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May 22nd, 2017
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  1. 5,000 downloads are needed to displace a single CD sale (assumed song downloads)
  2. at 12 songs a CD
  3. 5,000/12 = 417 album downloads to replace 1 CD sale
  4. CD =18$
  5. total dl's to date = 34,277,829 (this includes non-music downloads, so this number is higher than the actual number of music downloads)
  6. 29 months since the founding of What.CD (October 2007-May 2010)
  7. Current amt of users: 122,824
  8.  
  9. 5000/12 = 416.6666
  10. ~417 album downloads per CD
  11.  
  12. Downloads/displaced cds
  13. 417/1=34,277,829/x
  14. x= 82,201.0288 → amount of album sales displaced by What.CD use to date
  15.  
  16. 82,201.0288*18 = 1,479,618.52 → total cost of all What.CD music (and other stuff, remember, so this figure is higher than a pure music number) transferred
  17.  
  18. 1,479,618.52/29 = 51,021.3283 → total $ amount transferred every month
  19.  
  20. 51,021.3283/122,824 = 0.415401943 → total $ amount each user displaces every month from the music industry
  21.  
  22. Yes, that's less than 42¢. Think about that next time you're at 711.
  23.  
  24. And that estimate is (probably) high.
  25.  
  26. *notes: for 5k downloads per album, see
  27.  
  28. Bender, M. , & Wang, Y. (2009). The Impact of Digital Piracy on Music Sales: A Cross-country Analysis. International Social Science Review, 84(3/4), 157-170.
  29.  
  30. which cites
  31.  
  32. Oberholzer-Gee, F. , & Strumpf, K. (2007). The Effect of File Sharing on Record Sales: An Empirical Analysis.Journal of Political Economy V. 115 No. 1 (February 2007) P. 1-42, 115(1), 1-42.
  33.  
  34. for that statistic
  35.  
  36. 12 songs/album I just figured reasonable.
  37. 18$ an album I just figured was the cost of a new CD these days.
  38. All other stats grabbed from the What.CD home page.
  39.  
  40. Downloaded total includes stuff other than music, so that isn't exactly accurate. Not sure where I'd get an accurate number for that. If someone wants to either a) tell me where/whom to ask or b) just do it and plug it in and get a new total, that would be appreciated.
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