Viroda

Round 1 Predictions

Sep 1st, 2020 (edited)
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  1. Pokeguy - Pokeguy - Pokeguy
  2. Pokeguy has a Pokebye
  3.  
  4. Enderborn - Amoeba - Human
  5. Ender wins this solidly if he puts in some minimal race practice, Amoeba puts up a solid time and advances.
  6.  
  7. Juanlysways - I_only_say_VoHiYo - Jezza32
  8. Juanly and VoHiYo end up neck and neck, I'm leaning juanly because he's got actual race experience, but the real winner will be the viewers who get to see juanlyChicken and VoHiYo spam. VoHiYo advances on time.
  9.  
  10. Wsopboy91 - Cyndakill-SH - Kapital
  11. Easy pick for the largest margin of victory in round 1.
  12.  
  13. Quelaagging - Sidosh - Shadowblitz
  14. Picking Que to pull the non-upset upset. Rust is mildly overrated and I think he'll show up well even on limited practice. I think Sidosh advances on time.
  15.  
  16. DerTeppich, Hellboygod, Shenanagans_
  17. One of the most interesting races of round 1. This likely finishes in pot order, but Hellboy has a decent shot (~1/3) to pull it off, especially if Teppich stumbles early. Shen could be scary if he puts in effort, but the other 2 are way more dedicated so I don't see him finishing above them.
  18.  
  19. Gymfreak739 - Xminiblinder - Etchy
  20. Gymfreak's just too good to bet against. An in-practice mini easily makes round 2 on time. Etchy is a big wild card, but the fact that he's learning so late makes me think he'll put up a respectable, but still third place, time.
  21.  
  22. crafted - TiKevin83 - Alberkryne
  23. Crafted wins this reasonably handily. TiKevin puts up a solid time, but it isn't quite enough to put the race in question past the midgame.
  24.  
  25. pinkish_princess - Swiftalu - majormajor777
  26. This one is also out of question by the midgame, assuming no unreasonable RNG.
  27.  
  28. WaveWarrior - Konception - WartOTR
  29. Wave wins easily, this race is similarly lopsided to Wsop's. KonceptioN's marathon practice comes in handy and he puts up a solid run.
  30.  
  31. Araya - Truely - Calle
  32. Poor Calle, man. He's the top time in pot 3 and he drew Araya, arguably the overall best racer, and Truely, who's had some of the most drastic improvement of anyone in this game since he picked it up. Araya takes it and Truely gets through on time.
  33.  
  34. Kingjeffwx - Spitball_Idea - LoveSickHero
  35. Jeff has been performing very well in races, and I think he takes this pretty solidly. Spitball puts up a solid time that's at least competitive for advancement. And nobody will care because all eyes will be on Lovesick, who will be running Charizard.
  36.  
  37. Headbob - BarpTheWire - SUITSME
  38. This will be a reasonably close race, but Headbob pulls away at the end. Barp solidly advances on time.
  39.  
  40. HwangbroXD - Eddaket - EdHeadSR
  41. Hwangbro wins and it isn't particularly close. Eddaket shows up and makes it to round 2. I love EdHead, great guy. :)
  42.  
  43. wh0misDS - Leo - GBFZeta
  44. wh0m takes easily it if his controller is functional. Maybe even if it's only semi-functional. Leo's a dark horse to advance on time if he can take the dumb race stuff in stride. Zeta can also definitely put up an advancing time (although I'm not too knowledgeable about him). This could be one of the better races for second.
  45.  
  46. SquareRootOfSheep - Abdalain - tectectectec
  47. Square's very good and very consistent. He takes this handily, Abdalain pulls it out, finishes a race, and is borderline to advance on time.
  48.  
  49. Flutz - PicklePlop - GMinus0
  50. This race is reasonably close for the most part, but Flutz wins. PicklePlop has a good shot if he plays solidly and doesn't make any large late-game errors, but I think he falls behind at the end.
  51.  
  52. SLWeed - Driekiann - MachWing
  53. Driekiann wins, very few people are surprised. Weed puts up a good enough time for round 2. I could see Weed taking this if he puts in solid time, but Driek is so good (when he's not taking absurd deaths)
  54.  
  55. AlanSchweitzer - JellyStew - VikingSwim
  56. Alan takes this one handily. I'm not too knowledgeable about him, but I think JellyStew takes second over No.1 at Penetrating the red race discord server.
  57.  
  58. Gatorism - Aetienne - Wartab
  59. Gator wins this, but this race is a good candidate for worst winning time. No offense to any of the runners, but all are relatively out of practice (although once again, rust is overrated).
  60.  
  61. Viroda - LegendEater - KidRocker
  62. I hate calling myself to win, especially given my inconsistency. That said, I think I take it but it's uncomfortably close and Legend advances on time. Or my PC crashes. That could also happen. Very rough draw for KidRocker, who I could see getting good quickly come time for the race.
  63.  
  64. Stocchi - 8eco - minnowsr
  65. Stocchi wins this one without much stress. Assuming they're in practice, second place (I'm slightly leaning Beco) makes round 2 on time.
  66.  
  67. Gunnermaniac - RandallEatsCheese - PrimalPizza
  68. Gunner avoids disaster and takes this, but it's sketchy. Randall gives him a run for his money and advances on time.
  69.  
  70. Winners:
  71. Enderborn, Juanlyways, Wsopboy91, Quelaagging, DerTeppich, Gymfreak739, Crafted, Pinkish_Princess, Araya, WaveWarrior, Kingjeffwx, Headbob, HwangbroXD, wh0misDS, SquareRootOfSheep, Flutz, Driekiann, AlanSchweitzer, Gatorism, Viroda, Stocchi, Gunnermaniac
  72.  
  73. Wild Cards:
  74. Amoeba, I_Only_Say_VoHiYo, Sidosh, Xminiblinder, Truely, Spitball_Idea, BarpTheWire, Eddaket, Abdalain, SLWeed, LegendEater, 8eco, RandallEatsCheese
  75.  
  76. First Four Out:
  77. KonceptioN2, TiKevin83, Swiftalu, PicklePlop
  78.  
  79. Most likely upsets:
  80. 1. Driekiann > SLWeed (Weed is very good. Driekiann's just a much better racer than his seed)
  81. 2. I_Only_Say_VoHiYo > Juanly (this race is basically a coin flip)
  82. 3. RandallEatsCheese > Gunner (purely on gunner's effort, if he puts in some time he should win)
  83. 4. Sidosh > Quelaagging (Like gunner, this is entirely based off que's effort. With that said, I trust him more based off his performance in last year's tournament)
  84. 5. HellBoyGod > DerTeppich (HellBoy's put up a ton of good race performances and if he has a decent day and Teppich is slightly off, this could happen pretty easily.)
  85. 6. LegendEater > Viroda (I'm inconsistent, Legend's one of the best runners in pot 2. Simple as that.)
  86.  
  87. (I realize I only predicted 1 seeding upset. Sorry y'all, I'm boring)
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