INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)

Re: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)
Email-ID 	1717932
Date 	1970-01-01 01:00:00
From 	marko.papic@stratfor.com
To 	goodrich@stratfor.com, secure@stratfor.com
Wow... Putin is letting it go both ways then.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Lauren Goodrich"
To: "Secure List" , "George Friedman"

Sent: Monday, December 21, 2009 1:01:49 PM GMT -06:00 Central America
Subject: INSIGHT - RUSSIA - Latest in Clan Wars (protect for now)

CODE: RU101
PUBLICATION: checking
ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor sources in the Kremlin
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: The Prosecutor General
SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1
HANDLER: Lauren

The past few weeks have been particularly difficult between the clans.

Surkov/Medvedev tandem has purge a slew of people from
Sechin/Patrusheva**s clan. 21 officials from the Interior Ministry, 5 FSB
Generals in the Defense Ministry and Moscowa**s police chief Pronin have
all been purged.

In response, Sechin/Patrusheva**s group has decided that they need to come
after me and my groupa**the Prosecutor Generala**s office. They have used
their foot soldier, Alexander Bastrykin, in the Investigative Committee to
launch a purge within my office. Bastrykin vows to not be owned by Sechin,
though I have never believed this and now my proof is here. Thus far they
have gotten fired the head of my Investigative Committee, Anatoli
Bagmeta**who was critical to aiding me in my work inside our
investigations against the Siloviki. Bastrykin is planning on firing the
heads of the regional Investigative Committees as well, 12 in all.

The problem is that Sechin/Patrushev want to come after me (Chaika), but
Surkov will not allow such a move. What I have been told is that Putin has
laid ground rules on how far each clan can go to purge the other. For
example, Surkova**s request to have Interior Minister Nurgaliyev sacked
was quickly nixed by Putin. Now that Sechina**s move to get me fired has
also been shielded from above. So instead there are a lot of purges
happening on the second tier, like these in the past few weeks.
--
Lauren Goodrich
Director of Analysis
Senior Eurasia Analyst
STRATFOR
T: 512.744.4311
F: 512.744.4334
lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com
www.stratfor.com