bobthegiraffemonkey

3BLD pure flip/twist stats

May 18th, 2018
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  1. There was a discussion recently about the probabilities of flipped edges in scrambles, and I decided to do the calculations. I did it for edges and corners, and for including buffer flips (column called "buffer") and the more relevant figures for ignoring buffer ("true"). I'll list the number of cases of each (adds up to 12!*2^11 and 8!*3^7 as appropriate), and the probabilities (aggregating once it gets below 0.001%). Hopefully I didn't screw up, the results seem sensible enough. I don't know if anyone has done these exact statistics before, if so I can check my numbers I guess, if not someone could maybe check my numbers if they feel like it.
  2.  
  3. edges
  4. n buffer true
  5. 0 595003712413 619795533763
  6. 1 297501856200 285105945531
  7. 2 74375464086 65078531045
  8. 3 12395910560 9813429285
  9. 4 1549489095 1097554590
  10. 5 154948464 96843054
  11. 6 12912900 6994218
  12. 7 921888 422730
  13. 8 57915 21615
  14. 9 3080 935
  15. 10 198 33
  16. 11 0 1
  17. 12 1 0
  18.  
  19. n buffer true
  20. 0 60.653 63.180
  21. 1 30.327 29.063
  22. 2 7.582 6.634
  23. 3 1.264 1.000
  24. 4 0.158 0.112
  25. 5 0.016 0.010
  26. 6+ 0.001 0.001
  27.  
  28. corners
  29. n buffer true
  30. 0 45273046 49045792
  31. 1 30181968 28924448
  32. 2 10060904 8383872
  33. 3 2235184 1583680
  34. 4 373380 217280
  35. 5 48944 22848
  36. 6 5992 1792
  37. 7 336 128
  38. 8 86 0
  39.  
  40. n buffer true
  41. 0 51.342 55.620
  42. 1 34.228 32.802
  43. 2 11.410 9.508
  44. 3 2.535 1.796
  45. 4 0.423 0.246
  46. 5 0.056 0.026
  47. 6+ 0.007 0.002
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