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Sep 24th, 2018
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  1. Dear Subscribers,
  2.  
  3. this is to share a short term update.
  4. Overall, the trend line method has proven again to give very good signals. As evident in the chart, once the turquoise channel was broken (at around 12 - 12.3 $), the trend changed to DOWN which could have been used to sell and pocket profits.
  5.  
  6. Currently, prices sit in between the red lower uptrend line arond 10 $ and the 50 d exponential moving average at 9.58 $. This coiling behavior will likely end soon with a strong movement.
  7.  
  8. On top of that first short term sell signal that we issued on the weekend, we now also have a daily sell signal - as prices moved below the red uptrend line. Overall, the current correction phase will probably last weeks and new high above 15.4 $ are rather unlikely in the following weeks.
  9.  
  10. Near term, there are two main options:
  11. 1) There can be one more leg down. This decline will probably reach 8.5 $ and possibly the 7.23 $ - 7.58 $ zone.
  12. 2) If prices move above 10.6 $, then there could be another upward bounce that could reach into the 12 $ - 12.5 $ zone (this rally will likely top at that level and lead again to declines). Only a rise (very unlikely) above 15.4 $ would reactivate the mid term rally.
  13.  
  14. Trading ideas (always watch the trendlines to be early with buying and selling):
  15. LONG at 7.23 $ - 7.58 $ with a target of 10 $ - 12.5 $.
  16. LONG at 8.5 $ with a target of 10 $ - 10.6 $.
  17. LONG above 10.6 $ with a with a target of 12 $ - 12.5 $.
  18. SHORT in the 12 - 12.5 $ zone with a target of 7.23 $ - 7.58 $.
  19. SHORT below 8.5 $ with a target of 7.23 - 7.58 $.
  20.  
  21. Long term, the bitcoin bull market is still intact as long as 7.22 $
  22. holds. If this breaks, we enter another leg of deep bear market with
  23. targets below 1 $.
  24.  
  25. More in depth analysis will be shared with you in tomorrow's weekly newsletter.
  26.  
  27. Have a great BITday.
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