Create a new version of paste:

root# avrdude -DV -patmega328p -Pnet:192.168.3.104:2323 -carduino -b115200 -U flash:w:blink.hex:i -v -v -v -v
avrdude: Version 6.0.1, compiled on Oct 21 2013 at 17:07:18
         Copyright (c) 2000-2005 Brian Dean, http://www.bdmicro.com/
         Copyright (c) 2007-2009 Joerg Wunsch

         System wide configuration file is "/etc/avrdude.conf"
         User configuration file is "/root/.avrduderc"
         User configuration file does not exist or is not a regular file, skipping

         Using Port                    : net:192.168.3.104:2323
         Using Programmer              : arduino
         Overriding Baud Rate          : 115200
ioctl("TIOCMGET"): Inappropriate ioctl for device
ioctl("TIOCMGET"): Inappropriate ioctl for device
avrdude: Send: 0 [30]   [20] 
avrdude: Send: 0 [30]   [20] 
avrdude: Send: 0 [30]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: . [14] 
avrdude: Recv: . [10] 
         AVR Part                      : ATmega328P
         Chip Erase delay              : 9000 us
         PAGEL                         : PD7
         BS2                           : PC2
         RESET disposition             : dedicated
         RETRY pulse                   : SCK
         serial program mode           : yes
         parallel program mode         : yes
         Timeout                       : 200
         StabDelay                     : 100
         CmdexeDelay                   : 25
         SyncLoops                     : 32
         ByteDelay                     : 0
         PollIndex                     : 3
         PollValue                     : 0x53
         Memory Detail                 :

                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           eeprom        65    20     4    0 no       1024    4      0  3600  3600 0xff 0xff
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           flash         65     6   128    0 yes     32768  128    256  4500  4500 0xff 0xff
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           lfuse          0     0     0    0 no          1    0      0  4500  4500 0x00 0x00
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           hfuse          0     0     0    0 no          1    0      0  4500  4500 0x00 0x00
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           efuse          0     0     0    0 no          1    0      0  4500  4500 0x00 0x00
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           lock           0     0     0    0 no          1    0      0  4500  4500 0x00 0x00
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           calibration    0     0     0    0 no          1    0      0     0     0 0x00 0x00
                                  Block Poll               Page                       Polled
           Memory Type Mode Delay Size  Indx Paged  Size   Size #Pages MinW  MaxW   ReadBack
           ----------- ---- ----- ----- ---- ------ ------ ---- ------ ----- ----- ---------
           signature      0     0     0    0 no          3    0      0     0     0 0x00 0x00

         Programmer Type : Arduino
         Description     : Arduino
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [80]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: 0 [30] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x30
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [81]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [82]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: 0 [30] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x30
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [98]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
         Hardware Version: 151201452
         Firmware Version: 151196036.0
         Topcard         : Unknown
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [84]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: 0 [30] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x30
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [85]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [86]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: 0 [30] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x30
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [87]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [89]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: 0 [30] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x30
         Vtarget         : 6289049.6 V
         Varef           : 307751561.6 V
         Oscillator      : 0.001 Hz
         SCK period      : 164058194.5 us

avrdude: Send: A [41] . [81]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
avrdude: Send: A [41] . [82]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: A [41] 

avrdude: stk500_getparm(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x41
avrdude: Send: B [42] . [86] . [00] . [00] . [01] . [01] . [01] . [01] . [03] . [ff] . [ff] . [ff] . [ff] . [00] . [80] . [04] . [00] . [00] . [00] . [80] . [00]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv: . [80] 
avrdude: stk500_initialize(): (a) protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x80
avrdude: initialization failed, rc=-1
         Double check connections and try again, or use -F to override
         this check.

avrdude: Send: Q [51]   [20] 
avrdude: Recv:   [20] 
avrdude: stk500_disable(): protocol error, expect=0x14, resp=0x20
ioctl("TIOCMGET"): Inappropriate ioctl for device

avrdude done.  Thank you.

Debug Log:
  310> Serbridge pins: reset=12 isp=13 swap=0
   310> Reset cause: 6=external
   310> exccause=0 epc1=0x0 epc2=0x0 epc3=0x0 excvaddr=0x0 depc=0x0
   310> Flash map 4MB:512/512, manuf 0xE0 chip 0x4016
   311> ** esp-link ready
   311> MQTT_Init
   311> mode : sta(18:fe:34:f4:c1:0c)
   311> add if0
   312> f r0, scandone
  2442> state: 0 -> 2 (b0)
  2444> state: 2 -> 3 (0)
  2446> state: 3 -> 5 (10)
  2446> add 0
  2446> aid 3
  2446> cnt 
  2464> 
  2465> connected with sputnik2, channel 6
  2465> dhcp client start...
  2465> Wifi connected to ssid sputnik2, ch 6
  3161> ip:192.168.3.104,mask:255.255.255.0,gw:192.168.3.1
  3161> Wifi got ip:192.168.3.104,mask:255.255.255.0,gw:192.168.3.1
 11772> HTTP GET /log.html from 192.168.3.97:54119 -> 200 in 117ms, heap=23880
 12446> pm open phy_2,type:2 0 0
 14852> HTTP GET /console.js from 192.168.3.97:54117 -> 200 in 33ms, heap=17552
 14861> HTTP GET /ui.js from 192.168.3.97:54118 -> 200 in 43ms, heap=19648
 14863> HTTP GET /style.css from 192.168.3.97:54115 -> 200 in 49ms, heap=21632
 14894> HTTP GET /pure.css from 192.168.3.97:54116 -> 200 in 81ms, heap=23904
 14964> HTTP GET /menu from 192.168.3.97:54121 -> 200 in 50ms, heap=17576
 14967> HTTP GET /log/dbg from 192.168.3.97:54122 -> 200 in 51ms, heap=19664
 15008> HTTP GET /favicon.ico from 192.168.3.97:54120 -> 200 in 101ms, heap=21784
 15018> HTTP GET /favicon.ico from 192.168.3.97:54123 -> 200 in 100ms, heap=20112
 15021> HTTP GET /log/text from 192.168.3.97:54124 -> 200 in 9ms, heap=23776
 15310> Wifi check: mode=STA status=5
145127> HTTP GET /log/text from 192.168.3.97:54141 -> 200 in 60ms, heap=23912
157968> HTTP GET /log/text from 192.168.3.97:54140 -> 200 in 10137ms, heap=23880
251980> Accept port 23, conn=0x3fff61c8, pool slot 0
251981> MCU reset gpio12
252586> AVR1
252586> MCU Reset=gpio12 ISP=gpio13
252893> Rcv conn 0x3fff4990 l=2
252893> AVR2
253033> Ping success
253200> Rcv conn 0x3fff4990 l=2
253200> AVR3
253200> Xmit 0x3fff4990 l=2
253206> Rcv conn 0x3fff4990 l=3
253206> Ping disabled
255434> serbridge: connection reset err=-9