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RComp

Achievement Probability Comparison

RComp
Feb 29th, 2020
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  1. Methodology is highly susceptible with no proper records. Based on people living. For any awards, assuming those 1960 onwards to have a possibility of receiving it in their lifetime.
  2.  
  3. Event Odds/Raw Number Source + Methodology
  4. Obtained a University Degree 7 in 100 https://100people.org/statistics_100stats.php?section=statistics
  5. Completed a Marathon 1 In 200 https://runrepeat.com/research-marathon-performance-across-nations http://www.marathontrainingschedule.com/blog/45-mind-numbing-facts-figures-statistics-running-2/
  6. Became CEO of a company https://www.creditdonkey.com/ceo-statistics.html Also based in differences in years served, position hopping etc. There are 248,700 CEOs of any company in the US, from small startup to Fortune 500 companies, out of the 300 million US citizens.
  7. Obtained a Silver Play Button 132800 According to Social Blade ranking based on a channel with 100,000 subscribers (subtract 20% allowance on multiple receivees and companies)
  8. Broke a World Record 30,000 https://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/records/showcase/ https://www.wonderopolis.org/wonder/how-do-you-set-a-world-record/ 30,000 categories, assuming balanced out by multiple owners and those who broke others record.
  9. Won an Olympic Medal 1 in 667,000 Odds for Gold X3
  10. Obtained a Gold Play Button 10880 According to Social Blade ranking based on a channel with 1,000,000 subscribers (subtract 20% allowance on multiple receivees and companies) As of Feb 2020, the subscriber position of a channel with 1 million subscribers is 17000. If we deduct a 20% allowance for companies and multiple accounts, this is what we get.
  11. Climbed Mt Everest 5000 https://www.businessinsider.com/mount-everest-stories-from-climbers-2019-6?r=US&IR=T
  12. Won an Olympic Gold 1 in 2,500,000 https://www.quora.com/How-many-Oscars-are-given-each-year
  13. Became a Billionaire 2153 https://www.titlemax.com/discovery-center/personal-finance/your-odds-of-becoming-a-millionaire/ https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/#418a58dd251c
  14. Won an Oscar 1440 https://www.casino.org/blog/what-are-the-odds-of-winning-an-oscar/ There are 24 categories, take all the people currently alive, i.e awarded since 1960 (60 years), and multiple receivees are balanced out by extra given.
  15. Won a Nobel Prize 633 https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/facts/nobel-prize-facts/ Assume from 1960 onwards are alive.
  16. Visited Outer Space 550 https://www.discovermagazine.com/the-sciences/how-many-people-have-died-in-outer-space Assume those balance out.
  17. Climbed the 7 Summits 500 http://www.alpineinstitute.com/programs/expeditions/the-seven-summits/ https://www.npr.org/2019/06/05/728761498/the-summit-is-never-the-goal-why-climbers-pursue-the-7-summits
  18. Obtained a Diamond Play Button 444.8 According to Social Blade ranking based on a channel with 10,000,000 subscribers (subtract 20% allowance on companies)
  19. Visited Every Country 199 https://www.cntraveler.com/story/inside-the-exclusive-club-of-travelers-racing-to-visit-every-country-in-the-world
  20. Authored a book selling over 10 million copies 165 Wikipedia Assuming those who passed on are balance out by books having mutiple co authors. 8 books have sold over 100 million copies though.
  21. Became a Supercenturion 150 https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/keeping-track-oldest-people-world-180951976/?no-ist
  22. Become President 1 in 60,000,000 Note this is US odds, and 5 current presidents are still alive (out of 300 million US citizens). The odds vary according to your country population and political terms though.
  23. Founded a $100 billion company 85 https://www.statista.com/statistics/263264/top-companies-in-the-world-by-market-value/ Assume the companies whose founders are dead, and include multiple cofounder it would cancel out
  24. Sold 10 million albums 77 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_singles#See_also Only taking numbers from 1961 and after, on assumption for people who are currently alive. 29 physical copies over 10 million after 1961, and all 48 digital copies over 10 million.
  25. Has 100 Million Instagram followers 14 Assuming company run accounts are not included. Source Social Blade
  26. Visited Challenger Deep 8 Wikipedia (1960: 3 + 2012:1 + 2019: 5)
  27. Visited the Moon 4 Wikipedia (12 visited, 4 still alive)
  28. Has 100 Million Twitter followers 3 Social Blade
  29. Has 100 Million Facebook Likes 2 Social Blade
  30. Red Diamond Play Button 1 Social Blade
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