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Exarion

Flannery deathwarp simulation data (Emerald)

Apr 28th, 2016
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  1. Simulation notes:
  2. - 1000 trials each
  3. - Assumes 40% Smog, 30% Sunny Day and 30% Light Screen when Slugma is at full HP
  4. - Assumes 100% Smog when Slugma is <50% HP
  5. - Discards useless moves (can't use Sunny Day if sun is up, can't use Light Screen if active)
  6. - Assumes you OHKO everything except Torkoal at +1, +2 or +3
  7. - Assumes you OHKO everything at +4 or +5
  8. - Assumes Mud Shot never misses (lel)
  9. - A "best fight" is one that does not waste turns stalling (every turn provides some benefit)
  10. - Each use of Sunny Day by Slugma costs 8.5 seconds
  11.  
  12. WITH TURN 1 STRENGTH (NON-CRIT), THEN SETUP
  13. - Average turns to get poisoned: 4.004
  14. - Average turns to win fight: 8.821
  15. - Average time loss from Sunny Day: 2.55 seconds
  16. - Odds to get poisoned before running out of X Attacks: 84.7%
  17. - Average turns to win "best fights": 7.982
  18.  
  19. Turn % to get poisoned
  20. 1 11.4
  21. 2 25.8
  22. 3 18.6
  23. 4 12.4
  24. 5 9.7
  25. 6 6.8
  26. 7 4.0
  27. 8 3.5
  28. 9 2.3
  29. 10 1.3
  30. 11 1.7
  31. 12 0.7
  32. 13 0.4
  33. 14 0.5
  34. 15 0.2
  35. 16 0.1
  36. 17 0.3
  37. 18 0.0
  38. 19 0.0
  39. 20 0.2
  40. No poison 0.1
  41.  
  42. -----
  43.  
  44. WITH IMMEDIATE SETUP
  45. - Average turns to get poisoned: 5.153
  46. - Average turns to win fight: 9.859
  47. - Average time loss from Sunny Day: 8.092 seconds
  48. - Odds to get poisoned before running out of X Attacks: 66.1%
  49. - Average turns to win "best fights": 7.626
  50.  
  51. Turn % to get poisoned
  52. 1 11.5
  53. 2 13.0
  54. 3 14.6
  55. 4 15.7
  56. 5 11.3
  57. 6 5.8
  58. 7 5.4
  59. 8 3.4
  60. 9 3.4
  61. 10 3.9
  62. 11 1.6
  63. 12 2.5
  64. 13 1.6
  65. 14 1.3
  66. 15 1.1
  67. 16 0.6
  68. 17 0.6
  69. 18 0.6
  70. 19 0.4
  71. 20 0.2
  72. No poison 1.5
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