crafted

Cynthia Strat Analysis

Oct 21st, 2021 (edited)
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  1. Strat 1: X Attack Blitz[FW], CC, CC, CC(13/16 range), FW, switch+FW
  2. If miss 13/16: revive, CC, FW, FW
  3. If crit by Spiritomb and dying to Extremespeed at +0: Blitz Roserade, revive, FW
  4.  
  5. Strat 2: 2 X Attacks [FW], CC, [FW], CC, FW, heal+FW
  6. If crit / SpDef drop turn 1: Blitz[FW], CC, CC(13/16 range), FW, heal+FW
  7.  
  8. Strat 1:
  9. Best 76.17% 2:20
  10. Die to Garchomp 18.75% 2:41
  11. Crit by Spiritomb 5.08% 2:27 (2:20 if heal on Lucario instead of Blitz Roserade, ~10.6% risk)
  12.  
  13. Strat 2:
  14. Best 79.1% 2:24
  15. Crit/SpDef drop: 12.10% 2:16
  16. Death: 8.80% -
  17.  
  18. (Assumes Bidoof has been deposited on Strat 2)
  19.  
  20. Strat 1 Average: 2:24 (with 0% risk)
  21. Strat 2 Average: 2:23 (with 8.8% risk)
  22.  
  23. Assuming Die to Garchomp is a death:
  24. Strat 1 Average: 2:20 (with 18.75% risk)
  25. Strat 2 Average: 2:23 (with 8.8% risk)
  26.  
  27. If deposit Bidoof on strat 1:
  28. Strat 1 Average: 2:16 (with 27.41% risk)
  29. Strat 2 Average: 2:23 (with 8.8% risk)
  30.  
  31.  
  32. Possible Outcome:
  33. -Deposit Bidoof if can't lose 21 seconds
  34. -Do Strat 2 if deposited Bidoof unless can't lose 4 seconds
  35. -On Strat 1 if crit by Spiritomb and can't lose 7 seconds, heal on Lucario instead of Blitz Roserade
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