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DrySesame

Orbiting Fire Milkman

DrySesame
Nov 13th, 2019
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  1. [b]Orbiting Fire Milkman[/b]
  2.  
  3. [b]Sale 1 https://backpack.tf/item/821383696
  4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373441546#!/compare/1564704000/1565827200
  5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086126153#!/compare/1555977600/1565827200
  6. [/b]
  7. Untraceable
  8.  
  9. [b]Sale 2
  10. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086126153#!/compare/1555977600/1565827200
  11. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205544067#!/compare/1565740800/1565827200
  12. [/b]
  13. Sold for 10 keys pure
  14.  
  15. [b]Sale 3
  16. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205544067#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
  17. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
  18. [/b]
  19. Sold for 10 keys + ~33.77 ref worth of metal [b](Rounded to 11 keys)[/b]
  20.  
  21. [b]Sale 4
  22. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000
  23. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170101266#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400
  24. [/b]
  25. Sold for a green confetti Milkman + ~ 3 keys worth of stuff (Lightning Rod based on SCM sold for around 3-4 keys, taking the low side)
  26. [i]This sale is used to price the Green Coffetti, so excluded[/i]
  27.  
  28. [b]Sale 5
  29. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170101266#!/compare/1568073600/1568160000
  30. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1567987200/1568073600
  31. [/b]
  32. Sold for a Miami Nights Milkman ( https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Milkman/Tradable/Craftable/61 )
  33. Miami Milkman currently sold for 13 keys, so going for 13 keys
  34.  
  35. [b]Sale 6
  36. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1568678400/1568764800
  37. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043502203#!/compare/1568073600/1568764800
  38. [/b]
  39. Sold for 10 keys + 10 ref [b](10 keys)[/b]
  40.  
  41. [b]Sale 7
  42. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043502203#!/compare/1568073600/1568764800
  43. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049098788#!/compare/1568678400/1568764800
  44. [/b]
  45. Untraceable
  46.  
  47. [b]Sale 8
  48. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049098788#!/compare/1570320000/1570406400
  49. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1570320000/1570406400
  50. [/b]
  51. Added a Bubbling Larrikin Robin + 2 keys for a Haunted Ghost Toy Soldier
  52. [b]This sale is used to price the Toy Soldier, excluded[b]
  53.  
  54. [b]Sale 9
  55. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054642670#!/compare/1570320000/1570406400
  56. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071588645#!/compare/1570406400/1570492800
  57. [/b]
  58. Sold for a Vivid Plasma Pyro Beanie ( https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Pyro%27s%20Beanie/Tradable/Craftable/16 )
  59. [i]Indate price when sold. Beanie was priced at (16 keys)[/i]
  60.  
  61. [b]Sale 10
  62. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071588645#!/compare/1570492800/1570752000
  63. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086368143#!/compare/1568764800/1570752000
  64. [/b]
  65. Bulk sale
  66.  
  67. [b]Sale 11 https://backpack.tf/item/606796414
  68. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036955284#!/compare/1570579200/1570665600
  69. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1570579200/1570665600
  70. [/b]
  71. Untraceable
  72.  
  73. [b]Sale 12
  74. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1570579200/1570665600
  75. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045493149#!/compare/1570579200/1570665600
  76. [/b]
  77. Untraceable
  78.  
  79. [b]Sale 13
  80. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045493149#!/compare/1570665600/1570752000
  81. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173867179#!/compare/1570665600/1570752000
  82. [/b]
  83. Untraceable
  84.  
  85. [b]Sale 14
  86. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173867179#!/compare/1570838400/1570924800
  87. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198409769523#!/compare/1570320000/1570924800
  88. [/b]
  89. Untraceable (tf2Mart transactions)
  90.  
  91. [b]Sale 15
  92. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198409769523#!/compare/1570320000/1571011200
  93. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1570838400/1570924800
  94. [/b]
  95. Untraceable
  96.  
  97. [b]Sale 16
  98. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800
  99. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121215144#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800
  100. [/b]
  101. Untraceable
  102.  
  103. [b]Sale 17
  104. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121215144#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800
  105. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962785674#!/compare/1569542400/1572220800
  106. [/b]
  107. Untraceable
  108.  
  109. [b]Sale 18
  110. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962785674#!/compare/1569542400/1572220800
  111. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800
  112. [/b]
  113. Quicksold to bot + Scammer
  114.  
  115. [b]Sale 19
  116. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1573516800/1573603200
  117. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170886029#!/compare/1573430400/1573603200
  118. [/b]
  119. Untraceable
  120.  
  121. [b]MarketPlace Sales List: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/219;5;u33 [/b]
  122. 1. Sold on 10/9/2019 for $19.99 / $1.79 = 11.17 keys ~ 11 keys
  123.  
  124. [b]Conclusion: [/b]
  125. Sales at 10, 11, 13, 10, 16(beanie), 11 (marketplace). I would say that the 16 is an outlier since it is way higher than the rest and the current seller price. Suggested range at 10 - 13 keys
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