Yellow Blaine Probability Tree (set up options)

Regarding the set up ramifications of Blaine or Erika first after Mansion. Blaine first sets up on Ninetails, whereas Erika first forces set up on Rapidash.

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NINETALES VS RAPIDASH DETAILS

Overall
- When you use EQ to kill Ninetales the same QA chance exists for both strats.

Ninetales (19.5% crit): Confuse Ray, Quick Attack, Tail Whip (75% acc), Flamethrower (10% burn).
- L42 EQ = 78.57%
- "Is confused" text = ~1.5s

Rapidash (20.3% crit): Take Down (85% acc), Stomp, Growl (75% acc), Fire Spin (70%; can't burn).
- (.25*.85) + (.25) - (.25) + (.25*.7) = 38.75% to take any damage.
- Fire Spin: 2 turns = 37.5%, 3 turns = 37.5%, 4 turns = 12.5%, 5 turns = 12.5%. ~3s per turn.

Arcanine (18.4% crit): Reflect, Take Down (85% acc), Fire Blast (85% acc; 30% burn), Flamethrower (10% burn).
- L42 EQ = 82.85%
- (.25*.85) + (.25*.85) - (.25) + (.25) = 42.5% to take any damage.

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SET UP ON NINETALES

Assume:
- Enter fight at full health.

Tail Whip Hit: 0.1875
	- Arcanine Range Hit: 0.8285 -> win
	- Arcanine Range Miss: 0.1715
Not Tail Whip Hit: 0.8125
	- Quick Attack: 0.25
	- Not Quick Attack: 0.75