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My Seat Prediction

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Dec 11th, 2019
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  1. Yougov MRP Vote Share (10 December)
  2. ----------
  3. Con: 41.88%
  4. Lab: 32.68%
  5. LD: 13.01%
  6. Brexit: 3.49%
  7. Green: 3.11%
  8. SNP: 3.82%
  9. PC: 0.65%
  10. Other: 1.36%
  11.  
  12. SurveyMonkey (10 December)
  13. ---------
  14. Con: 39.6%
  15. Lab: 37.05%
  16. LD: 9.63%
  17. Brexit: 4.52%
  18. Green: 2.61%
  19. SNP: 3.51%
  20. PC: 0.59%
  21. Other: 1.6%
  22.  
  23. My Swing Predictions (changes wrt/ YouGov MRP 27 November)
  24. ---------
  25. Bassetlaw has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  26. Bedford has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  27. Blackpool South has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  28. Bolsover has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  29. Bury North has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  30. Bury South has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  31. Carshalton and Wallington has swung! (Con GAIN from LD)
  32. Chipping Barnet has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  33. Colne Valley has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  34. Crewe and Nantwich has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  35. Dagenham and Rainham has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  36. Darlington has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  37. Dewsbury has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  38. Dudley North has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  39. East Devon has swung! (Other GAIN from Con)
  40. Great Grimsby has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  41. Hendon has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  42. High Peak has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  43. Hyndburn has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  44. Ipswich has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  45. Keighley has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  46. Leigh has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  47. Loughborough has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  48. Milton Keynes North has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  49. Peterborough has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  50. Putney has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  51. Scunthorpe has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  52. Sheffield, Hallam has swung! (Lab GAIN from LD)
  53. Stockton South has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  54. Stoke-on-Trent Central has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  55. Stoke-on-Trent North has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  56. Stroud has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  57. Warrington South has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  58. Warwick and Leamington has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  59. Weaver Vale has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  60. West Bromwich East has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  61. West Bromwich West has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  62. Westmorland and Lonsdale has swung! (Con GAIN from LD)
  63. Wolverhampton North East has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  64. Wolverhampton South West has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  65. Workington has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  66. East Dunbartonshire has swung! (SNP GAIN from LD)
  67. East Lothian has swung! (Lab GAIN from SNP)
  68. East Renfrewshire has swung! (Con GAIN from SNP)
  69. Edinburgh West has swung! (SNP GAIN from LD)
  70. Glasgow East has swung! (Lab GAIN from SNP)
  71. Midlothian has swung! (Lab GAIN from SNP)
  72. Rutherglen and Hamilton West has swung! (Lab GAIN from SNP)
  73. Delyn has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  74. Alyn and Deeside has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  75. Wrexham has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  76. Aberconwy has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  77. Vale of Clwyd has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  78. Clwyd South has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  79. Preseli Pembrokeshire has swung! (Lab GAIN from Con)
  80.  
  81. My Seat Prediction
  82. ----------------
  83. Con: 322
  84. Lab: 256
  85. SNP: 40
  86. LD: 7
  87. PC: 4
  88. Other: 2
  89. Green: 1
  90. Northern Ireland: 18
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