Mountebank

gen 2 spinner bike probabilities

Feb 26th, 2015
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  1. These probabilities are incorrect due to an off by 1 error in the generator script.
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  3. The correct numbers can be found here: https://pastebin.com/bsXGdAMY
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  9. ===================================================================================================================
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  11. NOTE: These numbers may not be completely accurate, but they do reflect my current knowledge about how spinners work.
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  13. X axis: spinner's direction when you started moving
  14. Y axis: number of frames since spinner last moved
  15. Value: probability of spinner facing down after 8 frames (1 bike step)
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  17. Only even frame counts are given because spinners update every 2 frames.
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  19. EDIT: It seems that the tick difference is actually 5, and not 4 = 8 / 2. Maybe has something to do with stopping and starting movement?
  20.  
  21. | down | up | left | right
  22. ---------------------------------------
  23. 0 | 0.876 | 0.031 | 0.031 | 0.061
  24. 2 | 0.846 | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.076
  25. 4 | 0.841 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.078
  26. 6 | 0.836 | 0.042 | 0.042 | 0.081
  27. 8 | 0.830 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.084
  28. 10 | 0.824 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.087
  29. 12 | 0.817 | 0.046 | 0.046 | 0.090
  30. 14 | 0.810 | 0.048 | 0.048 | 0.093
  31. 16 | 0.803 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.097
  32. 18 | 0.795 | 0.052 | 0.052 | 0.101
  33. 20 | 0.786 | 0.054 | 0.054 | 0.106
  34. 22 | 0.776 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.110
  35. 24 | 0.765 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.116
  36. 26 | 0.754 | 0.062 | 0.062 | 0.121
  37. 28 | 0.741 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.128
  38. 30 | 0.726 | 0.069 | 0.069 | 0.135
  39. 32 | 0.710 | 0.074 | 0.074 | 0.143
  40. 34 | 0.692 | 0.078 | 0.078 | 0.152
  41. 36 | 0.671 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.162
  42. 38 | 0.648 | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.174
  43. 40 | 0.621 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.187
  44. 42 | 0.589 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.202
  45. 44 | 0.552 | 0.114 | 0.114 | 0.221
  46. 46 | 0.507 | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.243
  47. 48 | 0.452 | 0.139 | 0.139 | 0.270
  48. 50 | 0.384 | 0.156 | 0.156 | 0.304
  49. 52 | 0.296 | 0.179 | 0.179 | 0.347
  50. 54 | 0.178 | 0.208 | 0.208 | 0.405
  51. 56 | 0.214 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 0.386
  52. 58 | 0.268 | 0.188 | 0.188 | 0.357
  53. 60 | 0.353 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 0.314
  54. 62 | 0.517 | 0.125 | 0.125 | 0.233
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