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Exarion

Risky risky strat (Red)

Sep 12th, 2016
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  1. 1. Elixer after Hypno
  2. 2. Just Super Repel in Fuchsia
  3. 3. Super Repel again + teach Strength + candy to L43 in the water before mansion
  4. > 2% chance to get a L40 Tentacool encounter
  5. > 11% to escape from Tentacool on turn 1 (23% on turn 2, 35% on turn 3, etc.)
  6. > 25% for Squirtle to die to Tentacool each turn
  7. - TIME SAVE: 0.4s (0.8s saved from faster menus, 0.4s lost to Tentacools)
  8. - RISK: 0.01% chance to die to Tentacool
  9. 4. IB x3 Erika
  10. > Victreebel is an 83% range
  11. - TIME LOSS: 0.3s
  12. - RISK: 5% chance to die to Victreebel
  13. 5. Delay Elixer until after Giovanni
  14. - TIME SAVE: 1.2s
  15.  
  16. TOTAL TIME SAVE: 1.3s
  17. TOTAL RISK: 5.01%
  18.  
  19. CONCLUSION: Worse risk than YOLOrelei and Keizagatha, but better risk than YOLO Drilling Lance. For what it's worth, this strat is 81% likely to save 3.1 seconds.
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