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  1. D(t)=D(t-1)+(1-P(t-1)/P'*alpha)
  2. P(t)=P(t-1)-(1-D(t-1)/D'*beta)+(1-R(t-1)/R'*gamma)
  3. R(t)=R(t-1)+(1-D(t-1)/D'*eta)
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