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Purple Energy A Rather Festive Tree

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Mar 1st, 2021
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  1. I'm not particularly comfortable with ranging using a bulky-ish sale to set a high end here on the tree.
  2.  
  3. [b]Current Listings[/b]
  4. https://prnt.sc/10ar53v
  5. Jarool unsold at 46 keys for 24 days
  6.  
  7. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603ce569424976b37b0a9037 - buyout for the dbd ke sale was 48 keys
  8.  
  9. I also would not use the duped sale to range this since there are clean sales, albeit, a bulky sale.
  10.  
  11. Couple more sales:
  12. [b]Item 1[/b]
  13. https://backpack.tf/item/1116541313
  14. [u]Sale 1[/u]
  15. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1608508800/1608595200
  16. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092048287#!/compare/1608422400/1608768000
  17. Sold for 43 keys 45 ref
  18. https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe13ff58999edc953e1af93 - buyout 44 keys 60 ref
  19.  
  20. Taking 44 keys here
  21.  
  22. [u]Sale 2[/u]
  23. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092048287#!/compare/1608768000/1609372800
  24. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000
  25. 0.11 ref matches
  26.  
  27. [u]Sale 3[/u]
  28. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800
  29. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084860572#!/compare/1608940800/1609200000
  30. Only 30 keys match
  31.  
  32. Excluding this one, probably missing stuff
  33.  
  34. [b]Item 2[/b]
  35. https://backpack.tf/item/907974643
  36. [u]Sale 4[/u]
  37. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031341129#!/compare/1606780800/1607040000
  38. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254279766#!/compare/1606953600/1607040000
  39. Sold alongside 2 keys for:
  40. Haunted Ghosts Winter Woodsman
  41.  
  42. Which needs a mini
  43.  
  44. [u]Sale 5[/u]
  45. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254279766#!/compare/1607040000/1607212800
  46. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200
  47. 41 keys
  48.  
  49. [u]Sale 6[/u]
  50. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
  51. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255824681#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
  52. 40 keys
  53.  
  54. [u]Sale 7[/u]
  55. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255824681#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
  56. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107367025#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
  57. Sold for:
  58. Vivid Plasma Modest Pile of Hat
  59. 7 keys
  60.  
  61. Also needs a mini
  62.  
  63. [u]Sale 8[/u]
  64. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107367025#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600
  65. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600
  66. Added 15 keys
  67. for
  68. Stormy Storm Hong Kong Cone
  69.  
  70. Probably use over at the HKC
  71.  
  72. [u]Sale 9[/u]
  73. On and off bot
  74.  
  75. [u]Sale 10[/u]
  76. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600
  77. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888086377#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200
  78. 42 keys 36.55 ref matches
  79. Dumped to buy order
  80.  
  81. Taking 43 keys here
  82.  
  83. [u]Sale 11[/u]
  84. Sold on MP
  85.  
  86. [b]Marketplace sales[/b]
  87. https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/341;5;u10
  88. Dec 12th - $85 / $1.89 = 44.97 keys
  89. Jan 1st - $89.95 / $2.13 = 42.23 keys
  90. Feb 27th - $99.99 / $2.14 = 46.72 keys
  91.  
  92. [u]Sales[/u]
  93. 44, 41, 40, 43, 45, 42, 47
  94.  
  95. [u]Sales in order[/u]
  96. 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 47
  97.  
  98. [b]Trend over the past 2 weeks[/b]
  99. https://gladiator.tf/listings/602b00d7f97b3ebd85e435cf
  100. https://gladiator.tf/listings/602c4be18161ade948d87807
  101. https://gladiator.tf/listings/602d9e8f05a879767cc6c513
  102. https://gladiator.tf/listings/602ed9c2248647fa80e27f10
  103. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60303f5e16f4f7c104d29cc9
  104. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60316897b50618a30bcb3e5c
  105. https://gladiator.tf/listings/6032e0e1196d2e8293d3605c
  106. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60343141eff8abf3d80bc1b7
  107. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603561ef3d593f3e4c2fe28a
  108. https://gladiator.tf/listings/6036e120ea3a98c7c0033f75
  109. https://gladiator.tf/listings/60383617e5bdc821abcb525b
  110. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603980943beabe8b30354e5f
  111. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603aaeb041fd026e67ec06f9
  112. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603bffda63437057e83d0feb
  113. https://gladiator.tf/listings/603d4bc947c900f8c510974e
  114.  
  115. From 42 ish keys up to now 43.5 keys over the past 2 weeks
  116.  
  117. Given this splatter of sales, with the Vivid Modest and the HG Winter Woodsman probably fitting in a range that we could take here.
  118.  
  119. I am inclined to not use the 48 key sale that is rather bulky which you found and probably go with 43 - 47 keys here
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