API tools faq
paste
Syura

FM Hundo Bonus Drop Odds

Syura
Aug 8th, 2025 (edited)
104
0
Never
Add comment
Not a member of Pastebin yet? Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features!
text 4.55 KB | None | 0 0
raw download clone embed print report
  1. How likely are you to win X card in a hundo run?
  2.  
  3. For all rates, assume a no reset run where a farm ends when you win the last required drop.
  4. This means if you win your required cards more quickly, these odds will be lower.
  5.  
  6. All odds are for vanilla, in 15 card you get as many as 14 extra drops after your required card,
  7. which will make the odds slightly more favorable to receive bonuses.
  8.  
  9. Example: Not winning your first Kaiser Dragon until Heishin duel #3400,
  10. but getting your first Suijin on duel #3500 still results in owning a Kaiser Dragon,
  11. even though any normal run would already be reset by this point.
  12.  
  13. Example #2: You have a 13.6% chance to win 8+ equips before finishing Nitemare,
  14. however that would be expected to take 137 A-TECs, and Nitemare is only
  15. expected to take 62 A-TECs, thus 8+ equips will happen much less often.
  16.  
  17. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  18.  
  19. Early Jono 1 Farm: (assuming all S POW, forcing Time Wizard)
  20. Dragons/Thunders - 37.2% for 0 / 23.4% for 1 / 14.6% for 2 / 9.3% for 3 / 5.7% for 4 / 9.8% for 5+
  21. Kunai with Chain - 34.0% for 1+
  22.  
  23. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  24.  
  25. Pegasus A-TEC Farm: (assuming you leave at 2MM)
  26. BC - 25.0% for 0 / 25.0% for 1 / 18.8% for 2 / 12.5% for 3 / 18.8% for 4+
  27. WSR - 25.0% for 0 / 25.0% for 1 / 18.8% for 2 / 31.3% for 3+
  28. DT - 41.0% for 0 / 29.5% for 1 / 16.0% for 2 / 13.5% for 3+
  29. MCF - 59.0% for 1+
  30.  
  31. Pegasus A-TEC Farm: (assuming you leave at 3MM)
  32. BC - 12.5% for 0 / 18.8% for 1 / 18.8% for 2 / 15.6% for 3 / 34.4% for 4+
  33. WSR - 12.5% for 0 / 18.8% for 1 / 18.8% for 2 / 50.0% for 3+
  34. DT - 26.2% for 0 / 28.3% for 1 / 20.4% for 2 / 25.1% for 3+
  35. MCF - 73.8% for 1+
  36.  
  37. Kaiba A-TEC Farm:
  38. Equips (BC+DE) - 45.5% for 0 / 24.7% for 1 / 13.6% for 2 / 7.3% for 3 / 8.9% for 4+
  39. BC + DE + SoDD - 34.5% for 0 / 22.6% for 1 / 14.8% for 2 / 9.7% for 3 / 6.3% for 4 / 12.1% for 5+
  40. Crush Card - 66.7% for 0 / 22.2% for 1 / 7.4% for 2 / 3.7% for 3+
  41. Simochi - 51.2% for 1+
  42.  
  43. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  44.  
  45. Jono 2 POW Farm:
  46. MBD - 75% for 0 / 18.7% for 1 / 4.7% for 2 / 1.6% for 3+
  47. Giltia - 14.3% for 1+
  48.  
  49. Meadow POW Farm:
  50. Too many variables dictate whether you will move on or not
  51.  
  52. Heishin Farm: (assuming Exodia Head is not required here and Sanga always is)
  53. Exodia Head - 83.3%
  54. Specific 4 - 83.3% (for example, getting a 3rd SK here before finishing)
  55. Expensive 4s - 55.6% for all 4 / 27.8% for 3 / 11.9% for 2 / 4.0% for 1 / 0.8% for 0
  56.  
  57. Seto 3rd Farm: (assuming all wins are S/A POWs)
  58. Sky Dragon - 76.3%
  59. Sanga - 20.0%
  60.  
  61. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  62.  
  63. Nitemare A-TEC Farm: (assuming you stay on Nitemare for all 3 required cards)
  64. Spellbinding Circle - 45.7% for 0 / 30.9% for 1 / 23.4% for 2+
  65. Malevolent Nuzzler - 45.7% for 0 / 30.9% for 1 / 23.4% for 2+
  66. Nuzz + BP + VC + DT - 10.0% for 0 / 15.7% for 1 / 16.5% for 2 / 12.9% for 3 / 11.2% for 4 /
  67. 8.8% for 5 / 6.6% for 6 / 4.7% for 7 / 13.6% for 8+
  68. Dark-piercing Light - 54.3% for 1+
  69. Mystical Moon - 54.3% for 1+
  70.  
  71. Nitemare A-TEC Farm: (assuming you go to Mai if Cyber Shield last)
  72. Spellbinding Circle - 46.3% for 0 / 30.9% for 1 / 22.8% for 2+
  73. Malevolent Nuzzler - 46.3% for 0 / 30.9% for 1 / 22.8% for 2+
  74. Nuzz + BP + VC + DT - 13.6% for 0 / 15.6% for 1 / 15.6% for 2 / 13.1% for 3 / gave up calculating, see below
  75. Dark-piercing Light - 46.7% for 1+
  76. Mystical Moon - 46.7% for 1+
  77. Follow Wind - 10.3% for 1+
  78. Horn of Light - 10.3% for 1+
  79. Silver Bow - 10.3% for 1+
  80.  
  81. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  82.  
  83. When staying on Nitemare, you have a 66.7% chance for any useful drop to be an equip
  84. The expected number of usable equips you will win during this final part of your farm is 2.00
  85. You are actually more likely to get Nuzzler by staying on Nitemare even though it is more rare
  86.  
  87. On 1/3 of runs, Cyber Shield will be your final card, and Mai gives only a 30.8% chance for an equip
  88. The expected number of usable equips you will win during this final part of your farm is 1.78
  89. Switching to Mai gives you 0.22 less equips per run, but is 1.9 A-TECs faster on average
  90.  
  91. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  92.  
  93. More to be added later?
Advertisement
Add Comment
Please, Sign In to add comment
Public Pastes
We use cookies for various purposes including analytics. By continuing to use Pastebin, you agree to our use of cookies as described in the Cookies Policy.  OK, I Understand
Not a member of Pastebin yet?
Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features!