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newly trained model on only pinnicale odds

Dec 5th, 2018
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  1. =====================================================
  2. Fold #1
  3. training score 0.6823542378485616
  4. testing score 0.6333186425738211
  5. validation score 0.632
  6. precision recall f1-score support
  7.  
  8. 0 0.63 0.71 0.67 1172
  9. 1 0.64 0.55 0.59 1097
  10.  
  11. micro avg 0.63 0.63 0.63 2269
  12. macro avg 0.63 0.63 0.63 2269
  13. weighted avg 0.63 0.63 0.63 2269
  14.  
  15. =====================================================
  16. =====================================================
  17. Fold #2
  18. training score 0.6858811859362945
  19. testing score 0.6377258704275011
  20. validation score 0.6212
  21. precision recall f1-score support
  22.  
  23. 0 0.63 0.72 0.67 1172
  24. 1 0.65 0.55 0.59 1097
  25.  
  26. micro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2269
  27. macro avg 0.64 0.63 0.63 2269
  28. weighted avg 0.64 0.64 0.63 2269
  29.  
  30. =====================================================
  31. =====================================================
  32. Fold #3
  33. training score 0.6674749256034388
  34. testing score 0.6403702071397092
  35. validation score 0.63
  36. precision recall f1-score support
  37.  
  38. 0 0.63 0.72 0.67 1172
  39. 1 0.65 0.56 0.60 1097
  40.  
  41. micro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2269
  42. macro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2269
  43. weighted avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2269
  44.  
  45. =====================================================
  46. =====================================================
  47. Fold #4
  48. training score 0.6660789067665859
  49. testing score 0.6591710758377425
  50. validation score 0.6316
  51. precision recall f1-score support
  52.  
  53. 0 0.65 0.72 0.69 1171
  54. 1 0.66 0.60 0.63 1097
  55.  
  56. micro avg 0.66 0.66 0.66 2268
  57. macro avg 0.66 0.66 0.66 2268
  58. weighted avg 0.66 0.66 0.66 2268
  59.  
  60. =====================================================
  61. =====================================================
  62. Fold #5
  63. training score 0.6654545454545454
  64. testing score 0.6475518306131451
  65. validation score 0.6348
  66. precision recall f1-score support
  67.  
  68. 0 0.64 0.73 0.68 1171
  69. 1 0.66 0.56 0.60 1096
  70.  
  71. micro avg 0.65 0.65 0.65 2267
  72. macro avg 0.65 0.64 0.64 2267
  73. weighted avg 0.65 0.65 0.64 2267
  74.  
  75. =====================================================
  76.  
  77. kfold train scores mean 0.6734487603218853
  78. kfold train scores [0.6823542378485616, 0.6858811859362945, 0.6674749256034388, 0.6660789067665859, 0.6654545454545454]
  79. kfold test score mean 0.6436275253183839
  80. kfold test scores [0.6333186425738211, 0.6377258704275011, 0.6403702071397092, 0.6591710758377425, 0.6475518306131451]
  81. validation scores mean 0.62992
  82. validation scores [0.632, 0.6212, 0.63, 0.6316, 0.6348]
  83.  
  84. Model on full data(train/test)
  85. train score 0.6745826475429109
  86. test score 0.6435119887165022
  87. validation score 0.6408
  88.  
  89.  
  90. test report:
  91. precision recall f1-score support
  92.  
  93. 0 0.65 0.70 0.68 1496
  94. 1 0.64 0.58 0.60 1340
  95.  
  96. micro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2836
  97. macro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2836
  98. weighted avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2836
  99.  
  100. validation data report:
  101. precision recall f1-score support
  102.  
  103. 0 0.64 0.68 0.66 1277
  104. 1 0.64 0.60 0.62 1223
  105.  
  106. micro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2500
  107. macro avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2500
  108. weighted avg 0.64 0.64 0.64 2500
  109.  
  110.  
  111. validation brier score 0.22293793406937198
  112. book brier score 0.25046488341199996
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