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Exarion

Emerald win chance by fight (Abra route)

Exarion
Nov 15th, 2018
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  1. (2:32 attempts, no Revive)
  2.  
  3. ODDS TO... % Fraction
  4. Finish "on pace" run deathless 8.9% 1/11
  5. Finish after Roxanne 14.6% 1/7
  6. Finish after Rival 2 19.8% 1/5
  7. Finish after Norman 35.8% 1/3
  8. Finish after Winona 46.0% 1/2
  9. Finish after Tate & Liza 71.0% 2/3
  10. Finish after Archie 91.7% 9/10
  11.  
  12. TOP RUN KILLERS:
  13. 1. Tate & Liza (26%)
  14. 2. Rival 2 (21%)
  15. 3. Norman (17%)
  16. T-4. Roxanne (15%)
  17. T-4. Flannery (15%)
  18. T-4. Jody (15%)
  19.  
  20. FIGHT % WIN NOTES
  21. Rival 1 94
  22. Calvin 87
  23. Route 102 wild 98 Includes chance of not fighting one
  24. Aqua Pooch 93
  25. Josh 98 Average of fighting him 1st and 2nd
  26. Tommy 99 Average of fighting him 1st and 2nd
  27. Marc 100
  28. Roxanne 85
  29. Devan 100
  30. Aqua Pooch 2 99.9
  31. Museum Grunt 1 95 Average of fighting as Mudkip and Marshtomp
  32. Museum Grunt 2 98
  33. Isabel 100
  34. Kabel 100
  35. Rival 2 79
  36. Alyssa 99.9
  37. Edward 99
  38. Deandre 100
  39. Wally 1 100
  40. Ben 99.9
  41. Wattson 98
  42. Lucas 100
  43. Rose 100
  44. Chimney Grunt 1 100
  45. Chimney Grunt 2 100
  46. Tabitha 1 100
  47. Maxie 1 98
  48. Flannery 85
  49. Brawly 100
  50. Randall 99.4
  51. Parker 98
  52. Jody 85
  53. Norman 82
  54. Weather Grunt 1 98.5
  55. Weather Grunt 2 100
  56. Weather Grunt 3 98.5
  57. Shelly 92
  58. Rival 3 94
  59. Mt. Pyre Grunt 1 100
  60. Mt. Pyre Grunt 2 100
  61. Mt. Pyre double 100
  62. Fortree double 99.5
  63. Darius 94
  64. Winona 99 Does not count Perish Song as a death
  65. Magma Hideout 1 100
  66. Magma Hideout 2 100
  67. Magma Hideout 3 99.9
  68. Magma Hideout 4 100
  69. Magma Hideout 5 100
  70. Magma double 100
  71. Tabitha 2 100
  72. Maxie 2 88
  73. Aqua Hideout 1 100
  74. Aqua double 1 100
  75. Aqua double 2 100
  76. Matt 100
  77. Declan 99.9
  78. Mossdeep double 99.9
  79. Macey 100
  80. Sylvia 100
  81. Hannah 100
  82. Tate & Liza 74
  83. Space Magma 1 100
  84. Space Magma 2 99.9
  85. Space Magma 3 100
  86. Space Magma 4 100
  87. Space Magma 5 100
  88. True double 88
  89. Aqua spinner 100
  90. Archie 88
  91. Juan 100
  92. Wally 2 100
  93. Hope 100
  94. Shannon 100
  95. Julie 100
  96. Edgar 100
  97. Sidney 100
  98. Phoebe 100
  99. Glacia 98.5
  100. Drake 99
  101. Champion 94
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