Coronavirus Information

<<INFECTED: 983,006>>
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434

<<U.S. DEFENSE COMMITTEE>>
http://youtu.be/FHA5Nfg5sCI

Transcript:
This coronavirus is a catastrophe on the scale of Chernobyl for China but actually it's probably worse than Chernobyl which was localized in its effect. The coronavirus could result in a global pandemic.

While you were all sleeping overnight, the number of diagnosed cases in China increased by 30%. Now let me be clear: that's not new cases. That is just newly admitted cases. It is probably several orders of magnitude higher than that.

Also while you were sleeping, China now has its entire border with Russia closed: 2600 miles. Russia has closed that border. El Al has shut down travel between Israel and China. Air France has shut down travel between China and France. And that's in addition to all the other countries that had already shut down travel.

From what we know so far, and there's still many unknowns, this virus could have both a long incubation period as much as 14 days and individuals could be contagious while asymptomatic which was not the case with SARS in 2003. Furthermore, from some cases it appears the virus could be aerosolized which means it doesn't require the kind of contact that you have with, say, a married couple kissing each other or family living in close quarters in a hotel or apartment, but rather the distance we are all sitting apart right now.

Yet China is still lying about all of this. They've been lying about it from the very beginning and you don't need their history of lying about SARS in 2003 though it is relevant here. You just have to see what's happened over the last two months. We now know that the first case manifested no later than December 1 even though China didn't reveal it to the WHO until a month later on December 31 when they continued to hide it from their own citizens. And they continued to say that it would be contained inside Wuhan; today it is in every single province in China.

They also claimed for almost two months, until earlier this week, that it had originated in a seafood market in Wuhan, that locals had contracted it from animals, say bat soup or snake tartare. That is not the case: The Lancet published study last weekend demonstrating that of the original 40 cases, 14 of them had no contact with the seafood market including patient zero. As one epidemiologist said: that virus went into the seafood market before it came out of the seafood market. We still don't know where it originated: could have been another seafood market, could have been a farm, could have been a food processing company. I would note that Wuhan also has China's only biosafety level 4 laboratory that works with the world's most deadly pathogens. That include, yes, coronavirus.

Now look at China's own actions: they have quarantined 60 million people. 60 million. More than the entire population of our West Coast. They've shut down schools indefinitely, classes canceled nationwide indefinitely. Hong Kong, a port of China, has basically shut down all travel from the mainland. That's why it is essential that we immediately stop all travel on commercial aircraft between China and the United States.

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*******  Index *************************************************
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*******  1. Useful Links ***************************************
*******  2. Important ******************************************
*******  3. News ***********************************************
*******  4. Science ********************************************
*******  5. Data Limitations *********************

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*******  1. Useful Links ***************************************
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Latest cases
http://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

Worldwide count
http://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Infected countries
http://w.wiki/GWa

Current world map
http://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Timeline world map
http://w.wiki/Ghg

China stats in real time
http://news.qq.com/zt2020/page/feiyan.htm

Daily CCP reports
http://nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/new_list.shtm

Latest CCP report translated
http://doi.org/10.13070/mm.en.10.2867

Download historical data for deaths
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UF2pSkFTURko2OvfHWWlFpDFAr1UxCBA4JLwlSP6KFo/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=Death

Download historical data for confirmed
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UF2pSkFTURko2OvfHWWlFpDFAr1UxCBA4JLwlSP6KFo/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=Confirmed

Stock markets
https://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

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*******  2. Important ******************************************
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Infection could reach 60% of world population
http://archive.is/Xcxwm

CSIS warns about incoming global economic freeze
http://youtu.be/QW0Q8cSBpUA

Wartime conditions in China
http://archive.is/YN0Cb

"Increasingly unlikely it can be contained", former CDC director
http://archive.is/Mggc6

Over half of China under lockdown, accounting for 80% of GDP, 90% of exports
http://archive.is/HLAN0

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*******  3. News ***********************************************
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Recommended
http://twitter.com/BNODesk

17-Feb: Cambodia complacency may exact a global toll
http://archive.is/6o5sT

16-Feb: Hubei in total lockdown, residents shouldn't go out
http://archive.is/zN7q5

15-Feb: Westerdam docks in Cambodia, had infected on board
http://archive.is/KOGx1#selection-2317.0-2320.0

14-Feb: Deutsche Post stops sending packages to China
http://archive.is/H0EkM

13-Feb: Vietnam quarantines 10,000 people
http://archive.is/1y9S9

13-Feb: Japan reports 1st death from nCoV
http://archive.is/56BE5

12-Feb: 59 contacts of confirmed cases in the Philippines show symptoms
http://archive.is/uEL48

11-Feb: Nissan to shut Japan factory due to shortages
http://archive.is/tqJyP

11-Feb: CDC mistakenly released infected patient in San Diego, California
http://archive.is/9BLj9

10-Feb: Emergency declared in Santa Clara, California
http://archive.is/wip/F1y4W

8-Feb: Chinese officials scrambling to keep food flowing
http://archive.is/MuH9L

8-Feb: 100 more people on Japan cruise ship have fever
http://archive.is/WYtVd

8-Feb: American man infected with nCoV dies in China
http://archive.is/6h9vU

7-Feb: Major companies will struggle to make products due to shutdown
http://archive.is/30Quw

7-Feb: CDC accidentally implies mask shortages are coming
http://youtu.be/DVGEf2FlKi4?t=3180

7-Feb: CDC: China is beyond containment
http://youtu.be/DVGEf2FlKi4?t=2015

6-Feb: Global container shipping trade disrupted
http://archive.is/XTnXO

6-Feb: China to round up infected in concentration camps
http://archive.is/HRxdd

5-Feb: Cruise ship potentially infected in Hong Kong
http://archive.is/R7bdT

5-Feb: Patient escaped from isolation lockdown in Austria
http://archive.is/L3qKi

4-Feb: Cruise ship quarantined in Japan
http://archive.is/h4ubU

3-Feb: Thousands quarantined in India
http://archive.is/OW5QQ

3-Feb: WHO sets global emergency status as _DECLARED_
http://archive.is/le7Xy

2-Feb: First death outside China confirmed in Philippines
http://archive.is/e1sHf

2-Feb: Hunt for 480 Wuhan travelers lost in Britain
http://archive.is/vUMrH

1-Feb: Multiple countries restrict travel from China
http://archive.is/6ZtOt

31-Jan: USA bans entry of foreigners who have recently been to China
http://archive.is/uq2ci

30-Jan: Neighboring countries close borders with China
http://archive.is/2G5Rr

30-Jan: nCoV surpassed SARS outbreak in less than a month
http://archive.is/w2lwa

30-Jan: Cruise ship quarantined in Italy
http://archive.is/zSQF4

29-Jan: Airlines suspend flights from China
http://archive.is/mhtsl

28-Jan: WHO sets global threat level as _HIGH_
http://archive.is/pZiw8

27-Jan: Hubei adding 100,000 beds in effort to contain outbreak
http://archive.is/MIIbx

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*******  4. Science ********************************************
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WHO fact sheet for clinic management
http://www.who.int/emergencies/what-we-do/prevention-readiness/disease-commodity-packages/dcp-ncov.pdf
http://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/dcp--ncov.pdf

Archive of scientific papers
http://the-eye.eu/public/Papers/CoronaVirusPapers/

Comparing to other outbreaks
http://ncov.r6.no/

Tracker of mutations
http://nextstrain.org/ncov

Testicular damage
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022418

Reinfection possible and even deadlier
http://archive.is/Iw58p

Study: r0 between 6.11 and 8.18, higher than expected
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434

Study: r0 between 4.7 and 6.6, higher than expected
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154

WHO: nCoV much worse than Ebola
http://youtu.be/HeskASnreEE

Virus spreads through pipes
http://archive.is/dTtfj

Study: nCoV contains new HIV-like cleavage site
http://doi.org/10.1016/j.antiviral.2020.104742

Incubation period of 24 days, longer than expected
http://archive.is/8dsa9

Study: Clinical characteristics (n=1099)
- Still hospitalized: 93.6%
- Discharged from hospital: 5.0%
- Dead within a short period: 1.4%
- Severe: 15.7%
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.06.20020974

Aerosolized, airborne transmission
http://archive.is/AOka6#selection-563.0-558.5

Infected come out negative 50 to 70% of the time
http://archive.is/yyGJm#selection-1183.0-1183.112

Virus doesn't show up on throat samples
http://archive.is/FDXiM#selection-1611.1-1616.0

Study: Clinical characteristics (n=138)
- High risk of hospital transmission
- 26.1% went to the ICU
- Discharged: 31.1%
- Dead within a short period: 4.3%
- Still hospitalized: 35.4%
http://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.1585

18% of cases severe or critical
http://youtu.be/CQtuKNM5gCg?t=1118

Study: Survives ≥28 days on surfaces at 4°C
http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhin.2020.01.022

MRC director:
- China: only 10% of cases detected
- Overseas: only 25% of cases detected
- 50,000 infections daily in China
- Doubling every 5 days
- Limited evidence of slowing
- Wuhan peak: 1 month from now
- China peak: 2 to 3 months from now
- Mild carriers self-sustaining
- Onset to death: over 20 days
http://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw

As young as 27 dying without any underlying disease
http://archive.is/pgxDl#selection-1353.80-1361.40

Antiviral resistance
http://archive.is/pgxDl

Still asymptomatic, "flawed German report" irrelevant
http://archive.is/bVMQS#selection-1641.0-1641.417

Rapidly mutating
http://archive.is/GPVv4

Puzzles surrounding nCoV
http://archive.is/wuh0o

Bodies must be cremated
http://archive.is/kdBtS

Study: 21,022 individuals infected in Wuhan by Jan 22, 2020
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549

Study: A single mutation could significantly enhance ability to infect humans
http://doi.org/10.1128/JVI.00127-20

False negatives are common
http://archive.is/BN0gl#selection-699.111-699.250

Patients can get reinfected, no immunity after recovery
http://archive.is/W9vNf

Patients potentially infectious after recovery
http://archive.is/o8jt7

Study: Effects and symptoms (n=99)
- Average age 55.5 [*]
- Male 68%
- Chronic diseases 51%
- Fever 83%
- Cough 82%
- Shortness of breath 31%
- Muscle ache 11%
- Confusion 9%
- Headache 8%
- Sore throat 5%
- Rhinorrhoea 4%
- Chest pain 2%
- Diarrhoea 2%
- Nausea 1%
- Vomiting 1%
- Bilateral pneumonia 75%
- Multiple mottling 14%
- Ground-glass opacity 14%
- Pneumotorax 1%
- Acute respiratory distress 17%
- Dead within a short period 11%
http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7
[*] 68% of patients in the range [42.4—68.8]

Study: r0 = 4.08
http://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952v1

Study: 75,815 individuals infected in Wuhan by Jan 25, 2020
http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9

Study: Asians at much higher risk due to ACE2 cells
http://doi.org/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985

Asymptomatic carriers, asymptomatic transmission
http://archive.is/J0Wzo

Study: nCoV associated with ICU admission and high mortality (n=41)
http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5

Human-to-human transmission
http://archive.is/CPpoS#selection-2361.2-2361.113

Incubation period of two weeks
http://archive.is/Xuylr#selection-1011.223-1011.331

Simulation: Coronavirus kills 65 million with 10% fatality rate
http://archive.is/SbzGJ#selection-1483.68-1483.298

SARS coronavirus resistance
- Minimal reduction in virus concentration after 21 days at 4°C and -80°C
- Reduction in virus concentration by one log only at stable room temperature for 2 days
- Heat at 56°C kills the SARS coronavirus at around 10000 units per 15 min (quick reduction)
http://archive.is/RAVA1

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*******  5. Data Limitations ***********************************
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Barron's: China figures don't add up, likely simulated
http://archive.is/gzUVo

CDC: Test kits in the U.S and 30 countries are flawed
http://archive.is/cLmse

Japan confirms China doesn't count suspected in death toll
http://archive.is/H1Bm1

Crematorium: 127 bodies, 48 suspected and only 8 confirmed
http://archive.is/Lb6ry
http://youtu.be/xhRqoRguOFQ
http://youtu.be/-KFxCqV1fPQ

CCP treating patients with "traditional Chinese medicine"
http://archive.is/NyGT7
http://archive.is/gJusn#selection-561.253-561.281

"Detailed information provided in only 38% of cases", WHO director
http://archive.is/GSeHM#selection-1353.124-1353.183

CCP cremates observed and suspected patients immediately
http://archive.is/kdBtS#selection-571.0-571.152

CCP limited the use of testing kits to limit confirmed cases
http://archive.is/qnQ3p

CCP admitted all cases need to be tested twice
http://youtu.be/zbn8KBoHFOw?t=1279

Hubei official admitted shortage of testing kits
http://youtu.be/zbn8KBoHFOw?t=3312

Wuhan mayor admitted suspected cases already in pneumonia stage
http://youtu.be/zbn8KBoHFOw?t=2710

Wuhan mayor admitted shortage of testing kits
http://youtu.be/zbn8KBoHFOw?t=1231

Crematorium: CCP burning bodies without testing or registration
http://archive.is/Thlaq#selection-3847.1-3847.225

China healthcare at breaking point, delays in testing
http://archive.is/J8G9D

CCP admitted they have a daily testing capacity
http://youtu.be/UAUSQpyOSpY?t=1681

China turns patients away without testing due to shortages
http://archive.is/LaD0M

China underreports number of infections and deaths
http://archive.is/r7Tak

China faces shortage of testing kits
http://archive.is/B9czu

According to CCP data, the flu only kills 144 people yearly in China
http://archive.is/K40ru#selection-1321.0-1296.18

H1N1 only had 14,286 confirmed deaths, yet WHO estimates 284,500 actually died
http://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(12)70121-4