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- Relevant: https://pastebin.com/QkMmbNxA
- Useful if you get trolled on Gastlies? 70.07% to save any amount of time.
- Can Thrash turn 1 to save an additional ~1s, but run the risk of not getting 4 turn Thrash.
- Time save/loss:
- - 54.92% to save 1.5s.
- - 10.77% to save 6.1s.
- - 4.38% to save 0.6s.
- - 22.31% to lose 4.4s.
- - 7.62% to get trolled = rip (thrash disabled or sleep powder hit).
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- CEALDON
- - Normal Shop
- LAVENDER
- - Get Rare Candy.
- - DON'T TEACH DRILL.
- - Rocket 2: TB + Thrash (or Thrash x3-4)
- > Drowzee: (23/39) (Overall 1-hit Kill%: 65.7051%)
- SILPH
- - Teach Drill, Bike to Silph.
- - Normal.
- SAFARI
- - Normal.
- FUCHSIA GYM
- - Koga: EQ x3, use Elixir #2 -> stall with X Acc if bought 11 -> stall with Bubblebeam.
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- PROS Average Best
- - Skip extra menu (drill teach) -1.0 -1.0
- - Less OHKO Text (Rocket 2) -0.7 -0.4
- - Save turn on Koffing (TB crit) -1.0 -6.0
- - Thrashing about (Drowzee) -0.8 -0.0
- TOTAL -3.5 -7.4
- CONS Average Best
- - Select TB +0.2 +0.2
- - Thrash windup (Koffing) +1.1 +1.1
- - Lose a turn on Drowzee +3.9 +0.0
- TOTAL +5.2 +1.3
- NET +1.7s -6.1s
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- RISK CALCULATION
- Thunderbolt Crit: 0.164
- - Thrash Kill: 0.657 -> 0.1077
- - Thrash not Kill: 0.343
- > Drowzee no troll: 0.778 -> 0.0438
- > Drowzee troll: 0.222 -> 0.0125
- > (Take damage: 0.5 -> 0.0281)
- > (Confusion: 0.25 -> 0.0141)
- Thunderbolt not Crit: 0.836
- - Thrash Kill: 0.657 -> 0.5492
- - Thrash not Kill: 0.343
- > Drowzee no troll: 0.778 -> 0.2231
- > Drowzee troll: 0.222 -> 0.0637
- > (Take damage: 0.5 -> 0.1433)
- > (Confusion: 0.25 -> 0.0717)
- GOOD: 0.1077 + 0.0438 + 0.5492 + 0.2231 = 0.9238
- BAD: 0.0125 + 0.0637 = 0.0762
- SUMMARY:
- - 92.38% to kill within 4 turns and no Drowzee troll.
- - 70.07% to kill within 3 turns and no Drowzee troll.
- - 54.92% to not crit Koffing and get Thrash range.
- - 10.77% to crit Koffing and get Thrash range.
- - 7.62% to miss thrash range and get hit by thrash disable or sleep powder.
- - 17.14% to take damage from Drowzee, 8.58% for Confusion (0.429% to get confused and not hit through).
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