Advertisement
Guest User

Untitled

a guest
Nov 15th, 2017
4,358
0
Never
Not a member of Pastebin yet? Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features!
text 22.80 KB | None | 0 0
  1. HEADER: THE PALM BEACH LETTER
  2.  
  3. November 2017 www.palmbeachgroup.com
  4.  
  5. The Solar Energy Bull Market Is Just Getting Started
  6. Here’s Why There’s Still 3,233% Upside Ahead
  7. By Teeka Tiwari
  8. “Are you still buying into crypto solar projects,
  9. Tiwari?”
  10. I was on the phone with one of the
  11. best market timers I know.
  12. In another life, he was a floor
  13. trader on the Philadelphia options
  14. exchange. That’s where he developed an uncanny
  15. knack for reading the direction of the stock market.
  16. The guy is smart as a whip. Most of the time, he’s
  17. quite likeable. On the day of our call, he was being
  18. unbearably obnoxious.
  19. A few months before the call, I told him to load up
  20. on renewable energy projects, specifically a small under-the-radar idea called
  21. Power Ledger.
  22. He laughed and called the idea “far reaching and unrealistic".
  23. This guy’s ideas have made me a lot of money over the
  24. years. I was trying to repay the favor.
  25. I told him it wasn’t too late to get in. But he wouldn’t
  26. listen. After hitting me with a few choice insults, I
  27. wished him well and ended the call.
  28. I can’t blame him for being skeptical.
  29. Cryptos are a brand-new asset class, especially cryptos involving renewable energy. They’re
  30. a completely different from stocks, bonds, and
  31. traditional cryptocurrencies.
  32. But that was 3 months ago.
  33. Since then, Bitcoin has risen to new all time highs and POWR (the
  34. coin for the Power Ledger network) is up 100% from its ICO price.
  35.  
  36. In this month’s issue of The Palm Beach Letter, I want
  37. to show you how we're at the infantile stages of a multi-billion dollar market, and why you should be entering this market right now.
  38. According to billionaire hedge fund manager Mike
  39. Novogratz, the entire renewable energy market is set to become
  40. 200-times larger. That would be a 20,495% rise from
  41. today. (And he’s putting his money where his mouth
  42. is. Novogratz recently put 10% of his net worth into
  43. POWR.)
  44. That means this asset class still has plenty of room to
  45. run… and there’s still time for you to join the ride.
  46. This month, we're recommending Power Ledger.
  47. The Solar Ecosystem
  48. To kick off your education, you need to understand
  49. how close we are to running out of fossiel fuels and completely switching to renewable energy.
  50.  
  51. Think of Power Ledger as a crypto-equities. They’re like
  52. buying shares in IBM, or Apple before the internet happened. You're buying a piece of the future.
  53. Cryptocurrencies and utility coins are similar in that
  54. they both operate on a blockchain.
  55. Regular readers will know that the blockchain
  56. is like an online public ledger. It’s used to track
  57. cryptocurrency transactions.
  58. [Blockchain is a public ledger of all cryptocurrency
  59. transactions executed. It’s a shared network that
  60. can move value around and represent property
  61. ownership.]
  62. Now that you know the two types of crypto assets, let
  63. me explain how each works…
  64. A New Form of Money
  65. Cryptocurrencies are the crypto asset that most folks
  66. are familiar with. So, we’ll dive into this one first.
  67. Two of our portfolio holdings are cryptocurrencies:
  68. bitcoin and Monero.
  69. Both were created to act as alternatives to fiat (paper)
  70. money.
  71. Two frequent questions we get are why would anyone
  72. buy a cryptocurrency that’s backed by nothing and can
  73. be created by anyone.
  74. These aren’t only fair questions, but smart ones.
  75. Here’s the thing to remember about money: It’s
  76. whatever people mutually agree it is.
  77. In the past, beads, cowrie shells, silver, gold, and of
  78. course paper, have all been used as money.
  79. You’ll notice that none of them have any intrinsic
  80. value.
  81. At the end of the day, a sack of flour has more
  82. practical value than a $100 bill or even a bar of gold.
  83. And yet, we value both far more than a sack of flour.
  84. That’s the mutual agreement we’ve all come to.
  85. When you think about it, it’s not that rational.
  86. How does a piece of green paper or a bar of yellow
  87. metal hold more value to a human than a sack of flour
  88. that can be used to feed a family for weeks?
  89. Because we all agree it does.
  90. Be sure to check out the resources we’re
  91. constantly adding to our Crypto Corner. If you
  92. have questions about anything cryptocurrencies,
  93. chances are you’ll find the answers there.
  94. There, you can access our research on webbased
  95. wallets, hardware wallets, and other
  96. cryptocurrency services.
  97. 3
  98. In my opinion, paper currency may be the most
  99. irrational form of money in human history. At least
  100. you can decorate yourself with gold, silver, beads, and
  101. cowrie shells.
  102. Not only that… There’s a limit to how much gold,
  103. silver, and shells that can be found. There’s no limit on
  104. the amount of paper money that can be created.
  105. The closest thing to true money (outside of food) is
  106. gold. Gold meets several historical rules that we use to
  107. judge value.
  108. It’s prized for its beauty. It’s difficult to find. It’s
  109. expensive to extract. It’s also a scarce resource.
  110. But there are problems with gold, too.
  111. We have to trust that the refineries that certify the
  112. gold’s purity are telling the truth.
  113. Gold is also difficult to transfer (think of carrying
  114. around bags of gold coins or chests of gold bars).
  115. And that makes it virtually useless as a practical
  116. medium of exchange in daily life.
  117. What I mean is you can’t buy a new car, house, or even
  118. a book with gold bars.
  119. Here’s How Cryptocurrencies Are
  120. Creating Value
  121. Well-designed cryptocurrencies have many features
  122. that humans look for when measuring value. Let’s talk
  123. about them now.
  124. Pre-Programed Scarcity
  125. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and Monero are preprogrammed
  126. to create a set amount of coins. Once
  127. this limit is reached, no new coins will be created. This
  128. creates scarcity.
  129. For instance, the algorithm that governs bitcoin will
  130. create no more than 21 million bitcoins.
  131.  
  132. Think about this… There are 35 million millionaires in
  133. the world. That means if every millionaire wanted to
  134. own an entire bitcoin, they wouldn’t be able to.
  135. There literally is not enough to go around.
  136. Contrast that with paper money.
  137. With paper money, there’s no limit to how much can
  138. be created. However, gold is finite. That limits how
  139. much new gold can be refined each year.
  140. You can see that cryptocurrencies actually have more
  141. in common with gold than with paper money.
  142. Difficult to Counterfeit
  143. Cryptocurrencies rely on a technology called the
  144. “blockchain.”
  145. This blockchain uses cryptography to secure
  146. transactions. These complex mathematical algorithms
  147. make counterfeiting cryptocurrencies almost
  148. impossible.
  149. Now, compare that to cash.
  150. It’s estimated that almost of a quarter-billion dollars of
  151. counterfeit paper money sloshes around the U.S. every
  152. year.
  153. What about gold?
  154. Fake gold will never fool an expert. But counterfeit
  155. gold could be passed off to someone with an untrained
  156. eye.
  157. Cryptocurrencies share two important criteria
  158. that give value to traditional assets: scarcity and
  159. irreproducibility (hard to counterfeit).
  160. These are necessary to create value. But you need
  161. something else, too...
  162. A Final Criterion
  163. For a thing to have value, it needs one final thing:
  164. Some form of utility.
  165. 4
  166. Even art (which some will argue is worth little more
  167. than the sum of its parts), creates massive utility by
  168. stirring deep emotions in the hearts of people that can
  169. appreciate it.
  170. That emotional response is a very valuable form of
  171. utility. It’s the reason people spend billions on art
  172. annually.
  173. So, what type of utility do cryptocurrencies provide?
  174. Rapid Transfer of Funds
  175. Unlike the transfer of gold or even cash,
  176. cryptocurrencies can transfer value almost instantly.
  177. And they can do it at very low costs.
  178. On the bitcoin network, you can send $50,000 for
  179. about $3. The receiver will get it in about 10 minutes.
  180. Compare that to a traditional wire transfer.
  181. The fastest I’ve seen a wire hit is 24 hours. The cost
  182. to send a domestic wire can vary from $35 to $70.
  183. International wires can eat up 1%-15% of the total
  184. amount of money sent.
  185. As far as sending gold, it takes 3-14 days domestically
  186. and is very expensive.
  187. So, being able to quickly send money anywhere in the
  188. world is a very valuable utility that cryptocurrencies
  189. possess.
  190. Free From Government Control
  191. Over the years, both gold and cash have been either
  192. confiscated or severely restricted through capital
  193. controls.
  194. Capital controls are government restrictions on your
  195. ability to access or move your money.
  196. Even here in the U.S., we have capital controls. For
  197. instance, you can’t just stroll through airport security
  198. with more than $10,000 in cash.
  199. Unless you declare it, you’re breaking the law.
  200. Even though it’s our money, the government insists
  201. we report when and where we’re moving it. This is an
  202. outrageous demand that we accept because there are
  203. no alternatives.
  204. That is until cryptocurrencies came around.
  205. With cryptocurrencies, we are in complete control of
  206. our own funds. We can store them on our own devices
  207. free from government intervention.
  208. If you store your cryptocurrencies properly, it is
  209. impossible for the government to confiscate or control
  210. them.
  211. This is a truly liberating utility that is very valuable.
  212. Highly Secure Decentralized Payment
  213. Network
  214. One common criticism of cryptocurrencies is that
  215. anyone can make one. How can something have value
  216. if you can create a currency with just a few lines of
  217. code?
  218. This criticism is spot on.
  219. But remember, anyone can buy a printing press and
  220. start making his or her own paper money. What stops
  221. people is that no one would use it. The same is true in
  222. crypto. Only currencies that gain widespread adoption
  223. actually take off.
  224. One of the ways we measure this widespread adoption
  225. is by looking at the number of computers that are in
  226. a cryptocurrency network. For instance, more than
  227. 7,000 separate computers are running the bitcoin
  228. blockchain.
  229. That widespread adoption is a vote of confidence by
  230. the market. It’s a way for us to objectively identify
  231. “good” cryptocurrencies from bad ones.
  232. 5
  233. As the network of users grows, so does the volume of
  234. cryptocurrency being transacted. This in turn creates
  235. a network effect that snowballs.
  236. For instance, $143 million per day of bitcoin changed
  237. hands in 2016. Today, it’s over $4 billion per day.
  238. The widespread use of this currency is giving it
  239. value. Thousands of people are coming together and
  240. agreeing to exchange goods and services for bitcoin.
  241. That is the true test for any currency. Are people
  242. accepting it? The answer is a resounding yes.
  243. For these reasons, we believe you’ll see more people
  244. continue to adopt cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and
  245. Monero.
  246. They offer utility that neither cash nor gold can.
  247. A Second Type of Crypto Asset
  248. Earlier, I told you there are two types of crypto assets.
  249. The first is cryptocurrencies (which I’ve just explained
  250. to you).
  251. The second type of crypto asset goes by several names.
  252. Some folks call them “application coins” others call
  253. them “utility coins.”
  254. The terms are interchangeable.
  255. So, what is a utility coin?
  256. A utility coin is a crypto asset that is used to secure or
  257. deliver a service.
  258. The other two crypto assets in our portfolio—ether
  259. and Steem Power—fall into this category.
  260. Our biggest gains have come from investing in utility
  261. coins.
  262. That’s why I want to spend the rest of the issue talking
  263. about them. If you can understand how utility coins
  264. work, you can make a fortune in them.
  265. In my Palm Beach Confidential service, I have readers
  266. that are transforming $300 investments into sixfigure
  267. windfalls by getting in early on utility coins.
  268. Three Themes Driving the Value of Utility
  269. Coins
  270. Over 2017, I’ve been to conferences in Silicon Valley,
  271. Boston, Austin Texas, Las Vegas, New York City,
  272. Berlin, London, and Copenhagen.
  273. During these conferences, I’ve met with hundreds
  274. of people. I’ve met crypto project founders, venture
  275. capitalists, government regulators, central bankers,
  276. Fortune 500 executives, hedge fund managers, and
  277. digital currency miners.
  278. These are the three primary themes that are driving
  279. their research, development, and investment
  280. decisions:
  281. • Fat protocols
  282. • Interoperability
  283. • Scaling
  284. If you don’t know what these terms mean, don’t
  285. worry. I’ll explain each for you right now.
  286. Theme 1: Fat Protocols
  287. What is a “fat protocol”?
  288. I had to ask myself the same question.
  289. I stumbled upon this theme at the Consensus 2017
  290. event in New York City in late May. And I heard about
  291. fat protocols in more detail in Berlin.
  292. Let’s start with protocol. In the technology world, a
  293. protocol is a set of rules.
  294. For instance, the internet is governed by two
  295. protocols: TCP and IP.
  296. TCP stands for transmission control protocol. This is
  297. a set of rules that governs the exchange of packets of
  298. data over the internet.
  299. 6
  300. IP stands for internet protocol. This is a set of rules
  301. that governs sending and receiving data at the
  302. internet address level.
  303. IP by itself is something like the postal system. It
  304. allows you to address a package and drop it in the
  305. system, but there’s no direct link between you and
  306. the recipient. TCP/IP, on the other hand, establishes
  307. a connection between two hosts, so they can send
  308. messages back and forth for a period of time.
  309. Nobody owns TCP/IP. But imagine if someone did.
  310. How valuable would the protocols be?
  311. Think about this…
  312. According to a Harvard Business Review article,
  313. more than half the world’s most valuable public
  314. companies have built business models on TCP/IP.
  315. That’s $5.4 trillion dollars in value traced right back to
  316. TCP/IP.
  317. Think of the biggest names in the internet space:
  318. Amazon, Google, Facebook, Priceline, eBay, Netflix,
  319. Uber, etc… They are applications, not protocols (see
  320. the box below for the difference between the two
  321. terms).
  322. For instance, the Ethereum platform has created a
  323. protocol for the issuance of crypto tokens (among
  324. many other things).
  325. Ethereum has created rules that make it easy to
  326. launch and manage digital tokens. That’s why more
  327. than 50% of new tokens coming to market are using
  328. the Ethereum platform.
  329. As more projects are launched on the Ethereum
  330. network, the demand for ether tokens increases.
  331. Said another way, the more the protocol is used, the
  332. more valuable the ether tokens become.
  333. These protocols are called “fat” because most of the
  334. economic value and profits will be captured at the
  335. protocol level.
  336. All the tokens launched on the Ethereum platform are
  337. only worth $6.8 billion. But the Ethereum platform
  338. itself is now worth $34 billion.
  339. Even as more and more companies go “public” on the
  340. Ethereum platform, we think Ethereum will be more
  341. valuable than the applications that end up running on
  342. it.
  343. The reason is that the more the protocol is used, the
  344. more demand is generated for the underlying protocol
  345. token. That’s how utility coins like ether gain their
  346. value.
  347. Theme 2: Interoperability
  348. Hundreds of new blockchain ledgers are emerging.
  349. On top of that, there are hundreds of established
  350. centralized ledgers and payment networks.
  351. These established payment channels are used by
  352. banks and payment providers. We’re talking about
  353. giants like JPMorgan, PayPal, Visa, and MasterCard.
  354. As the world migrates from a centralized to a
  355. decentralized model, how do you get these different
  356. networks to communicate with one another?
  357. Applications (or “apps”) are computer
  358. programs that run specific tasks. They include
  359. simple desktop apps like calculators, clocks,
  360. and word processors to mobile apps like media
  361. players, games, instant messengers, and maps.
  362. Google’s YouTube, Facebook’s Messenger, and
  363. Microsoft Word are examples of popular web
  364. applications. Companies own their applications.
  365. Protocols are the rules computers use to
  366. communicate with each other. TCP and IP
  367. are examples of widely used protocols. Unlike
  368. applications, no one owns computer or internet
  369. protocols.
  370. 7
  371. This is a huge problem. That’s why we think the next
  372. boom will be in companies that allow different ledgers
  373. to “talk” to each other.
  374. Imagine there’s an English speaker, German speaker,
  375. and French speaker in the same room. And no one
  376. speaker understands any other speaker. This is the
  377. problem right now with blockchains and payment
  378. networks.
  379. They all “speak” different languages.
  380. But what if somebody could create a technology that
  381. would allow these different languages to understand
  382. one another?
  383. In the tech world, this is called “interoperability.”
  384. The Difference Between Financial
  385. Ledgers and Blockchain Ledgers
  386. Today’s financial system requires a lot of overlap.
  387. Financial institutions spend a lot of time and money
  388. maintaining their systems and even more time and
  389. money making sure their systems agree with other
  390. systems on common facts.
  391. This is done so that there is no single point of
  392. control or single point of failure. The solution is
  393. decentralization. It eliminates single points of failure
  394. and the necessity for each institution to duplicate the
  395. data.
  396. The table below highlights the differences between a
  397. traditional ledger and a blockchain ledger.
  398. Traditional Ledger Blockchain Ledger
  399. Internal and external
  400. reconciliation Consensus on data
  401. Alterable Immutable
  402. Single point of failure Distributed
  403. Single point of control Decentralized
  404. Middlemen Peer-to-peer
  405. No cryptographic verification Cryptographic
  406. verification
  407. Requires manual backup Resiliency increases with
  408. more nodes
  409. Imagine a version of eBay or PayPal that can work
  410. with virtually any digital or fiat payment system.
  411. That’s the goal of interoperability.
  412. Here’s the key takeaway: The utility coins that are
  413. building in easy-to-use interoperability will be the
  414. ones that become highly valuable.
  415. Theme 3: Scaling
  416. While in Berlin, I met a group of executives from drug
  417. giant Merck.
  418. These folks oversee Merck’s European innovation
  419. group. They are tasked with identifying and getting
  420. management “buy-in” on implementing innovative
  421. technology.
  422. They have a terrific grasp of the blockchain. They
  423. know it could potentially save Merck millions of
  424. dollars in costs.
  425. The problem is none of the current blockchain
  426. platforms scale. Meaning they just can’t operate at the
  427. speed and level of complexity Merck requires. This is
  428. a common complaint. I’ve heard it from executives in
  429. London, Boston, Silicon Valley, New York City, and
  430. now Berlin.
  431. The two most popular blockchains, bitcoin and
  432. Ethereum, can only handle seven and 15 transactions
  433. per second, respectively. Like the old 56k telephone
  434. modems of the ’90s, that’s awful. But it would be a
  435. mistake to think that it will stay that way forever.
  436. Just as those modems eventually transformed into
  437. the high-speed internet we enjoy today, it’s only a
  438. question of time before bitcoin and Ethereum crack
  439. the scaling problem.
  440. Bringing It All Together
  441. The future for cryptocurrencies and utility coins is
  442. bright.
  443. As more people look to take control of their money,
  444. they’ll turn to cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and
  445. Monero.
  446. 8
  447. As I track the developments in fat protocols,
  448. interoperability, and scaling, I’m seeing more and
  449. more widespread adoption of utility coins like ether
  450. and Steem Power.
  451. But remember: These are still very early days.
  452. We’ll see massive volatility ahead. It’s unavoidable.
  453. The key to thriving in the chaos of the early days of a
  454. new technology is to remain rational.
  455. Friends, hear me when I tell you that it is irrational
  456. to expect the crypto market to be stable.
  457. Any market this new is highly unstable. The way
  458. we manage and profit from that instability is to use
  459. small position sizes. With crypto assets, we rely on
  460. asymmetric risk.
  461. With crypto we can swing for the fences without
  462. putting the rest of our existing wealth at risk. This is
  463. a rare opportunity for ordinary people to make lifechanging
  464. gains without having to take life-changing
  465. risk.
  466. That means we risk a small amount of money for a
  467. massive potential payoff. This strategy is working.
  468. We are up an average of 1,834% across our four crypto
  469. positions. A small investment of just $500 in each
  470. would have grown $2,000 into more than $36,680.
  471. The best part is this trend is just beginning. Right
  472. now, the entire crypto market is valued at about
  473. $150 billion. Novogratz, the hedge fund billionaire I
  474. mentioned earlier, sees the entire market growing to
  475. $5 trillion. That’s 3,233% upside ahead.
  476. That means we have many more opportunities in front
  477. of us to make life-changing gains.
  478. Action to take: Bitcoin, ether, and Steem Power
  479. are still below their buy-up-to prices. If you haven’t
  480. already, we recommend you take small positions in
  481. each.
  482. 9
  483. • “Why the 2017 Stock Market
  484. Crash is Imminent”
  485. • “It’s Going to Collapse: 5 Scary
  486. Stock Market Predictions From
  487. Smart Investors”
  488. • “How to Spot the Next Stock
  489. Market Crash”
  490. These are all headlines from the last few months.
  491. And if the headlines were all you read, you’re likely
  492. scared to put any money in stocks right now.
  493. That would be a mistake.
  494. The point is, predicting the stock market’s movements
  495. is a fool’s game. And playing that game could cost you
  496. a lot of money.
  497. What we do instead is build a portfolio that will
  498. withstand a range of outcomes. And we follow a few
  499. basic rules that keep our losses to a minimum.
  500. By following these rules, you can feel confident
  501. investing in the market at any time.
  502. We’ll get to the rules for our specific stock
  503. recommendations in a moment. But first, we want
  504. to step back and look at the whole of our investable
  505. assets.
  506. The concept is called asset allocation. And it’s the
  507. process of designing your portfolio to manage risk and
  508. reward.
  509. For example, you may believe uranium stocks are
  510. the best place to be. But is it smart to put all your
  511. investable assets into uranium stocks? Probably not.
  512. To build a portfolio that will withstand a wide range of
  513. outcomes, you want to diversify your assets.
  514. When it comes to asset allocation, there’s no onesize-fits-all
  515. solution. The right allocation depends on
  516. a few factors including your age, risk level, and total
  517. investable assets.
  518. This may sound intimidating, but don’t worry. We
  519. have you covered.
  520. If you are new to The Palm Beach Letter, or if
  521. you’ve put it off, now is a great time to use our Asset
  522. Allocation Guide.
  523. The guide defines our broad asset classes and includes
  524. a series of “self-diagnostic” exercises that help you
  525. determine current your financial position. You can use
  526. the results to create an allocation that’s right for you.
  527. It’s a great resource to see how much you should be
  528. investing in the various asset classes.
  529. Switching gears, let’s get back to the rules for our
  530. specific stock recommendations.
  531. We follow two basic risk-management techniques to
  532. prevent catastrophic losses in our portfolio.
  533. The first is called position sizing. It’s the percentage
  534. invested in a particular asset. For example, if you have
  535. a $10,000 portfolio and invest $1,000 into a position,
  536. you start with a 10% position size.
  537. Worried About a Market Crash? Don’t Be, We’re Prepared
  538.  
  539.  
  540.  
  541. if you feel generous:
  542. ETH - 0x009Be9bc4b7863F6EE58aB424441cE13D4A80f25
Advertisement
Add Comment
Please, Sign In to add comment
Advertisement