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DrySesame

Vicious Circle Highway Star

DrySesame
Dec 28th, 2020
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  1. Vicious Circle Highway Star
  2.  
  3. https://backpack.tf/item/9088271797
  4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080159720#!/compare/1597449600/1603756800
  5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287095989#!/compare/1603843200/1604016000
  6. Untrace
  7.  
  8. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287095989#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800
  9. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823739367#!/compare/1604016000/1604188800
  10. Sold for 14 keys
  11.  
  12. https://backpack.tf/item/8645234438
  13. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000
  14. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600
  15. Untrace
  16.  
  17. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400
  18. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025158544#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400
  19. Untrace. Keys dont trace to either users.
  20.  
  21. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025158544#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600
  22. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200
  23. Untrace
  24.  
  25. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000
  26. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198949471866#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000
  27. Sold for a Vicious Circle Vampire Vanquisher, seller added 3 keys.
  28. Seller listed for 15 keys 28 ref. (https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y8NJK7ZN)
  29. Keys at that time were ~ 60ref, so I am inclined to put this at 15 keys b/o.
  30.  
  31. https://backpack.tf/item/7729175237
  32. Marketplace transfers.
  33.  
  34. https://backpack.tf/item/7381893549
  35. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200
  36. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047293906#!/compare/1598227200/1607644800
  37. Untrace
  38.  
  39. https://backpack.tf/item/7320053908
  40. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116046221#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000
  41. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072122902#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600
  42. Probs scammed
  43.  
  44. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072122902#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000
  45. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1601078400/1601337600
  46. Untrace
  47.  
  48. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217101891#!/compare/1606348800/1606521600
  49. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800
  50. Sold to bot buy orders
  51.  
  52. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400
  53. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325790722#!/compare/1604793600/1606694400
  54. Sold for ~ 17 keys ( taking buy orders for the items )
  55.  
  56. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325790722#!/compare/1606694400/1604793600
  57. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400
  58. Bot buy orders
  59.  
  60. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000
  61. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392934892#!/compare/1608508800/1608768000
  62. Sold for 15 keys 20 ref. ~ [b]15 [/b]
  63.  
  64. https://backpack.tf/item/7287233471
  65. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155735850#!/compare/1607990400/1609113600
  66. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198842625332#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800
  67. Untrace
  68.  
  69. https://backpack.tf/item/7255656519
  70. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269101768#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400
  71. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058685196#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400
  72. Sold for ~ 11 keys
  73.  
  74. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058685196#!/compare/1601769600/1601942400
  75. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334051570#!/compare/1601769600/1601942400
  76. Sold for 16 keys
  77.  
  78. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334051570#!/compare/1602028800/1602288000
  79. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000
  80. Sold to buy orders
  81.  
  82. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
  83. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065313518#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
  84. Untrace
  85.  
  86. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065313518#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600
  87. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880430866#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600
  88. Sold for a Strange Miami Nights Private Eye (Used there)
  89.  
  90. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880430866#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000
  91. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600
  92. Bot buy orders
  93.  
  94. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200
  95. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131322716#!/compare/1602979200/1603238400
  96. Untrace
  97.  
  98. Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31010;5;u118
  99. 1. Sold on 10/25/2020 for $25 / $1.85 = 13.51 keys ~ [b]14[/b]
  100. 2. Sold on 10/29/2020 for $25 / $1.84 = 13.59 keys ~ [b]14[/b]
  101. 3. Sold on 11/3/2020 for $25.99 / $1.82 = 14.28 keys ~ [b]14[/b]
  102. 4. Sold on 11/6/2020 for $33.99 / $1.81 = 18.78 keys ~ [b]19[/b]
  103. 5. Sold on 11/16/2020 for $33.99 / $1.77 = 19.20 keys ~ [b]19[/b]
  104. 6. Sold on 11/23/2020 for $30 / $1.75 = 17.14 keys ~ [b]17[/b]
  105.  
  106. Sales:
  107. 11 x1
  108. 14 x 4
  109. 15 x 1
  110. 16 x 1
  111. 17 x 2
  112. 19 x 2
  113.  
  114. Week old seller at 18. Excluding all sales above. 11 seems like a outlier. Taking 14 - 17.
  115.  
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