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TWEET # difficulty forecast Gnosis a guest Sep 2nd, 2015 81 Never
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1. from ethereumAPI import EthereumAPI
2.
3.
4. BLOCK_TARGET_NUMBER = 180000
5. billion = 10**11
6. bounds = []
7. bounds.append(75 * billion)
8. bounds.append(80 * billion)
9. bounds.append(85 * billion)
10.
11. e = EthereumAPI()
12.
13.
14.
15. blocks_remaining = BLOCK_TARGET_NUMBER - int(e.number(),0)
16. print blocks_remaining
17.
18. print int(e.blockByNumber(160000)["difficulty"],0)
19.
20. dif = float(int(e.blockByNumber(int(e.number(),0))["difficulty"],0))
21. changes = []
22.
23. periods_back = 30
24. divide_by = 10
25. print blocks_remaining / divide_by
26.
27. for i in range(periods_back * divide_by):
28.         dif = int(e.blockByNumber(int(e.number(),0)  - i * (blocks_remaining / divide_by))["difficulty"],0)
29.         dif_new = int(e.blockByNumber(int(e.number(),0)  - i * (blocks_remaining / divide_by) - blocks_remaining)["difficulty"],0)
30.         changes.append(dif / float(dif_new))
31.         #dif = float(dif_new)
32.
33. changes.sort()
34. #print changes
35.
36. dif = int(e.blockByNumber(int(e.number(),0))["difficulty"],0)
37. last = 0
38. for i in bounds:
39.         for j in range(len(changes)):
40.                 if dif * changes[j] > i:
41.                         print float(j)/len(changes) - last
42.                         last = float(j)/len(changes)
43.                         break;
44.                 #print 0
45.                 #last = 0
46. print 1 - last
47.
48.
49.
50.
51. #print 0.225 + 0.475 + 0.275 + 0.025
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