's our tool, you and I know tell no one else evee
Let's tool up a scheme
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
while you're at it,we should invite you to staff discord xd
sry, unrelated
birdmang - 01/19/2018
I have the link I just haven't joined, I mean I moderate the drug addicts, alcoholics, and assholes forum I'm not sure how much use I'd be in the staff discord unless it's actually just good convo
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
anyway, immunity is for an entire tribe so, obviously focus on remaining players
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Hmm
Oh I get it
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
3. star-crossed
4. Wayward Vagabond
6. Soundwave-
7. reuben_tate
10. Tokzic
11. theknightsofneeee
12. Charu
14. flashflash account
is the list
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Let's meta-game the host knowing round box is a 5k DotA player, professional BLC player, and extremely thorough guy
I'm going to guess this might have been designed to have two wolves in this group, how do you feel about that read
The working assumption is 3 wolves
Hmm I don't feel like I'm getting much from you, my bus is coming in 12 minutes, was hoping you'd show inquisitive nature here given the number of questions you ask in the thread
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
in post 3 it says there's 4 wolves
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Raeko said it?
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
yeah
why do you think there's 3 ?
birdmang - 01/19/2018
12/3 is standard
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
16 players
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Clearly not a details guy
Hmm feel less confident about metagaming 2/1 split
Want something useful from you
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
?
birdmang - 01/19/2018
I've invested 10 minutes my opinion hasn't changed
Yours of me might have but I've done most of the talking
You've stuck to banalities
Do you have feelings?
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
can't decide is dumbtelling, but otherwise looks good
birdmang - 01/19/2018
Elaborate
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
well, you just said 12/3
and you're like the 2nd person to be like "there's 3 wolves"
(first one was Tokzic)
birdmang - 01/19/2018
How long have you been playing TWG?
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
trust me, time didn't help me get much better
but like 2 years
birdmang - 01/19/2018
It's day 1 I could give fuck all for details I didn't read the host post, I figure that shit out after there's blood spilled. Right now everything is emotional impressions, and I feel like that's too long of a time playing for you not to get that.
Do you have a learning disability?
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
more like easily distracted
and depending on how much I concentrate, the game gets better
objectively speaking
birdmang - 01/19/2018
I dunno man we got eight people to vote up do you have any impulse there
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
I'm like in a voice chat with 4-5 players
discussing about that
birdmang - 01/19/2018
K
Well im out but peace
Hakulyte - 01/19/2018
reuben_tate/flashflash/tokzic/soundwave seems to be on the table kinda
hope I didn't tilt ya with the 3 wolves thing
need to figure out how to read you too
birdmang - 01/19/2018
No I'm just naturally mean in this game
I will continue to get meaner
January 20, 2018
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:33 PM
do you mind if I add you as friend on discord to make a group chat with 15 players so I can stop sending pidgeon messenger every time I want to talk to the other tribe ?
I like to think you're just playing a character here
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:40 PM
I left the game. I am a peaceful person who becomes a sociopath when I play this game and I don't like that so I subbed out
No I am not playing a character I was just very heavily goal oriented
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:44 PM
I mean, technically speaking you're still in the game
I guess that's a no ?
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:44 PM
I am until I am out you can talk to me but I am out soon
Raeko is a long and good friend and she understood my reasons for leaving after I interrogated people last night
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:46 PM
http://www.flashflashrevolution.com/vbz/showpost.php?p=4606071&postcount=506

does that look right to you ?
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:47 PM
Yes
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:47 PM
I grabbed voting intention in thread knowing it could be wrong and tried to match it with the tally
and asked 1 on 1 for a few
should have some value in a few phases
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:48 PM
Tokzic may or may not be a wolf, but yesterday is a corroborating factor in his wolfiness, increases the chance by like 20%
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:48 PM
did you read this: http://www.flashflashrevolution.com/vbz/showpost.php?p=4605793&postcount=291
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:48 PM
The biggest thing to glean from yesterday
No listen
Is that someone in our group, in voice chat, knew that the day was fundamentally lost an hour before they should have
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:50 PM
actually I can see this as a wolf strat too
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:50 PM
They spewed that
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:50 PM
idk what you mean
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:50 PM
Our group took that perspective prematurely
At 80min to EOD
People felt we had no impact on the game
Someone maneuvered that perspective, almost certainly
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:51 PM
coordinating is garbage without seeing the other tribe chat
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:51 PM
Are you a fucking idiot?
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:52 PM
explain
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:52 PM
Have you never had to budget money in your life? Or face romantic rejection?
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:52 PM
no.
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:52 PM
Reality is not what you want or think it should be
It's filled with constraints
You act on the margib
Margin
Someone pushed our immune tribe into feeling hopeless for sure
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:53 PM
fmpov Tokzic painted a target on his back by calling publicly he wouldn't be arround
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:54 PM
At least 2 wolves
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:54 PM
and I thought you were exploiting that
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:54 PM
You can't do that alone, it's like 100th monkey syndrome
I was actively trying to rally a kill
With my whole heart
I didn't care about barriers or obstacles
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:55 PM
well, I can see you following that goal, but I couldn't tell for intentions
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:56 PM
That's fine you're bad at this game and have a paranoid mental sojourn from time to time I just want to get you to see with my eyes before I go do laundry
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:57 PM
can still get tokzic shot in theory
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:57 PM
It took two people in concert to diffuse our tribe when we had the advantage
How did they do it?
I mean they obviously played off of us
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:58 PM
did they even need to do anything ?
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:58 PM
But when,. And where?
They had to of
Did you see how strong I came off?
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:58 PM
yeah
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:59 PM
And they absolutely did it in voice
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 2:59 PM
I just don't know if it's your meta to project town like that
birdmang - Last Saturday at 2:59 PM
Where there's no record
Who cares someone fucked our tribe when the bidding was essential
birdmang - Last Saturday at 3:01 PM
I'm literally replacing out I'm literally having a heart to heart about this game, and you're still fucking paranoid... Jesus Christ dude don't play this game
Someone fucked our tribe, probably two people. They actively worked against trying to kill someone. Ask yourself who those people might be. Stop playing empathy and start playing chess. Godspeed Haku, I gotta do laundry.
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 3:04 PM
going to guess you're town based on not thinking you would simulate all of this
I wish your were in that voice call
even if 90% of it was not productive
birdmang - Last Saturday at 3:05 PM
Stop wishing?
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 3:56 PM
did you get to Tokzic by process of elimination of some sort or some conclusion based on interactions or activity or posts in the thread ?
birdmang - Last Saturday at 3:58 PM
I made a gut call
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 3:58 PM
im talking with star-crossed
birdmang - Last Saturday at 3:59 PM
Ok
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 3:59 PM
want to join ?
birdmang - Last Saturday at 4:02 PM
What's the value
Hakulyte - Last Saturday at 4:02 PM
she's interested in your tokzic wagon
birdmang - Last Saturday at 4:12 PM
Mm