Chances of over 2 after 2 under 2 , Lol don't expect to know what that means later. 500
n
n
n
n
y
y
n
y
y
y
y
n
y
y
y
y
n
y
y
n
y
y
n
y
y
n
n
y
n
n
total yes		17  |
------------------  grand total = 30
total no        13 |
Probability of success = 56.66%
Probability of failure = 43.33%
Most likely lower. nogo.

Chances of over 2 after 3 under 2 , Lol don't expect to know what that means later. 500
n
y
n
n
n
y
n
y
y
n
y
y
y
y
n
y
total yes		9  |
------------------  grand total = 16
total no       7 |
Probability of success = 56.25%
Probability of failure = 43.75%

Chances of over 2 after 4 under 2 , Lol don't expect to know what that means later. 500
y
n
y
y
n
y
n
y
total yes		5  |
------------------  grand total = 7 :( not enough for an accurate result.
total no       3 |
Probability of success = 71.42%
Probability of failure = 28.57%

Chances of over 2 after 5 under 2 , Lol don't expect to know what that means later. 500
y
n
n
y
total yes		2  |
------------------  grand total = 4 :( not enough for an accurate result.
total no       2 |
Probability of success = 50%
Probability of failure = 50%

Chances of over 2 after 6 under 2 , Lol don't expect to know what that means later. 500
n
y
total yes		1 |
------------------  grand total = 2 :( not enough for an accurate result.
total no       1 |
Probability of success = 50%
Probability of failure = 50%