London Fire Prediction: Saint_Covfefe

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Status #christiandebateX #debatesX #atheismX #islam-debateX
#debates: Huge blaze engulfs London tower block //Bill Cosby Trial jury is deliberating - Defense called only 1 witness
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[20:29] <+Saint_Covfefe> Anyone watching tv right now?
[20:29] <+Saint_Covfefe> That London tower smacks of 9/11 to me.
[20:29] <+Saint_Covfefe> Scary.
[20:30] <+MiracleFromGod> In what way does it "smack of 9/11" to you?
[20:30] <+MiracleFromGod> Because they both involved buildings on fire?
[20:31] <+Saint_Covfefe> Yea, they both started that way, I recall.
[20:31] <+MiracleFromGod> I am worried you may be in the grip of a fear response.
[20:31] <+Saint_Covfefe> Yea.
[20:31] <+Saint_Covfefe> Possible.
[20:31] <+MiracleFromGod> The WTC caught fire after impact by aircraft.
[20:31] <+Saint_Covfefe> But that fire looks quite unusual. First thing came to my mind: 9/11.
[20:33] <+Saint_Covfefe> Given what has been going on in London. Looks like a terrorist attack to me.
[20:37] <+MiracleFromGod> What about the fire looks unusual?
[20:38] <+pheno> mi6 did it
[20:38] <+Saint_Covfefe> MiracleFromGod: Every single floor appears to be on fire. It started from the top apparently.
[20:38] <+Saint_Covfefe> That is unusual.
[20:38] <+Sardaukar> it spread very fast and has taken every floor, seems suspicious
[20:38] <+Saint_Covfefe> pheno: Yea that girl band.
[20:38] <+Sardaukar> if it were terrorism seems to me they would start it low and trap eveyrone
[20:39] <+Saint_Covfefe> Sardaukar: Hmm that
[20:39] <+Saint_Covfefe> is one theory.
[20:39] <+MiracleFromGod> You are speculating with very little information.
[20:39] <+MiracleFromGod> Your speculation builds upon and reinforces your existing beliefs.
[20:39] <+MiracleFromGod> I predict that if it's later shown to be an accident you'll not come in here and tell us you were wrong when you wondered it was terrorism.
[20:39] == barabbas` has changed nick to barabbas`afk
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> This is how you let your mind escape your control.
[20:40] <+pheno> i think you should come with 10 theories, pick the most complex one, that must be it
[20:40] <+Sardaukar> <+MiracleFromGod> You are speculating with very little information.
[20:40] == Sara_Ks has changed nick to Crabapple
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> Let us not speculate on things we do not know about.
[20:40] Ignored pheno, to unignore type: /UNIGNORE pheno
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> Most buildings on fire are not on fire as a result of terrorism.
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> As terrorism is quite rare.
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> Therefore, this is likely not terrorism, unless you have specific evidence to overrule the prior.
[20:40] <+MiracleFromGod> That's how Bayesian inference works.
[20:41] * Saint_Covfefe is not making a Bayesian inference right now.
[20:41] <+MiracleFromGod> Saint_Covfefe: What are you doing right now?
[20:41] <+Saint_Covfefe> Something looks unusual about that fire. I suspect it's a terrorist attack.
[20:41] <+MiracleFromGod> Your entire life is in this moment, Saint_Covfefe.
[20:41] <+Saint_Covfefe> A theory.
[20:41] <+MiracleFromGod> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGZJasrDbVw
[20:41] <+Sardaukar> Saint_Covfefe keep your eyes on this dodgy chav, he fancies yer bum mate
[20:41] <+pela> [ Electus - Who We Are - YouTube  ]
[20:42] <+MiracleFromGod> Saint_Covfefe: This is a moment in which great insight is possible.
[20:42] <+MiracleFromGod> I perceive.
[20:42] <+MiracleFromGod> Saint_Covfefe: The predictions we make are made by our mind interfacing with reality.
[20:42] <+Saint_Covfefe> Sardaukar: Heh.
[20:42] <+Saint_Covfefe> Sardaukar: Yea, that's a good Bayesian inference.
[20:42] <+Saint_Covfefe> Heh
[20:42] <+MiracleFromGod> When we reflect on our memory we recall making wrong predictions.
[20:43] <+MiracleFromGod> What are the most common causes of wrong predictions you've made, Saint_Covfefe?
[20:43] <+Saint_Covfefe> Sardaukar: I think it's time to put him on ignore.
[20:43] <+Saint_Covfefe> Done.
[20:43] Ignored Sardaukar, to unignore type: /UNIGNORE Sardaukar
[20:43] <+Saint_Covfefe> pheno: Yea, a girl band by name Duran Duran did it.
[20:43] <+Saint_Covfefe> pheno: That's the 10th theory.
[20:44] <+MiracleFromGod> I shall record this conversation and copy and paste it back into this channel when the cause of this fire is revealed.
[20:44] <+MiracleFromGod> Here is what I will do.
[20:45] <+MiracleFromGod> If it is terrorism, I will say the following words: My prediction that this fire was probably not a result of terrorism was incorrect. Saint_Covfefe's belief that it was terrorism was correct, in this case.
[20:45] <+MiracleFromGod> I will do this because training myself to hold myself accountable for my predictions is a behavior that works well in science.
[20:45] <+MiracleFromGod> It helps me cast awareness on my own mind, and assuages my tendency to allow my emotional mind to terrorize itself.
[20:45] <+Saint_Covfefe> pheno: They should be deported to Mexico.
nko