Randil's math problem

http://tasvideos.org/forum/viewtopic.php?p=425971#425971
C++ code: http://pastebin.com/psmHgMja

5000 simulations each.

Average tries for pr=0.10 , pw=0.05: 315.80
Average tries for pr=0.15 , pw=0.05: 138.14
Average tries for pr=0.20 , pw=0.05: 86.28
Average tries for pr=0.25 , pw=0.05: 63.27
Average tries for pr=0.30 , pw=0.05: 49.47
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.05: 40.53
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.05: 33.95
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.05: 29.19
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.05: 25.73
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.05: 22.55
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.05: 20.09
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.05: 18.07
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.05: 16.09
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.05: 14.87
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.05: 13.34
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.05: 12.30
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.05: 11.08
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.05: 10.10
Average tries for pr=0.15 , pw=0.10: 425.97
Average tries for pr=0.20 , pw=0.10: 173.11
Average tries for pr=0.25 , pw=0.10: 103.82
Average tries for pr=0.30 , pw=0.10: 75.28
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.10: 56.40
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.10: 45.52
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.10: 37.97
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.10: 31.68
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.10: 27.25
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.10: 23.74
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.10: 21.28
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.10: 18.43
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.10: 16.76
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.10: 15.01
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.10: 13.51
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.10: 12.19
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.10: 10.72
Average tries for pr=0.20 , pw=0.15: 505.10
Average tries for pr=0.25 , pw=0.15: 204.30
Average tries for pr=0.30 , pw=0.15: 121.28
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.15: 81.82
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.15: 61.62
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.15: 49.24
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.15: 40.18
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.15: 33.44
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.15: 27.79
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.15: 24.37
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.15: 21.19
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.15: 18.86
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.15: 16.82
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.15: 15.02
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.15: 13.02
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.15: 11.43
Average tries for pr=0.25 , pw=0.20: 577.90
Average tries for pr=0.30 , pw=0.20: 226.30
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.20: 131.66
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.20: 88.86
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.20: 66.32
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.20: 50.77
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.20: 41.43
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.20: 34.15
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.20: 28.93
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.20: 24.40
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.20: 21.54
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.20: 18.79
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.20: 16.28
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.20: 14.03
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.20: 12.18
Average tries for pr=0.30 , pw=0.25: 620.65
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.25: 242.74
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.25: 138.14
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.25: 93.70
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.25: 67.83
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.25: 52.55
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.25: 42.20
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.25: 34.50
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.25: 28.80
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.25: 24.86
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.25: 20.88
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.25: 17.94
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.25: 15.39
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.25: 13.03
Average tries for pr=0.35 , pw=0.30: 678.46
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.30: 261.50
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.30: 146.18
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.30: 98.00
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.30: 69.12
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.30: 53.41
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.30: 42.20
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.30: 34.57
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.30: 28.84
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.30: 24.07
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.30: 19.98
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.30: 16.95
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.30: 14.03
Average tries for pr=0.40 , pw=0.35: 684.56
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.35: 270.84
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.35: 149.66
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.35: 97.47
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.35: 70.47
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.35: 53.39
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.35: 41.37
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.35: 33.33
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.35: 27.27
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.35: 22.43
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.35: 18.91
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.35: 15.35
Average tries for pr=0.45 , pw=0.40: 724.57
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.40: 279.68
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.40: 151.93
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.40: 98.15
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.40: 69.94
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.40: 52.10
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.40: 40.37
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.40: 31.97
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.40: 26.02
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.40: 20.93
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.40: 16.76
Average tries for pr=0.50 , pw=0.45: 728.52
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.45: 276.97
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.45: 150.81
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.45: 98.42
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.45: 67.97
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.45: 50.63
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.45: 38.50
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.45: 29.92
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.45: 23.67
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.45: 18.67
Average tries for pr=0.55 , pw=0.50: 742.85
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.50: 274.32
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.50: 150.39
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.50: 93.49
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.50: 64.73
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.50: 47.44
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.50: 36.03
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.50: 27.26
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.50: 20.98
Average tries for pr=0.60 , pw=0.55: 706.55
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.55: 262.64
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.55: 142.44
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.55: 89.35
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.55: 60.73
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.55: 43.50
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.55: 32.24
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.55: 23.68
Average tries for pr=0.65 , pw=0.60: 684.72
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.60: 254.60
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.60: 131.84
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.60: 82.50
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.60: 54.85
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.60: 38.67
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.60: 27.42
Average tries for pr=0.70 , pw=0.65: 663.84
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.65: 241.95
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.65: 123.59
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.65: 74.68
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.65: 49.21
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.65: 32.55
Average tries for pr=0.75 , pw=0.70: 623.71
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.70: 219.77
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.70: 111.56
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.70: 64.40
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.70: 40.08
Average tries for pr=0.80 , pw=0.75: 560.75
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.75: 190.79
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.75: 94.28
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.75: 52.60
Average tries for pr=0.85 , pw=0.80: 489.02
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.80: 160.87
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.80: 72.68
Average tries for pr=0.90 , pw=0.85: 403.88
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.85: 118.98
Average tries for pr=0.95 , pw=0.90: 288.62

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Process exited after 1.784e+004 seconds with return value 0
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