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  1.  
  2. Subject: "Fate" Replies to Electronic Publishing of Klass' "Crybaby"
  3.  
  4.  
  5. Editorial In the May, 1992 "Fate" Magazine, p.12-18
  6.  
  7.  
  8.  
  9. In the past several years microcomputers, also known as
  10. personal computers or PCs, have become wildly popular. Many
  11. have them at home and use them for such purposes as keeping
  12. records, educating children, typing letters and playing games.
  13. FATE itself is produced almost entirely on Apple Macintosh
  14. PCs. One of the uses of PCs is to communicate with other
  15. PC users in a place they call "cyberspace" (a name taken
  16. from a science fiction novel). Actually, cyberspace is a place
  17. where electronic communication takes place - it has no physical
  18. existence. The linking of PC users, done with the help of a
  19. computer device called a "modem", takes place on a "bulletin
  20. Board System," or "BBS." There are thousands of BBSes around the
  21. U.S.A.
  22. The people who use BBSes communicate on a variety of
  23. subjects, including the paranormal. Skeptics participate on
  24. BBSes, too.
  25. Recently, an article written over a decade ago has begun to
  26. appear on the BBSes. It was written by Philip J. Klass, one of
  27. the primary members of the Committee for the Scientific
  28. Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal (CSICOP). We are
  29. mentioning this because the article is an attack both on FATE and
  30. an article we published. As we do not have our own BBS, we are
  31. responding here.
  32. In 1981 we published an article entitled sTARBABY by Dennis
  33. Rawlins, a former member of CSICOP. In it he revealed that CSICOP
  34. faked information on research into one aspect of astrology and
  35. then committed a coverup of what they did. The result was that
  36. CSICOP lost many members and, contrary to its name, no longer
  37. will sponsor any investigations. They have never apologized for
  38. what they did, although they have admitted that "mistakes were
  39. made."
  40. sTARBABY was published only after the most intensive study
  41. of the documentation by Rawlins that FATE ever performed.
  42. According to Jerome Clark, FATE was supplied hundreds of pages of
  43. documentation along with tape recordings of telephone calls. Due
  44. to the severity of the charges in that article, we ran it by our
  45. lawyers before publishing it. There are strong charges made. We
  46. have no doubt that lawsuits would have been filed if there were
  47. any errors in that story. No such suits were ever filed.
  48. Mr. Klass did, however, send us a rambling, logicless
  49. article he entitled "Crybaby". It refuted almost nothing but
  50. attempted to show that Mr. Rawlins was a troublemaker. It is
  51. Crybaby that is making the rounds via BBSes. We remind you, once
  52. again, of Cicero's advice ["if you have no case, abuse the
  53. plaintiff"]. It would seem that Mr. Klass has followed it to the
  54. long-winded letter.
  55. The version of Crybaby making the rounds now has an
  56. introduction that has some misleading information. They say,
  57. "FATE adamantly refused to publish this article." According to
  58. Clark, he wanted to publish it because its poor quality would be
  59. more of an embarrassment to Klass than a true refutation of
  60. sTARBABY. He was overruled in this as FATE did not want to
  61. include the poor writing.
  62. According to Clark, FATE requested an article that dealt
  63. with the issues of sTARBABY rather than the poorly written
  64. Crybaby. Ten years later we have received nothing.
  65. There is a new addendum to Klass's article. The addition was
  66. written by Robert Sheaffer in November 1991. It has nothing to do
  67. with sTARBABY, but continues the attack on Rawlins. The subject?
  68. Whether Admiral Peary actually reached the North Pole!
  69. The truth of the matter is this:
  70. 1) After a decade, CSICOP is still smarting from the
  71. drubbing it took as a result of its actions as revealed in
  72. sTARBABY. It is still affecting the group and its membership.
  73. 2) In spite of its name, CSICOP no longer investigates
  74. anything, nor does it sponsor research.
  75. 3) CSICOP members have learned how to apply the advice of
  76. Cicero.
  77. It would seem that the term "crybaby" actually should be
  78. applied to Klass and CSICOP.
  79.  
  80.  
  81.  
  82. My comments on the above editorial from FATE:
  83.  
  84. It strains credibility to claim that an article written by a
  85. professional journalist of over thirty years' standing who has
  86. won numerous awards for his excellence in writing, is unpublisha-
  87. ble because it is "logicless" and of its "poor quality". For
  88. example, in 1973 Klass was named a fellow in the Institute of
  89. Electrical and Electronic Engineers for his accomplishments in
  90. technical writing, and in 1989 the Aviation and Space Writers
  91. Association awarded Klass its most prestigious Lauren D. Lyman
  92. Award. A much more credible reason is: FATE had long been seeking
  93. about for a convenient mallet to use for bashing CSICOP, and
  94. decided that Rawlins' "sTARBABY" would serve nicely, regardless
  95. of whether or not Rawlins' charges were well-grounded; hence,
  96. they did not want the weaknesses in Rawlins' case to be known to
  97. their readers. Jerome Clark, who was then associate editor of
  98. Fate (and is currently the editor of the CUFOS Bulletin), is the
  99. one who claimed that the "poor quality" of Klass' article would
  100. have been an embarrassment to all parties involved. For those who
  101. have not read it, I attach Klass' "Crybaby" below; you be the
  102. judge of whether or not Jerome Clark was lying about its obvious
  103. "poor quality". In any case, Klass still has a letter dated Dec.
  104. 1, 1981 from Mary Margaret Fuller (then Editor of Fate) which
  105. gives as the excuse for not publishing "Crybaby" that "nothing in
  106. your manuscript refutes [Rawlins'] allegations." Again, re-read
  107. Klass' article, then you may be the judge of whether or not THIS
  108. particular excuse for refusing to publishing it is valid.
  109.  
  110. As for the postscript I added about Rawlins and his harsh charges
  111. about the supposed conspiracy and coverup of Admiral Peary's
  112. alleged failure to reach the North Pole, that, too, is attached
  113. below. Fate wants you to think it was absurdly irrelevant for me
  114. to bring this up, but clearly it is not, as it reveals Rawlins'
  115. propensity for making reckless accusations. It lays bare Rawlins'
  116. _modus operandi_ to those who know him only for "sTARBABY."
  117. Rawlins' recklessness in charging the National Geographic Society
  118. with a coverup and conspiracy is truly appalling, and his
  119. insistence on maintaining these same bizarre charges even after
  120. they were definitively refuted demonstrates his visions of
  121. "conspiracies" to be utterly devoid of any connection to reality.
  122.  
  123. Finally, lest Fate get too smug complimenting itself in its
  124. supposed success in causing CSICOP to "lose members", consider
  125. this: In 1981, when Rawlins' "sTARBABY" was published, CSICOP's
  126. quarterly journal "The Skeptical Inquirer" had a circulation of
  127. approximately 8,000. At present, its circulation is approximately
  128. 35,000.
  129. - Robert Sheaffer
  130.  
  131.  
  132.  
  133. "CRYBABY"
  134.  
  135. By Philip J. Klass
  136.  
  137.  
  138.  
  139. Philip J. Klass is a member of the Executive Council, Committee
  140. for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal
  141. (CSICOP).
  142.  
  143.  
  144. [Note: This article, written in 1981, was submitted for
  145. publication to FATE Magazine, in reply to Dennis Rawlins'
  146. accusations against CSICOP in his Oct., 1981 FATE article
  147. "sTARBABY". FATE adamantly refused to publish this article.
  148. Meanwhile, Rawlins was given the opportunity to make a
  149. rambling, six-page statement in the SKEPTICAL INQUIRER
  150. (Winter, 1981-82, p.58), which was published exactly as
  151. received, presenting his accusations of a "coverup." This
  152. was in addition to the 5 1/2 page article he earlier had on
  153. the "Mars Effect" in the Winter, 1979-80 issue (p.26). To
  154. this day, supporters of the paranormal still charge CSICOP
  155. with perpetrating a "coverup" on this matter. Only a
  156. relatively few people ever saw Klass' "CRYBABY", the long
  157. and detailed answer to Rawlins' "sTARBABY" charges. Now that
  158. you have the opportunity to read Klass' rebuttal, you can
  159. make up your own mind.
  160.  
  161. Klass' original text has been reproduced below, exactly as
  162. typed, with the author's permission. Spelling and
  163. punctuation have not been changed. Text that was underlined
  164. in the original appears in capital letters.
  165. - Robert Sheaffer, Bay Area Skeptics, 1991.
  166. This article is brought to you courtesy of the Bay
  167. Area Skeptics' BBS, 415-648-8944, from which it is
  168. available for downloading, although not via FTP.]
  169.  
  170.  
  171.  
  172.  
  173. "They call themselves the Committee for the Scientific
  174. Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal. In fact, they are a
  175. group of would-be-debunkers who bungled their major
  176. investigation, falsified the results , covered up their errors
  177. and gave the boot to a colleague who threatened to tell the
  178. truth." Thus began a 32-Page article in the October 1981 issue of
  179. FATE magazine, which a a press release headlined: "SCIENTIST
  180. BLOWS THE WHISTLE ON PARANORMAL COVERUP."
  181.  
  182. Since CSICOP was formed in the spring of 1976, it has been a
  183. thorn in the side of those who promote belief in "psychic
  184. phenomena," in astrology, UFOs, and similar subjects and it has
  185. been criticized sharply by FATE whose articles generally cater to
  186. those who are eager to believe. However, this FATE article was
  187. written by skeptic Dennis Rawlins, who was one of the original
  188. Fellows in CSICOP and for nearly four years had been a member of
  189. its Executive Council. This would seem to give credence to
  190. Rawlins' charges -- except to those of us with first-hand
  191. experience in trying to work with him and who are familiar with
  192. his modus-operandi.
  193.  
  194. Because Rawlins proposed my election to CSICOP's Executive
  195. Council I cannot be charged with animosity toward him, except
  196. what he later engendered by his actions. And in a recent letter
  197. to me, Rawlins volunteered that I "was less involved than any
  198. other active Councillor" in the alleged misdeeds.
  199.  
  200. The FATE article, entitled "sTARBABY" prompted my own
  201. investigation into Rawlins' charges. But unlike Rawlins, who
  202. relies heavily on his recollection of conversations several years
  203. earlier, I chose to use hard evidence - published articles,
  204. memoranda and letters, some of which Rawlins cites in his
  205. article. When I requested copies of these letters and memoranda
  206. from the several principals involved, all of them responded
  207. promptly and fully except for one -- Dennis Rawlins, who had
  208. accused the others of "cover-up" and "censorship." RAWLINS
  209. REFUSED MY REPEATED REQUESTS TO SUPPLY HARD DATA THAT MIGHT
  210. CONFIRM HIS CHARGES, AND WHICH ALSO COULD DENY THEM!
  211.  
  212. The results of my investigation, based on hard data,
  213. prompted me to conclude that the Rawlins article should have been
  214. entitled "CRYBABY," and that an appropriate subtitle would have
  215. been: "A wounded ego is the root of much evil."
  216.  
  217. If the editors of FATE had spent only a few hours reading
  218. published articles cited in the Rawlins article they could not in
  219. good conscience have accused CSICOP of "cover-up" or of having
  220. "falsified the results." Instead, FATE chose to ignore the
  221. traditional journalistic practice of investigating both sides of
  222. a controversial issue and publishing both sides, as those accused
  223. by Rawlins had done.
  224.  
  225. Rawlins' charges result from two tests intended to assess
  226. whether the position of the planet Mars at the time of a person's
  227. birth has a significant influence on whether he/she becomes a
  228. "sports champion." This "Mars effect" hypothesis was first
  229. proposed by France's Michel Gauquelin, who directs the laboratory
  230. for the Study of Relations between Cosmic and Psychophysiological
  231. Rhythms, based on a study of European champions.
  232.  
  233. The first of the two tests was performed by Gauquelin
  234. himself, with results that generally were supportive of the Mars
  235. effect hypothesis by eliminating a possible objection that first
  236. had been raised by others, i,e, not CSICOP. The only way in which
  237. CSICOP, or persons affiliated with it, could be guilty of
  238. Rawlins' charges would be if they had refused to publish
  239. Gauquelin's results or had intentionally altered the data in his
  240. report. NEITHER OCCURRED. Nor did Gauquelin accuse CSICOP or its
  241. members of trying to "cover-up" his results or altering the data
  242. of this first test whose calculations he himself performed,
  243. although there were some differences of interpretation of the
  244. implication of these results.
  245.  
  246. HOWEVER, GAUQUELIN DID PUBLICLY ACCUSE RAWLINS OF DISTORTION
  247. AND MISREPRESENTATION, with implied criticism of CSICOP because
  248. Rawlins then was a member of its Executive Council. There would
  249. be other occasions when CSICOP would be criticized because of
  250. Rawlins' intemperate statements and actions.
  251.  
  252. This criticism was published by CSICOP in the Winter l978
  253. issue of its publication, THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER (p. 80). In it
  254. Gauquelin wrote: "How, in spite of all this data could one
  255. distort and misrepresent the effect in question and sow doubts on
  256. the subject? Dennis Rawlins, a member of CSICP ... has done just
  257. this in a polemic which appeared in the Fall-Winter 1977 issue of
  258. that (CSICOP's) journal." In "sTARBABY," Rawlins tries to shift
  259. the blame for his transgressions to CSICOP.
  260.  
  261. According to "sTARBABY," CSICOP Chairman Prof. Paul Kurtz
  262. was the principal architect of the alleged cover-up. Yet in
  263. reality it was Kurtz, then editor of THE HUMANIST magazine
  264. (published by the American Humanist Assn.) who printed the
  265. lengthy paper by Gauquelin describing the seemingly favorable-
  266. for-him results of the first test in the Nov/Dec,l977 issue (p.
  267. 30). What kind of doubletalk is this when Rawlins and FATE charge
  268. that Kurtz's decision to publish test results favorable to an
  269. "adversary" represents a "cover-up"? Rawlins might better have
  270. waited until "l984" to resort to such "double-speak" accusations.
  271.  
  272. Because the issues are complex and because two different
  273. publications and organizations were involved, it is useful to
  274. recount briefly the events that led to the first Mars effect
  275. test, which is at the root of the Rawlins/FATE charges, and the
  276. second tests performed using data for outstanding U.S. athletes.
  277. Based on calculations performed by Rawlins himself, the U.S.
  278. champions test showed a very UNFAVORABLE result for the claimed
  279. Mars effect, which Rawlins confirms in "sTARBABY." And these
  280. Rawlins-computed results were published, without change, by
  281. CSICOP.
  282.  
  283. The Sept/Oct. l975 issue of THE HUMANIST carried an article
  284. by L.E. Jerome that was critical of astrology in general and of
  285. the Mars effect in particular. When Gauquelin sought an
  286. opportunity for rebuttal, Kurtz provided it in the Jan./Feb. 1976
  287. issue of THE HUMANIST, which also carried several other articles
  288. on astrology. Because Gauquelin's article claimed that the
  289. Mars effect had been confirmed by Belgian Committee for the
  290. Scientific Investigation of Alleged Paranormal Phenomena (created
  291. some 25 years earlier), that group also was invited by Kurtz to
  292. submit an article for publication. Belgian Comite Para, as it is
  293. called, confirmed Gauquelin's calculations. But it questioned his
  294. statistical assumption "that the frequency distribution of the
  295. hours of birth during the day (the nych-themeral curve) is a
  296. constant distribution...", i.e. that there is an equal
  297. probability of a person being born during any hour of the day.
  298.  
  299. This seemed important because the Mars effect hypothesis
  300. holds that persons born during an approximately two-hour period
  301. just after Mars has "risen" or during a comparable period after
  302. Mars is at upper culmination (zenith), are more likely to become
  303. sports champions than persons born during other hours of the day.
  304. If there is an equal probability of a person being born in any
  305. one of the 24 hours, then 4/24, or l6.7%,of the general
  306. population should be born when Mars is in one of these two "key
  307. sectors." (Because of combined orbital motions of Earth and Mars,
  308. the percentage of the day in which Mars is in two key sectors is
  309. approximately l7%. But Gauquelin reported that 22% European
  310. champions in his data base had been born when Mars was in the two
  311. key sectors, significantly higher than the l7% "benchmark."
  312.  
  313. Because of the issue raised by Comite' Para, Kurtz
  314. consulted statistics professor Marvin Zelen who in turn proposed a
  315. control test that could resolve the statistical issue raised by
  316. Comite' Para. This Zelen proposed test, also published in the
  317. same (Jan./Feb. 1976) issue of THE HUMANIST, suggested that
  318. Gauquelin should gather birth data for "non-champions" who had
  319. been born in the same local areas and within three days of a
  320. RANDOMLY SELECTED sub-sample of Gauquelin's "champions" who
  321. seemed to show the Mars effect.
  322.  
  323. If only 17% of these NON-champions were born when Mars was
  324. in the two key sectors, this would void the issue raised by
  325. Comite Para. But if roughly 22% of the NON-champions also were
  326. born when Mars was in the two key sectors, this would undercut
  327. the Mars effect hypothesis. Zelen's article concluded that the
  328. proposed test offered "an objective way for unambiguous
  329. corroboration or dis-confirmation." In retrospect it would have
  330. been more precise had he added: "...of the issue raised by
  331. Belgian Comite Para." If Gauquelin's sample of "champions" data
  332. was "biased," as Rawlins first suspected, this could not possibly
  333. be detected by the Zelen-proposed test.
  334.  
  335. The same issue of The Humanist carried another article, by
  336. astronomy professor George O. Abell, which was very skeptical of
  337. astrology in general. But unlike Rawlins who dismissed the Mars
  338. effect out-of-hand and "didn't believe that it merited serious
  339. investigation yet" (FATE: p. 74), Abell wrote that if Gauquelin's
  340. findings were correct, they were "extremely interesting."
  341.  
  342. However, Abell included the following note of caution: "If
  343. all of Gauquelin's work is re-checked, and his results hold up,
  344. then it is necessary to repeat the experiment with a new sample,
  345. say in the United States. If that sample should give the same
  346. result, then further verification is in order, until it is
  347. absolutely certain that the effects are real and reproducible.
  348. That is the way science works; reproducibility of results is
  349. necessary before fundamental new laws can be inferred." This sage
  350. advice clearly indicated the limits of what conclusions could be
  351. drawn, and could not be drawn, from the results of the upcoming
  352. Zelen test, and even from a complete re-check of Gauquelin's
  353. original data on European champions, which was not attempted. It
  354. should be stressed that at the time this first (Zelen) test was
  355. proposed, CSICOP did not yet exist. Several months later, when it
  356. was formed (initially under the auspices of the American Humanist
  357. Assn.), Kurtz became its co-chairman and later its chairman.
  358. Zelen and Abell were named Fellows, but not to CSICOP's Executive
  359. Council. In l980, Abell was elected to replace Rawlins on the
  360. Council.
  361.  
  362. The results of this first (Zelen) test were published in the
  363. Nov./Dec., l977 issue of THE HUMANIST, where the issue first was
  364. raised, although by this time CSICOP had its own publication.
  365. Gauquelin and his wife Francoise were given nearly six large-size
  366. magazine pages to present their findings without censorship.
  367. Gauquelin reported having difficulties in obtaining data for non-
  368. champions born within several days of champions in small towns,
  369. so he said that non-champions birth data had been obtained only
  370. from the large cities in France and Belgium, The Gauquelins
  371. reported that these data showed that only l7% of the non-
  372. champions had been born when Mars was in the two sectors which
  373. seemed to resolve the issue earlier raised by Belgium's Comite
  374. Para in favor of the Mars effect.
  375.  
  376. The same issue of THE HUMANIST carried an article jointly
  377. authored by Zelen, Kurtz, and Abell, that began: "Is there a
  378. 'Mars Effect'? The preceding article by Michel and Francoise
  379. Gauquelin discusses the experiment proposed by Marvin Zelen and
  380. its subsequent outcome. Their conclusions come out in favor of
  381. the existence of a 'Mars effect' related to sports champions. It
  382. is the purpose of this article to discuss the analysis of the
  383. data and to point out the strengths and weaknesses of the
  384. evidence in favor of the 'Mars effect.'"
  385.  
  386. The Zelen/Kurtz/Abell article raised some questions about
  387. the results. For example, that "the 'Mars effect' only appears in
  388. Paris, not in Belgium or in the rest of France." The article
  389. concluded: "lf one had a high prior 'belief' that there is a Mars
  390. effect, then the Gauquelin data would serve confirm this prior
  391. belief. In the other hand, if the prior belief in the existence
  392. of a Mars effect was low, then this data may raise the posterior
  393. belief, but not enough to accept the existence of the Mars
  394. effect."
  395.  
  396. Rawlins charges that publication of this article, following
  397. the uncensored Gauquelin paper,"commited CSICOP to a cover-up."
  398. (FATE: p.76) Yet is characteristic of scientific controversy for
  399. one party to question or challenge another's interpretation of
  400. the data. And Gauquelin would do so following the second test
  401. without being accused of a "cover-up" in "sTARBABY."
  402.  
  403. In the same issue of THE HUMANIST, in a brief introduction
  404. written by Kurtz, the first "linkage" with CSICOP occurred. Kurtz
  405. wrote: "Thus, members of CSICP involved in this inquiry believe
  406. that the claim that there is a statistical relationship between
  407. the position of Mars at the time of birth of individuals and the
  408. incidence of sports champions among them has not been established
  409. ... to further the cause of scientific inquiry, the committee has
  410. agreed (with Gauquelin) to make an independent test of the
  411. alleged Mars effect by a study of sports champions in the United
  412. States."
  413.  
  414. In "sTARBABY," Rawlins charges that the U. S, champions test
  415. was a "diversion." Clearly the Gauquelins themselves did not view
  416. it in this light, judging from the concluding statement in their
  417. article which said: "Let us hope that these positive results may
  418. induce other scientists to study whether this effect, discovered
  419. with the European data, appears also with the U.S. data."
  420.  
  421. On March 28, 1978, SEVERAL MONTHS AFTER THE RESULTS OF THE
  422. FIRST TEST WERE PUBLISHED, Rawlins sent Kurtz a copy of a three-
  423. page memorandum he had prepared a year earlier (March 29, 1977).
  424. It contained a very technical analysis of the issue raised by
  425. Comite Para, which prompted Rawlins to conclude that the 22%
  426. figure reported for European champions was not the result of a
  427. disproportionate share of births of the general population during
  428. the early morning hours when Mars often was in one of the two key
  429. sectors. In this analysis, Rawlins concluded that Gauquelin had
  430. "made fair allowance for the effect."
  431.  
  432. But Rawlins had not written this three-page memo until
  433. several month AFTER the Zelen test had been proposed in THE
  434. HUMANIST. Shortly after preparing the analysis, Rawlins had sent
  435. a copy to Prof. Marcello Truzzi, then editor of CSICOP's
  436. publication. Truzzi had decided not to publish it but sent a copy
  437. to Gauquelin. IF the Rawlins analysis of 1977 took account of all
  438. possible demographic factors -- and there is some disagreement on
  439. this question -- it was much too technical to be understood by
  440. persons without expertise in statistics and celestial mechanics.
  441.  
  442. When Rawlins finally got around to sending this analysis to
  443. Kurtz on March 28, 1978, his letter of that date did NOT
  444. criticize Truzzi or CSICOP for not having published it earlier.
  445. Rather, Rawlins admitted, "I should not have kept my (Mar. 19,
  446. 1977) memo..private after all." He did suggest that perhaps it
  447. might now be published in THE HUMANIST. But by this time Kurtz no
  448. longer was its editor. More important, the results of the first
  449. (Zelen) test already had been published several months earlier.
  450.  
  451. If, as Rawlins would later charge in"sTARBABY," the
  452. Zelen/Kurtz/Abell article published several months earlier in THE
  453. HUMANIST amounted to a "cover- up," Rawlins did not make such an
  454. accusation to Kurtz when he wrote him April 6, 1978. Instead,
  455. Rawlins wrote; "I think our best bets now are 1. The main
  456. European investigation might seek to discover how the Eur. samp
  457. (of Gauquelin) was (hypothetically) fudged -- check orig. records
  458. microscopically for some sort of Soal trick. 2. Proceed with the
  459. U.S, test, where we know we have a clean (unbiased) sample."
  460.  
  461. This April 6, 1978, letter clearly shows that while Rawlins
  462. suspected that Gauquelin had manipulated his European champions
  463. data ("Soal trick") he found no evidence of wrong-doing by
  464. Zelen/Kurtz/Abell. On April 26, 1978, in another letter to Kurtz,
  465. following his visit with Rawlins in San Diego, Rawlins wrote that
  466. he "was certain" that Gauquelin's original data "was biased, but
  467. not sure how." Rawlins concluded this letter on a cordial note:
  468. "Now, wasn't it great visiting sunny, funny, California -- and
  469. getting to see a real live nut religion launch itself in San
  470. Diego? ... hope you'll get back this way soon again."
  471.  
  472. It was at about this time that CSICOP came under fire for
  473. Rawlins' actions in another matter. In the summer of 1977,
  474. Rawlins and Abell had been invited to be panelists in a symposium
  475. on astrology to be held March 18, 1978 at the University of
  476. Toronto at which Gauquelin, among others, would participate. The
  477. invitation came from Dr. Howard Eisenberg on the stationary of
  478. the University's School of Continuing Studies. Both Rawlins and
  479. Abel had accepted. Then, in late September, 1977, Eisenberg
  480. withdrew the invitations on the grounds that "the response from
  481. potential speakers...has yielded an incredible acceptance rate of
  482. 100%. This places us in the embarassing position of not being
  483. able to sponsor all of you," i.e. pay travel expenses and allow
  484. formal presentations.
  485.  
  486. On Feb. 6, 1978, Rawlins wrote to the president of the
  487. University of Toronto, protesting what he said were "a number of
  488. oddities" associated with the symposium, including an imbalance
  489. between the number of astrology supporters and skeptics. The
  490. Rawlins letter charged that "this conference looks to be a pretty
  491. phoney confrontation, which will therefore give the irrational
  492. pseudo-science of astrology an evidentially-unmerited 'academic'
  493. boost in public credibility..." Rawlins sent a copy of his letter
  494. to another university official.
  495.  
  496. Rawlins' suspicion of a loaded panel may have been
  497. justified. But the letter of protest was written on CSICOP
  498. stationery and signed "Dennis Rawlins, Executive Council,
  499. CSICOP." Another regretable action was a Rawlins telephone call
  500. late at night to a university astronomy professor, Robert
  501. Garrison, which gave the impression that Rawlins was speaking in
  502. behalf of CSICOP. In fact, Rawlins had taken these actions
  503. without consulting other Council members and without official
  504. approval to use CSICOP's name. In early April 1978, a copy of the
  505. Rawlins letter had reached Truzzi, who also had been invited and
  506. dis-invited to participate in the conference. The Rawlins letter
  507. claimed that Truzzi had co-authored "an astrology-supporting
  508. paper...and so rates as a strange sort of skeptic." Truzzi sent
  509. Kurtz a copy of this Rawlins letter with a note that said: "Since
  510. Dennis' letter is on Committee stationery, would appear he is
  511. writing on behalf of the Committee, I trust that will not happen
  512. again."
  513.  
  514. Rawlins' actions were reported in the Canadian magazine
  515. SCIENCE FORUM July/August 1978, in an article written by Lydia
  516. Dotto. The article, entitled "Science Confronts 'Pseudo-
  517. Science'", began; "It was after midnight on a Saturday night when
  518. University of Toronto astronomer Bob Garrison was awakened by a
  519. phone call. The caller identified himself as a member of the
  520. Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the
  521. Paranormal, and according to Garrison, he spent the best part of
  522. the next hour urging the U of T scientist not to participate in
  523. the conference on astrology...Dennis Rawlins, a California
  524. astronomer and science writer and a member of the Committee,
  525. acknowledged in an interview that he made the call, but denied he
  526. was trying to talk Garrison out of attending the
  527. conference...this and other incidents surrounding the conference
  528. have become something of a cause celebre, particularly since the
  529. event was cancelled shortly before it was to have taken place in
  530. mid-March. Predictably, ACCUSATIONS BEGAN TO FLY THAT SCIENTIFIC
  531. OPPONENTS OF ASTROLOGY WERE ENGAGED IN A CAMPAIGN TO SUPPRESS
  532. FREEDOM OF SPEECH." (Emphasis added.)
  533.  
  534. Indeed they did, much to CSICOP's embarassment. Britain's
  535. New Scientist magazine, in its June 29, 1978, issue, quoted the
  536. Canadian magazine in an article that began: "Earlier this year an
  537. astronomer at the University of Toronto, Dr. Bob Garrison, was
  538. awakened by a phone call from a member of Committee for the
  539. Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal. The caller
  540. allegedly spent most of the next hour trying to dissuade Garrison
  541. from taking part in a conference on astrology."
  542.  
  543. This New Scientist account was picked up by FATE magazine,
  544. which in turn attributed the action to CSICOP rather than to one
  545. Council member. FATE commented: "If you have difficulty
  546. understanding their (CSICOP) motives, remember that here is a
  547. dedicated group of witch-hunters seeking to burn nonbelievers at
  548. the stake." (How ironic that FATE now is promoting the views of
  549. the same person whose intemperate earlier actions had provoked
  550. FATE's harsh criticism.) The same criticism of CSICOP, because of
  551. Rawlins' actions surfaced again in a feature article in THE
  552. WASHINGTON POST (Aug. 26, 1979). The article, syndicated and
  553. published elsewhere, was written by Ted Rockwell who was
  554. identified as a member of the Parapsychological Association.
  555.  
  556. When I learned of the Rawlins incident, I was shocked as
  557. were others on the Council. But all of us hoped that Council
  558. members had learned an important lesson from the incident and
  559. that it would have a maturing effect on Rawlins. Yet before
  560. another year had passed Rawlins would once again demonstrate his
  561. inability to distinguish between official CSICOP actions and
  562. those of its individual members.
  563.  
  564. Originally it was expected that the required calculations of
  565. Mars' position at the time of birth of U.S. champions (for the
  566. second test) would be performed by Prof. Owen Gingerich of
  567. Harvard University. But during the summer of 1978 the Harvard
  568. astronomer was on an extended leave so Kurtz asked Rawlins to
  569. perform the celestial mechanics computations. Rawlins did so and
  570. found in sharp contrast to Gauquelin's findings that 22% of the
  571. European champions were born when Mars was in the two key
  572. sectors, and compared to the "chance" benchmark figure of 17%,
  573. only 13.5% of the U.S. champions were born when Mars was in the
  574. two key sectors. Thus, Rawlins' calculations showed that if Mars
  575. had any effect on champions, it was a pronounced NEGATIVE effect
  576. for U.S. athletes.
  577.  
  578. On Sept, 18, 1978, Rawlins prepared a four-page report
  579. describing the procedures he had used in his calculations and a
  580. summary of the results. But Rawlins could not resist including
  581. some denigrating charges against Gauquelin. For example:
  582. "Gauquelin was well known in his teens for his casting of
  583. horoscopes (a practice he has since disowned)..." The comments
  584. were both gratuitous and inappropriate.
  585.  
  586. Relations between Rawlins and Gauquelin had been strained
  587. since CSICOP published a long, rambling Rawlins attack
  588. (Fall/Winter 1977) in which he accused Gauquelin of "misgraphing
  589. the results of the Belgian Comite Para check on his Mars-athletes
  590. link..." Gauquelin had responded with the charge that Rawlins had
  591. distorted and misrepresented the facts in a letter which then was
  592. scheduled to be published shortly in the Winter 1978 issue of THE
  593. SKEPTICAL INQUIRER. The same issue also would carry a sharp
  594. rejoinder from Rawlins.
  595.  
  596. Thus it is hardly surprising that Kurtz decided that it
  597. would be best if the upcoming summary report on the results of
  598. the U.S. champions test should be written by Zelen, Abell and
  599. himself -- especially since the three of them had jointly
  600. authored the earlier article and Abell had proposed the U.S.
  601. test. If Kurtz instead had suggested that the U.S. champions test
  602. report be jointly authored with Rawlins instead of Abell,
  603. "sTARBABY" might never have been published. This is evident from
  604. numerous Rawlins complaints in"sTARBABY." For example, Rawlins
  605. complains that the day after Kurtz received his Sept. 18, 1978,
  606. report (with the ad hominem attack on Gauquelin) "Kurtz wrote
  607. Abell to suggest KZA (Kurtz, Zelen and Abell) confer and prepare
  608. the test report for publication (EXCLUDING ME)." (Emphasis
  609. added.) (P.79.)
  610.  
  611. Rawlins also complains that Kurtz asked Zelen and Abell "to
  612. verify the work," i.e. Rawlins' calculations. (P.80.) Because of
  613. the importance of test, it was good scientific protocol to ask
  614. other specialists to at least spot-check Rawlins' computations.
  615. Then Rawlins reveals he was angered because "Abell asked
  616. countless questions about my academic training." (P. 8O.)
  617. Inasmuch as Rawlins lists his academic training as being in
  618. physics rather than astronomy, Abell's questions seem justified.
  619.  
  620. Further evidence of Rawlins' wounded ego is his complaint
  621. that "not only was Abell being invited to the press conference
  622. (at the upcoming Council in Washington, D.C.), he was to be the
  623. CSICOP spokesman on astrology in Washington." (P.81) Rawlins said
  624. he "strongly protested the high-handedness of the choice of Abell
  625. as the speaker at the annual meeting...I emphasized that CSICOP
  626. had plenty of astronomers associated with it (Carl Sagan, Bart
  627. Bok, Edwin Krupp and others), all of them nearer Washington than
  628. Abell who lived all the way across the country, in the Los
  629. Angeles area." (In fact, Krupp also lived in Southern California,
  630. Bok lived Arizona, and Sagan then was working in California on
  631. his "Cosmos" television series.)
  632.  
  633. In "sTARBABY," Rawlins claims that Abell had been invited to
  634. speak because "Kurtz was trying to suppress my dissenting report
  635. (of Sept. 18, 1978) and (by not paying my travel fare) to keep me
  636. from the December Council meeting while inviting to Washington as
  637. a prominent CSICOP authority the very person whose appointed task
  638. I HAD MYSELF PERFORMED" (his italics, p. 81). In reality, there
  639. was no question that Rawlins' Sept, 18, 1978, report, describing
  640. his analytical procedures, needed to be published. The only
  641. question was whether it should include the ad hominem attack on
  642. Gauquelin.
  643.  
  644. It was not until approximately one year AFTER the results of
  645. the Zelen test were published in THE HUMANIST that Rawlins first
  646. charged the use of "bait-and-switch" tactics--what he calls
  647. "BS"--had been employed. This allegation was contained in his
  648. letter of Nov. 2, 1978, to Zelen, with a copy to Kurtz. BUT
  649. RAWLINS STILL DID NOT CHARGE THAT THIS AMOUNTED TO A "COVER-UP,"
  650. OR THAT CSICOP WAS INVOLVED. Quite the opposite. A few weeks
  651. later when the Winter 1978 issue of THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER was
  652. published, there was a Rawlins response which said: "It SHOULD BE
  653. CLEARLY UNDERSTOOD THAT CSICP AS A BODY NEVER HAD ANYTHING TO DO
  654. WITH THE HUMANIST ZELEN TEST 'CHALLENGE'...PUBLISHED BEFORE THE
  655. COMMITTEE WAS FOUNDED"(Emphasis added.)
  656.  
  657. Like most members of CSICOP's Executive Council who had not
  658. been involved either in the first (Zelen) test or the subsequent
  659. U.S. champions test, and who were not sufficiently expert in
  660. celestial mechanics, statistics or astrology to take a prior
  661. interest, my first exposure to the controversy came during the
  662. Council meeting in Washington in early December, 1978, when
  663. Rawlins unleashed a rambling harrangue. Understandably I was
  664. confused by Rawlins' charge that CSICOP somehow was involved in a
  665. Zelen test-results cover-up that had occurred more than a year
  666. before which contradicted his just-published statement in THE
  667. SKEPTICAL INQUIRER stating that the original Zelen test was NOT a
  668. CSICOP-sponsored effort.
  669.  
  670. Despite my efforts to understand Rawlins' allegations, it
  671. was not clear to me (and to many other Council members) just what
  672. it was that he now was claiming had been"covered-up." After three
  673. years of working with Rawlins I was well aware of his proclivity
  674. for making harsh, exaggerated charges. Most often these were
  675. directed against supporters of the para-normal, but sometimes
  676. also against Council members who disagreed with his proposals for
  677. intemperate actions against "the believers." For example, Rawlins
  678. had charged that Truzzi was involved with the "Church of Satan."
  679.  
  680. Beyond having difficulty in understanding the specifics of
  681. Rawlins' charges, I failed to grasp what he thought should be
  682. done to correct the alleged problem. Because the hour was getting
  683. late and Council members had to leave to catch flights back home,
  684. I suggested to Rawlins that he write a memorandum that clearly
  685. and concisely set forth the basic issues and that he recommend
  686. appropriate corrective action. In this way Council members could
  687. better comprehend the matter and consider corrective action if
  688. such were justified. Rawlins cites this in "sTARBABY" and claims
  689. he was the only party who had put the issues in writing. BUT HE
  690. DID NOT SEND COPIES OF SUCH MEMORANDA TO COUNCIL MEMBERS. ONE
  691. LOGICAL EXPLANATION FOR THIS IS THAT PREVIOUSLY HE DID NOT
  692. BELIEVE THE MATTER INVOLVED CSICOP OR REQUIRED COUNCIL MEMBERS'
  693. ATTENTION.
  694.  
  695. Rawlins was the last one to leave my apartment (where we had
  696. been meeting that night) and he continued his earlier harrangue
  697. but without clarifying the issues. Later, he called me from the
  698. airport to continue the discussion. Again I asked that he clarify
  699. the issues for me and other Council members by preparing a
  700. memorandum. I assured Rawlins that since I had not been involved
  701. in either of the two tests and since he had recommended my
  702. election to Council, he could expect me to be at least neutral if
  703. not sympathetic.
  704.  
  705. Rawlins never responded to my request. About six weeks later
  706. (Jan. 17, 1979), he did circulate a five-page memo to CSICOP
  707. Fellows and Council members. It was a "baby sTARBABY" which cited
  708. a number of ALLEGED mistakes that had been made by OTHERS
  709. involved in the tests and in CSICOP's operations. I replied on
  710. Jan. 31 saying that his memo was "for me an unintelligible
  711. jumble." I added: "without meaning to give offense to a friend, I
  712. once again urge you -- as I did at our meeting here -- to outline
  713. the problem...then outline your recommendations. And please do
  714. not assume, as you have done, that all of us follow the G-affair
  715. as closely as you have done." My letter concluded: "Skip the
  716. invective...outline the problem clearly, concisely, and offer
  717. your recommendations."
  718.  
  719. Rawlins never responded to this request. Today, following my
  720. recent investigation, I know why. There was no cover-up, except
  721. in Rawlins' troubled mind, fed by the fires of a wounded ego and,
  722. perhaps, by embarassment over his unauthorized intervention in
  723. the University of Toronto symposium. Rawlins was unable to
  724. recommend specific corrective action because nothing could have
  725. saved his wounded ego unless it were possible to turn back the
  726. clock and to have invited Rawlins to be the CSICOP speaker on
  727. astrology in Washington and to replace Abell in writing the
  728. report on the results of the U.S. champions test.
  729.  
  730. Readers of "sTARBABY" might easily conclude that Rawlins
  731. believes that Zelen/Kurtz/Abell, in the Nov/Dec. 1977 issue of
  732. THE HUMANIST, should have conceded "Gauquelin has won" and
  733. cancelled plans for the U.S. champions test. Yet had they done
  734. so, Rawlins would have been outraged because such a concession
  735. would imply that the Zelen test had proved the Mars effect beyond
  736. all doubt and this was not true. Had Zelen/Kurtz/Abell even
  737. contemplated such a concession, I am certain that Rawlins would
  738. have urged that they be ousted from CSICOP.
  739.  
  740. "sTARBABY" reveals that Rawlins imagines many things that
  741. simply are not true, such as his charge that I was involved in a
  742. plot to suppress his discussions of the Gauquelin test at the
  743. 1978 Council meeting. His article implies that Council meetings
  744. are characterized by attempts to suppress dissenting views. In
  745. reality one usually hears almost as many different viewpoints as
  746. there are Council members present. And Kurtz is the most
  747. unconstraining group chairman I have ever known in the many
  748. organizations of which I have been a member.
  749.  
  750. Even on easily ascertainable matters, Rawlins chooses to
  751. rely on his vivid imagination or recollections rather than take
  752. time to check the facts. For example, in "sTARBABY," Rawlins
  753. claims that he was an "associate editor" of THE SKEPTICAL
  754. INQUIRER, as well as being a member of its editorial board --
  755. which he was [not]. Rawlins makes that claim in seven different
  756. places in his article. One would expect that a person who
  757. imagines himself to be an associate editor of a publication over
  758. a period of several years would at least once look at that
  759. publication's masthead, where its editorial staff is listed. Had
  760. Rawlins done so he would not have made this spurious claim.
  761.  
  762. This is not an error of great consequence. But when I
  763. pointed it out to him, his response was revealing, especially
  764. because he accuses others of being unwilling to admit to error
  765. and of resorting to "cover-up." Rawlins' letter of Sept. 21,
  766. 1981, explained that at a Council meeting HELD FOUR YEARS EARLIER
  767. he remembers that "Kurtz called all Ed. Board members 'Associate
  768. Editors'...I adopted to save syllables." Rawlins tries to justify
  769. his misstatement of fact on the grounds that he was able to save
  770. approximately 42 characters in his 75,000-character-long article!
  771.  
  772. In "sTARBABY," Rawlins claims that the full-day meeting of
  773. the Council in Washington was held at the National Press Club
  774. because this was "the temple of CSICOP's faith." (P. 86.) Had
  775. Rawlins asked me, I would have informed him that I had selected
  776. the National Press Club because it was the lowest-cost facility
  777. in downtown Washington that I could find. But Rawlins decided he
  778. knew the answer without bothering to investigate. This is neither
  779. good science nor good journalism.
  780.  
  781. In the previously cited Rawlins memorandum of Jan. 17, 1979,
  782. following the Washington meeting, he wrote that he planned to
  783. reduce his involvement with CSICOP. He added that there was no
  784. reason to "hide" CSICOP's problems "from the public. So I may
  785. inform a neutral, responsible, unsensational member of the press
  786. re the foregoing." In reality Rawlins already had taken such
  787. steps at the December Council meeting whose press seminar was
  788. attended by an experienced journalist with a known empathy for
  789. some paranormal claims. During the early afternoon Rawlins and
  790. this journalist left the meeting together and returned together
  791. several hours later. But this journalist never published anything
  792. on the matter, possibly because he has as much difficulty in
  793. understanding Rawlins' charges as did Council members.
  794.  
  795. According to "sTARBABY," in mid-1979, Rawlins received a
  796. letter from Jerome Clark of FATE magazine, expressing an interest
  797. in learning more about Rawlins' complaints against CSICOP.
  798. Rawlins claims that shortly afterward "I told the Council I'd be
  799. open with FATE." I question the truthfulness of his statement
  800. because Rawlins did not bother to attend the next Council meeting
  801. in December, 1979, nor have I been able to locate any Rawlins
  802. letter or memorandum to substantiate this claim.
  803.  
  804. "sTARBABY" claims that "as the FATE-story realization set
  805. in, Council reacted like the White House when it learned that
  806. John Dean had sat down with the prosecution (during the Watergate
  807. scandal). (P.91) This claim I know to be false. The prospect of a
  808. Rawlins article in FATE was never discussed at the 1979 or 1980
  809. Council meetings, nor by memorandum during the two intervening
  810. years. Otherwise CSICOP would have prepared a response which it
  811. could have released immediately following publication of
  812. "sTARBABY," preventing Rawlins from boasting that failure of
  813. CSICOP to respond quickly to his many charges indicated an
  814. inability to do so.
  815.  
  816. Returning, chronologically, to the fall of 1979, CSICOP was
  817. preparing to publish the results of the U.S. champions test in
  818. the Winter 1979-80 issue of THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER. Rawlins
  819. demanded the right to revise and expand his original Sept, 18,
  820. 1978, paper, and was given that opportunity. Furthermore,
  821. according to "sTARBABY," Rawlins informed Ken Frazier, editor of
  822. THE SKEPTICAL INQUIRER, "that if there were any alterations not
  823. cleared with me, I wanted a note printed with the paper stating
  824. that deletions had occurred over the author's protest and that
  825. the missing portions could be obtained directly from me." (P.
  826. 92.)
  827.  
  828. Frazier (who had been recommended for the position by
  829. Rawlins himself), acting on the recommendation of Prof. Ray
  830. Hyman, a Council member who reviewed the Rawlins paper and the
  831. others, and on Frazier's own long editorial experience, decided
  832. to delete the sentence referring to Gauquelin's earlier interest
  833. in traditional astrology. Frazier also opted to delete another
  834. sentence that read: "In this connection I must also say that,
  835. given the self piekill upshot (sic) of their European
  836. (nonchampions) adventure plus their failure to perform
  837. independently the U.S. study's technical foundations (sector
  838. position, expectation curve), I find it amusing that ZKA (Zelen,
  839. Kurtz, Abell) are the main commentators on this test in THE
  840. SKEPTICAL INQUIRER." Once again Rawlins' wounded-ego had
  841. manifested itself.
  842.  
  843. On Nov, 6, 1979, Rawlins sent a memo to other members of the
  844. Editorial Board complaining that his article "has been neatly
  845. censored here and there, so I have asked to add a statement
  846. saying so and suggesting that readers who wish to consult the
  847. original version may do so by contacting me. This sentence has
  848. itself been bowdlerized (so that it reads as if no tampering
  849. occurred)." Frazier had proposed an alternative sentence, which
  850. was published at the end of the Rawlins paper, that read:
  851. "Further commentary on the issues raised in this paper and in
  852. these notes is available from the author." Rawlins' address also
  853. was published.
  854.  
  855. This is the basis for Rawlins' harsh charges of "censorship"
  856. against Frazier, the man whom he had so highly recommended for the
  857. position. If Rawlins' complaint were justified, every working
  858. journalist could make the same accusations regularly against
  859. those who edit his/her copy to assure clarity and good taste and
  860. to avoid libel. In response to Rawlins' charges, Frazier wrote to
  861. members of the Editorial Board explaining what had transpired.
  862. Frazier noted, "Dennis seems to believe his position as a member
  863. of the Editorial Board gives his writings special status exempt
  864. from normal editorial judgment. None of the rest of you has ever
  865. suggested this," i.e. demanded privileged treatment. So because
  866. Rawlins was not given privileged treatment, he charges
  867. "censorship."
  868.  
  869. In the same Nov. 6, 1979, letter charging censorship,
  870. Rawlins complained that he alone among Council members had not
  871. been reimbursed for his travel expenses of $230 to the previous
  872. Council meeting in Washington. Rawlins said that he would need
  873. $400.00 for travel to attend the upcoming Council meeting in New
  874. York and added "I won't do that unless all 63O dollars are here
  875. beforehand." Kurtz promptly sent Rawlins a check for $350 as a
  876. travel advance and assured him he would be reimbursed for
  877. previous travel expense as soon as he submitted an expense
  878. account--which Rawlins had never done (In "sTARBABY," Rawlins
  879. characterizes this as a "ridiculous excuse" for failure to
  880. reimburse him earlier.) Rawlins cashed the $350 check but did not
  881. attend the New York Council meeting, nor did he inform the
  882. Council that he would not attend. Rawlins never refunded the $120
  883. difference between $230 he claimed was due him and the $350 he
  884. received. Yet Rawlins professes to have been shocked and
  885. surprised when the Council voted unanimously not to reelect
  886. Rawlins at its New York meeting. (Since Rawlins seems so easily
  887. shocked and surprised, I suspect he was equally surprised at the
  888. resignation of Richard M. Nixon.)
  889.  
  890. Two months later, Rawlins wrote to Frazier saying he wished
  891. to resign from the Editorial Board. But he insisted that the
  892. resignation should not take effect until his statement
  893. complaining about not being reelected "in absentia" was
  894. published. This Rawlins statement claimed that he had not been
  895. reelected solely because he had criticized "CSICOP's conduct
  896. during ITS FOUR YEAR INVOLVEMENT in testing Gauquelin's neo-
  897. astrology..." (Emphasis added.)
  898.  
  899. Had Frazier opted to publish this grossly inaccurate
  900. statement, which he did not, readers might well have wondered if
  901. there were really two different Dennis Rawlins, recalling barely
  902. a year earlier when a Rawlins letter had been published which
  903. said: "It should be clearly understood that CSICOP as a body
  904. never had anything to do with the Humanist Zelen test
  905. 'challenge'..." When Frazier accepted Rawlins' resignation, this
  906. prompted Rawlins to complain that he had been removed from the
  907. Editorial Board without "cause or written notice." Later,
  908. following a mail ballot of Council members, CSICOP dropped
  909. Rawlins from its list of Fellows. (The vote against Rawlins was
  910. 6:1.)
  911.  
  912. The foregoing highlights the key issues and actions that
  913. prompted FATE and Rawlins to charge that CSICOP "bungled their
  914. major investigation, falsified the results, covered up their
  915. errors and gave the boot to a colleague who threatened to tell
  916. the truth." (After my investigation, a re-reading of "sTARBABY"
  917. gives me the feeling that I am reading a Pravda account
  918. explaining that the Soviets moved into Afghanistan to help the
  919. Afghans prevent an invasion by the U.S. Central Intelligence
  920. Agency.)
  921.  
  922. Were it possible to turn back the clock, undoubtedly Kurtz,
  923. Zelen and Abell would try to be more precise in defining test
  924. objectives and protocol and would do so in writing. And more time
  925. would be spent in more carefully phrasing articles dealing with
  926. such tests. But all CSICOP Council members and Fellows have other
  927. full-time professions that seriously constrain time available for
  928. CSICOP efforts.
  929.  
  930. Were it possible to turn back the clock, the Council should have
  931. insisted in the spring of 1978 that Rawlins issue a public
  932. statement that he had erred in using CSICOP's name in support of
  933. his personal actions connected with the University of Toronto's
  934. planned astrology symposium. Failure to do this has resulted in
  935. an unjustified blot on CSICOP's modus-operandi. Also at that time
  936. the Council should have developed a policy statement, as it
  937. recently did, that more clearly delineates activities that
  938. members perform officially in behalf of CSICOP and those carried
  939. out as private individuals.
  940.  
  941. When a small group of persons met in Buffalo in May, 1976,
  942. to create CSICOP, their motivation was a concern over the growing
  943. public acceptance of claims of the paranormal. CSICOP was created
  944. to provide a counter-balance to those who espouse a variety of
  945. claims, ranging from UFOs to astrology, from the "Bermuda
  946. Triangle" to psychic phenomena. With the benefit of experience,
  947. it was apparent that there was an extreme spectrum of viewpoints
  948. on the Council. Rawlins was at the "hit-'em-hard" extreme, while
  949. Truzzi was at the opposite pole and resigned after a couple
  950. years, partially as a result of behind-the scenes plotting by
  951. Rawlins which he admits in "sTARBABY." Now Rawlins has departed
  952. and, in my view, CSICOP is much the better for it.
  953.  
  954. CSICOP never has tried to destroy those organizations that
  955. promote belief in paranormal causes. But individuals in these
  956. organization have tried to discredit CSICOP, even going so far in
  957. one instance as to circulate a forged letter.
  958.  
  959. FATE magazine made wide distribution of the Rawlins
  960. "sTARBABY" article in reprint form, together with its press
  961. release. Prof. R.A. McConnell, University of Pittsburgh, founding
  962. President of the Parapsychological Association, also distributed
  963. copies to CSICOP Fellows and Council members, among others. In
  964. his accompanying letter, McConnell said he believed the "Rawlins
  965. report is certainly true in broad outline and probably true in
  966. every detail...He has created a document of importance for the
  967. history and philosophy of science." McConnell quoted an "unnamed
  968. scientist" as claiming that "Rawlins has uncovered the biggest
  969. scandal in the history of rationalism." McConnell characterized
  970. CSICOP as "an intellectually dishonest enterprise."
  971.  
  972. FATE and McConnell have demonstrated the intrinsic flaw in
  973. the basic approach of those who promote claims of the paranormal
  974. -- THEIR EAGERNESS TO ACCEPT CLAIMS OF EXTRAORDINARY EVENTS
  975. WITHOUT RIGOROUS INVESTIGATION. Neither FATE nor McConnell
  976. contacted CSICOP officials to check out Rawlins' charges. This
  977. demonstrates why CSICOP is so sorely needed.
  978.  
  979. The late President Harry Truman phrased it well: "If you
  980. can't stand the heat, stay out of the kitchen." CSICOP is "in the
  981. kitchen" by choice and intends to remain there despite the heat.
  982. The response of CSICOP's Council and its Fellows to recent events
  983. shows that the Committee is not an easy victim of heat-
  984. prostration.
  985.  
  986. If the Mars effect, or any other paranormal hypothesis,
  987. should ever be demonstrated using rigorous scientific procedures,
  988. there simply is no way in which the small group of individuals
  989. involved in CSICOP could ever hope to suppress such evidence. Nor
  990. have I found any CSICOP Council member or Fellow who is so
  991. foolish as to try.
  992.  
  993. (end)
  994.  
  995. [In the years following "sTARBABY", Rawlins has continued to
  996. receive publicity by making sensational charges of
  997. scientific coverup and fraud. In 1988 he made national
  998. headlines by renewing an earlier charge he had made before
  999. CSICOP's founding, this time supposedly supported by a new-
  1000. found document: that Admiral Peary never actually reached
  1001. the North Pole during his famous expedition in 1909, but
  1002. instead fabricated his navigational records to make it
  1003. appear as if he had. A New York Times article of October 13,
  1004. 1988 carries the headline: "Peary's Notes Said to Imply He
  1005. Fell Short of Pole." It begins: "New evidence based on
  1006. navigational notes by Robert E. Peary indicates that the
  1007. Arctic explorer fell short of his goal and deliberately
  1008. faked his claim in 1909 that he was the first person to
  1009. reach the North Pole, according to an analysis by a
  1010. Baltimore astronomer and historian ... Dennis Rawlins, an
  1011. independent scholar who trained as an astronomer and who has
  1012. a long-standing interest in Peary's expedition, said
  1013. yesterday that his analysis of the navigational notes,
  1014. mainly sextant readings of the sun to establish geographic
  1015. position, indicated that Peary knew that he had come no
  1016. closer than 121 miles from the Pole." Officials of the
  1017. National Geographic Society promised to examine Rawlins'
  1018. data, but added "We believe Mr. Rawlins has been too quick
  1019. to cry fake."
  1020.  
  1021. After a three-month investigation of Rawlins' charges, a
  1022. press conference was sponsored by The Navigation Foundation
  1023. at which they dismissed his "sensational claims". As
  1024. reported in a Baltimore Sun story syndicated Feb. 2, 1989,
  1025. "Since October [Natl. Geographic] Society President Gilbert
  1026. M. Grosvenor and others had quietly endured Rawlins' public
  1027. calls for debate and unconditional surrender on the Peary
  1028. issue." The Society was willing to take seriously an
  1029. analysis by the British explorer Wally Herbert, based on
  1030. other evidence, that a navigation error may have caused
  1031. Peary to miss the pole by about 45 miles. "Suggesting that
  1032. Peary might not have reached the Pole is one thing," said
  1033. Grosvenor. "Declaring Peary a fraud is quite another."
  1034. Rawlins held his own "informal press conference" afterwards,
  1035. reports The Sun, in which Rawlins "admitted he had confused
  1036. time readings for chronometer checks with altitudes of the
  1037. sun and had mistaken serial numbers on the chronometers for
  1038. navigational observations." Rawlins conceded, "My
  1039. interpretation has some problems, and I acknowledge that.
  1040. It's fair to say that, if I'm saying Peary was a fraud, I
  1041. think I have not yet met the burden of proof."
  1042.  
  1043. Finally, in December, 1989, a 230-page report commissioned
  1044. by the National Geographic Society was released, concluding
  1045. that Peary actually did reach the Pole. As reported in a
  1046. story on p.1 of the New York Times, Dec. 12, 1989, a new
  1047. analysis of Peary's records by professional navigators
  1048. concluded that Peary's final camp was not more than five
  1049. miles from the Pole. "The report said, there was no evidence
  1050. of fraud and deception in the explorer's records. But one
  1051. critic, Dennis Rawlins, a Baltimore astronomer and
  1052. historian, said he remained convinced, despite the new
  1053. study, that Admiral Peary did not reach his goal and had
  1054. faked his claim."
  1055.  
  1056. Robert Sheaffer, Nov., 1991 ]
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