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IhavenonameSDA

Launch 96 odds

Jan 23rd, 2015
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  1. 1/4 * 2/4 * 3/4 * 1/4 = 6/256
  2. U UL !LU U
  3. AND ALSO AN OPTION
  4. 1/4 * 1/4 * 1/4 = 1/64 = 4/256
  5. L (boost) U U
  6.  
  7. 1/4 ^ 5 * 3/4 ^ 3 * [total number of possible paths] + odds of DD(boost right)R(override)R(override)D
  8. Total paths = 5 for down first, 15 for right first.
  9. 1/4 ^ 5 = 1/1024
  10. 3/4 ^ 3 = 27/64
  11. Total paths = 20
  12. All those multiplied together = 540/65536
  13. + odds of weird path = 1/4 * 1/4 * 1/4 * 3/4 * 1/4 * 3/4 * 1/4 = 9/(4^7) = 9/16384
  14. 540/4=135
  15. 144/16384 = 9/1024
  16.  
  17. 1/4 = 1/4
  18. D
  19.  
  20. 10/256 * 9/1024 * 1/4
  21. 90/1048576 ODDS OF 96.2 SPECIFICALLY
  22. REDUCES TO ~0.0085%
  23.  
  24. 96.0:
  25. single RFF -1 moves: R(override), U(boost)D, L(boost)D
  26. 6/16 odds
  27. net 135/1048576
  28.  
  29. First RFF cluster -1 moves:
  30.  
  31.  
  32. Second RFF cluster -1 moves:
  33.  
  34.  
  35.  
  36.  
  37. Sum chance of all 96s:
  38. 90+135+???+???/1048576
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