TGDG-Research

TGDG

Jul 5th, 2020
9,929
Never
Not a member of Pastebin yet? Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features!
  1. Objective
  2. Goal is to create a pastebin document that outlines the following
  3. 1.) History of the Dam (In regards to potential flaws from the beginning IE Design Flaws)
  4. 2.) Geography of the Damn - What is Upstream, Downstream, Cities populations etc
  5. 3.) History of the Hydrological Cycle since dam completion - Rain patterns, flooding pattern, silt distributions etc.
  6. 4.) Potential Issues as of 2020 (Chemical, Rain Levels, things that are happening now to threaten the dam)
  7. 5.) Damage survey - What are the effects of a total dam collapse? What cities, populations etc are in the way? What Corporations, banks, large global impact business' as well as agricultural land, nuclear reactors etc.
  8. 6.) Timeline of Updates, Things that are time and date based on to be compiled at the end as a sort of timeline of events, this can include photos, tweets, links, news etc
  9. 7.) Proof of CCP not allowing information to get out, use Covid-19/CoronaVirus, and other past examples.
  10.  
  11. Critical Link - Official Chinese water level monitor - http://www.cjh.com.cn/swyb_sssq.html
  12. Critical Link - Diagram of Dams and Hydrological Stations - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594934718806.png
  13. Critical Link - Diagram of Dams and Hydrological Stations 2 - https://is2.4chan.org/pol/1594942970556.png
  14. Critical Link - Charted Water levels (Link Above) https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594037029618.png (Raw data https://pastebin.com/enpBZ4AG)
  15. Critical Link - Charted Flow Data (Link Above) - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594037073521.png (Raw data https://pastebin.com/enpBZ4AG)
  16. Critical Link - Charted June Outflows Data - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594037359749.png (Each color is a day in June)
  17. Critical Link - Rain & Rain Accumulation for TGD - https://www.windy.com/30.824/111.004?rain,29.363,110.750,6,m:ewxajgb
  18. Critical Link - Weather Monitoring - https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/cn/yichang
  19. Critical Link - Historical Rain (Input city of choice) - https://www.worldweatheronline.com/yichang-weather-history/hubei/cn.aspx
  20. Critical Link - AIS Tracking for Boats (Will tell you if ship locks are functional)(https://www.vesselfinder.com) (marinetraffic.com)
  21. Critical Link - Satellite Images of dam - https://eos.com/landviewer/?lat=30.83503&lng=111.02438&z=16&mapLabels=&preset=highResolutionSensors&purchase-scene=9972d45adc92a2a0ff841f77dba8c3cb
  22. Critical Link - Monitor gaming activity for heavily played games in china (DOTA2, PUBG) https://steamcharts.com/
  23. Critical Link - Nuclear Power Plants in China - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594130990194.png - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594132362988.png
  24. Critical Link - Nuclear Power Plants in China #2 - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594134309074.png - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594206131719.png
  25. Critical Link - Nuclear Power Plants in China # 3 - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594209951419.png - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594869234039.png
  26. Critical Link - What is in the Basin (Green is in, Yellow is out/touching) https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594174049538.jpg
  27. Critical Link - Province Map with Basin Overlay - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594174099969.png
  28. Critical Link - Wuhan Hankou Table June 29th-9 July - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594442670284.png
  29. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=ea&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2020071100
  30. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ghcn-daily-description
  31. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  32. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  33. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  34.  
  35.  
  36. COMPILED & SORTED INFORMATION & LINKS
  37. 1.) HISTORY OF THE DAM (IN REGARDS TO POTENTIAL FLAWS FROM THE BEGINNING IE DESIGN FLAWS)
  38. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  39. Unknown Date - Website - Images, Maps, Diagrams & Articles about the TGD Project
  40. https://www.ibiblio.org/chinesehistory/contents/07spe/specrep01.html
  41. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  42. Unknown date - How the TGD Gets rid of Sediment
  43. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594505233364.png
  44. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  45. Unknown Date - Dam Installation & Foundation - Not on Bedrock
  46. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594954676969.png
  47. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  48. Unknown Date - Ebook - What the TGD Builders don't want you to know
  49. http://probeinternational.org/library/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/Damming-the-Three-Gorges-What-the-dam-builders-dont-want-you-to-know.pdf
  50. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  51. Unknown Date - On ground preparation for dam construction
  52. >https://community.dur.ac.uk/~des0www4/cal/dams/foun/founf3.htm
  53. -------------------------------------------------------------------
  54. Unknown Date - Utilization of weathered rock mass as the China Dam Xiao Zhang
  55. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319129786_Utilization_of_weathered_rock_mass_as_the_China_Three_Gorges_Project_Dam_foundation
  56. --------------------------------------------------------------------
  57. Multiple Dates - Hydrology expert and Chinese expat Wang Weiluo has several papers on a variety of problems with the TGD:
  58. >https://journal.probeinternational.org/?s=Wang+Weiluo
  59. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  60. January 1999 - China Seeks Foreign Checks of TGD (See video for information regarding response)(https://youtu.be/n6QyfrS7ARI)
  61. https://www.tampabay.com/archive/1999/01/01/china-seeks-foreign-checks-of-dam-project/
  62. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  63. 2003 - An Investigation Of Resettlement And Human Rights Problems In The Three Gorges Dam Project
  64. >https://www.internationalrivers.org/sites/default/files/attached-files/3gcolor.pdf
  65. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  66. March 31 2003 - Stability assessment of the Three-Gorges Dam foundation, China, using physical and numerical modeling—Part II: numerical modeling
  67. >http://www.simonfoucher.com/McGill/MIME221%20Ethics/notes/3gordesdam2.pdf
  68. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  69. December 2003 - Effects of Concrete Deterioration on Safety of Dams
  70. https://www.usbr.gov/ssle/damsafety/TechDev/DSOTechDev/DSO-03-05.pdf
  71. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  72. November 2004 - The Three Gorges Dam Project from a systems viewpoint
  73. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/227635295_The_Three_Gorges_Dam_Project_from_a_systems_viewpoint
  74. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  75. 2008 - Geographical Overview of the Three Gorges Dam and Reservoir, China—Geologic Hazards and Environmental Impacts
  76. https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2008/1241/pdf/OF08-1241_508.pdf
  77. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  78. January 2011 - 50,000 dams later: Erosion of the Yangtze River and its delta
  79. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818110002018
  80. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  81. 25 December 2011 - Key issues in rock mechanics of the Three Gorges Project in China https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674775515301256
  82. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  83. 2014 - Ecological changes downstream from the dam
  84. >http://dongtinglake.isa.ac.cn/xwdt/kydt/201506/P020150608633378624682.pdf
  85. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  86. September 2016 - Key Technologies of the Hydraulic Structures of the Three Gorges Project
  87. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095809916311687
  88. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  89. 2017 - Foundation isn't totally bedrock, allowed to be up to 17.3% loose rock.
  90. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Utilization-of-weathered-rock-mass-as-the-China-Dam-Xiao-Zhang/fd4c610f39236386ca74a362469a659d69b9d253#related-papers
  91. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  92. June 23rd 2020 - Expert: Three Gorges Dam Could Collapse | NTD (Upon inspection by Western engineers dam found to be unsafe, Chinese response by worker, "This is Racial Discrimination")
  93. https://youtu.be/n6QyfrS7ARI
  94. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  95. June 27 2020 - Analysis of energy dissipation characteristics in granite under high confining pressure cyclic load
  96. >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016820302593
  97. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  98. Chapter 10 – Dam Safety Analysis
  99. https://journal.probeinternational.org/2009/03/19/chapter-10-dam-safety-analysis/
  100. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  101. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  102. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  103.  
  104.  
  105. 2.) GEOGRAPHY OF THE DAMN - WHAT IS UPSTREAM, DOWNSTREAM, CITIES POPULATIONS ETC
  106. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  107. Rock Geology of the Yangtze
  108. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594013800994.jpg
  109. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  110. Dams in descending order by Height (Y)(Highest Elevation to Lowest)(Dam Age in Parenthesis)
  111.  
  112. Wudongde Dam (2020)(Jinsha River - Tributary)(Spillway capacity:N/A Active capacity:N/A)
  113. Baihetan Dam (Projected completion 2021)(Jinsha River - Tributary)(Spillway capacity:N/A Active capacity:N/A)
  114. Xiluodu Dam (2013)(Jinsha River - Tributary)(Spillway capacity: 32,278 m3/s Active capacity: 6,460,000,000 m3)
  115. Xiangjiaba Dam (Jinsha River - Tributary)(Total capacity: 5,163,000,000 m3 Catchment area 458,800 km2)
  116. Shipeng Dam (proposed & canceled for environmental concerns)
  117. Zhuyangxi Dam (proposed & canceled for environmental concerns)
  118. Xiaonanhai Dam (proposed & canceled for environmental concerns) https://www.internationalrivers.org/campaigns/xiaonanhai-dam
  119. Three Gorges Dam (2003)(Yangtze River)(Spillway Capacity 116,000 m3/s Active Capacity:39.3 Billion m3)
  120. Gezhouba Dam (1988)(Yangtze River)(Capacity 1,580,000,000 m3)
  121. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  122. Dam Capacity in M^3
  123. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594013372439.jpg
  124. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  125. Cities on the Yangtze - Organized from upper reaches to lower reaches
  126. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Major_cities_along_the_Yangtze_River
  127. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  128. Locations of Some Dams, Un-named
  129. >https://i.4pcdn.org/pol/1593596045217.png
  130. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  131. KML File of Dams
  132. >https://www.file-upload.com/wycbdyz7f7p7
  133. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  134. Photo of some dams & Elevation
  135. https://i.4pcdn.org/pol/1593460429869.png
  136. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  137. Longitudinal Profile of the Yangtze Upstream
  138. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594013264464.jpg
  139. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  140. Yangtze River Map & Dams (Planned, In Construction, Completed)
  141. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594011721589.jpg
  142. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  143. Sea Level Elevation Maps
  144. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594088447761.png
  145. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  146. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  147. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  148.  
  149.  
  150.  
  151. 3.) HISTORY OF THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE SINCE DAM COMPLETION - RAIN PATTERNS, FLOODING PATTERN, SILT DISTRIBUTIONS ETC.
  152. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  153. Updated Regularly - Link to TGD water level data back to 2011
  154. https://journal.probeinternational.org/reservoir-level-3/
  155. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  156. Updated Regularly - Yichang Rain history (Scroll down)
  157. https://www.worldweatheronline.com/yichang-weather-history/hubei/cn.aspx
  158. -----------------------------------------------------------------
  159. Updated Regularly - Wuhan Rain history
  160. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594015109143.png
  161. ----------------------------------------------------------------------
  162. Unknown Date - Analysis of Jialing Jiang, a major tributary of the Yangtze
  163. >http://133.3.251.168/ihp/riverCatalogue/Vol_04/01_China-12.pdf
  164. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  165. Unknown Date - Modeling flood propagation
  166. >http://www.impact-project.net/AnnexII_DetailedTechnicalReports/AnnexII_PartB_WP3/Modelling_techniques_flood_prop_natural_topographies.pdf
  167. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  168. May 2001 Yangtze River of China: historical analysis of discharge variability and sediment flux
  169. >http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.456.8006&rep=rep1&type=pdf
  170. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  171. 2003 - An Investigation Of Resettlement And Human Rights Problems In The Three Gorges Dam Project
  172. >https://www.internationalrivers.org/sites/default/files/attached-files/3gcolor.pdf
  173. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  174. February 2012 - Flood management selections for the Yangtze River midstream after the Three Gorges Project operation
  175. >http://www.lifangti-sediment.com/content/6-achievement/1-paper/92.pdf
  176. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  177. December 2013 - Downstream Yangtze River levels impacted by Three Gorges Dam
  178. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260940045_Downstream_Yangtze_River_levels_impacted_by_Three_Gorges_Dam
  179. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  180. 2014 - The impact of Three Gorges Dam on the downstream eco-hydrological environment and vegetation distribution of East Dongting Lake
  181. >http://dongtinglake.isa.ac.cn/xwdt/kydt/201506/P020150608633378624682.pdf
  182. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  183. October 2014 - Impact of lake inflow and the Yangtze River flow alterations on water levels in Poyang Lake, China
  184. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266976693_Impact_of_lake_inflow_and_the_Yangtze_River_flow_alterations_on_water_levels_in_Poyang_Lake_China
  185. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  186. March 2015 - Linking Three Gorges Dam and downstream hydrological regimes along the Yangtze River, China
  187. >https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/2014EA000052
  188. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  189. 2016 - Reflections on the Three Gorges Project since Its Operation
  190. https://www.engineering.org.cn/EN/10.1016/J.ENG.2016.04.002
  191. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  192. May 2016 - Landslide stability evaluation using high-resolution satellite SAR data in the Three Gorges area
  193. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/303096531_Landslide_stability_evaluation_using_high-resolution_satellite_SAR_data_in_the_Three_Gorges_area
  194. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  195. December 2016 - Impact of the Three Gorges Dam on the Hydrology and Ecology of the Yangtze River
  196. https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/8/12/590/htm
  197. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  198. March 2018 - Sediment and discharge changes in the Three Gorges Dam region
  199. >http://www.jlakes.org/uploadfile/news_images/hpkx/2018-05-21/1-s2.0-S0022169418302014.pdf
  200. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  201. March 2018 - Modulation of Extreme Flood Levels by Impoundment Significantly Offset by Floodplain Loss Downstream of the TGD
  202. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2017GL076935
  203. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  204. May 2018 - Sediment load change in the Yangtze River(Changjiang)
  205. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/325145751_Sediment_load_change_in_the_Yangtze_RiverChangjiang
  206. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  207. August 2018 - Rate and Distribution of Sedimentation in the Three Gorges Reservoir, Upper Yangtze River
  208. https://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29HY.1943-7900.0001486
  209. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  210. November 2018 - Yangtze dams put endangered sturgeon's future in doubt
  211. https://phys.org/news/2018-11-yangtze-endangered-sturgeon-future.html
  212. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  213. October 2019 - From the headwater to the delta: A synthesis of the basin-scale sediment load regime in the Changjiang River
  214. http://www.sklec.ecnu.edu.cn/sites/default/files/82-%E9%83%AD%E7%A3%8A%E5%9F%8E%E7%8E%8B%E5%AE%AA%E4%B8%9A%E4%BD%95%E9%9D%922019%20ESR_Sediment%20flux.pdf
  215. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  216. November 2019 - Geohazards in the three Gorges Reservoir Area, China – Lessons learned from decades of research
  217. >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0013795219315789
  218. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  219. November 2017 - Will river erosion below the Three Gorges Dam stop in the middle Yangtze?
  220. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169417305930
  221. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  222. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  223. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  224.  
  225.  
  226. 4.) POTENTIAL ISSUES AS OF 2020 (CHEMICAL, RAIN LEVELS, THINGS THAT ARE HAPPENING NOW TO THREATEN THE DAM)
  227. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  228. the pH, since acidic/basic environments can both cause corrosion and remove rust to expose new steel, as well as catalyze certain chemical reactions.
  229.  
  230. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316553419_Dynamics_of_riverine_CO2_in_the_Yangtze_River_fluvial_network_and_their_implications_for_carbon_evasion
  231.  
  232. According to data collected in 2017, the Yangtze has a pH in its upper region ranging from 7.88 to 8.29m and an alkalinity between 217.3 and 290.5 mg/L, making it as basic as sea water and more resistant to change in pH than rivers typically are by about 100mg/L, close to double. This is indicative of high levels of additives in the water, not necessarily pollution but likely to be so. This is also indicative of a serious problem for water management around the dam site.
  233.  
  234. Because of the high alkalinity of the water, it’s difficult to treat the water to make it safer for the dam and the people downstream. The amount of added particulate and dissolved chemicals, and the sheer volume, mean that any attempts to rein this in manually would be fruitless. The dam is stuck with being gently base-washed until the people upriver change their habits, and just like a strong acid, a strong base can cause cement to weaken.
  235.  
  236. Let’s talk about chlorine next, since the dam is anchored using rebar, and steel is used throughout its concrete construction.
  237.  
  238. https://www.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1373617/FULLTEXT01.pdf
  239.  
  240. In a paper put out in 2019 a team of Chinese and Swedish researchers compiled their findings from a five year time period. One of their key findings was that chlorinated paraffins were abundant throughout the Three Gorges basin. Chlorinated paraffins are used for things like lubrication of machine parts, coolants, and fire-retardant applications. They don’t occur naturally, because they require a specific chemical process to produce requiring 80-100ºC paraffin and chlorine gas.
  241.  
  242. https://pubs.acs.org/doi/full/10.1021/acs.est.9b01215
  243.  
  244. These compounds can be broken down by certain plants, such as pumpkin and onions seedlings, releasing the chlorine or modifying the structure of the compounds. Normally these chemicals are someone durable, resistant to heat and decomposition, but enzyme action can break them down and make the chlorine available in the water once again. Additionally, they are photoreactive, with a half-life of 1.2-1.8 days depending on level of sun exposure. Unfortunately, due to its hydrophobic nature and inability to be absorbed by many organic solvents, the best way to determine chlorinated paraffin concentrations is to look at its build up in wildlife, where in the Yangtze basin it rapidly reaches toxic levels, or soil samples, which give only a partial picture of the pollution level as it degrades.
  245.  
  246. Based on the above we can make some inferences that there are relatively high concentrations of chlorine in the water as compared to your typical river thanks to these CPs, but we also need to note that chlorine is a common additive in drinking water, and that the sewage from cities around the Yangtze is often treated and then pumped into the river. Dechlorinating water before releasing into the environment is expensive, and so it is often neglected.
  247.  
  248. https://www.cement.org/docs/default-source/fc_concrete_technology/durability/is536-types-and-causes-of-concrete-deterioration.pdf?sfvrsn=4
  249.  
  250. From a breakdown of chemicals that attack concrete, and how they attack it, we know that chlorine has a nasty habit of soaking into the cement and getting at the steel. It tends not to directly attack the concrete itself, but interacts with iron in steel to accelerate the rate of corrosion and rusting. It doesn’t play a role in the rusting once it starts, so in effect, the chlorine might be considered a catalyst to jumpstart the process of wearing away at steel.
  251.  
  252. High base environments (12-13), such as those found in concrete, protect steel by creating an oxide layer that functions as a barrier against further rusting, requiring an abundance of chlorine to make a dent. Water soaking into the concrete pores can carry dissolved CO2, which reacts with the hydroxides in the cement, such as calcium hydroxide, to form carbonates. These reduce pH and help promote rusting. Carbonation of concrete also lowers the amount of chloride ions needed to promote corrosion. All this in conjunction with the river’s high alkalinity helping pull the concrete back down towards neutral and enable corrosion.
  253.  
  254. Next, nitrates.
  255.  
  256. Using the same document on concrete degradation, we can see that the most damaging type of nitrate exposure is ammonium nitrate, commonly found in fertilizers. These fertilizers are common throughout the basin, with multiple studies showing their increased use over time. See: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10708887/
  257.  
  258. Nitrates are also found in waste, including animal and human waste. Even with proper disposal practices, the repeated flooding and draining of contaminated land into the river means that these nitrates will, invariably, end up in the water.
  259.  
  260. https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/148669083.pdf
  261.  
  262. In a study of the attack rate of ammonium nitrate they found that an average attack rate of 1.8mm per day is relatively consistent across multiple types of concrete mix for high concentration solutions. The study looked at a solution which would attack the concrete at a rate 150 times faster than deionised water, meaning that it would be approximately 4.38mm a year for deionised water, with other additives accelerating the process. Current ammonium nitrate levels could not be conclusively sourced, so the actual mm per year number isn’t yet available.
  263.  
  264. Nitrates attack concrete by decalcification of the cement, the same calcium compounds that dissolved CO2 wants to convert into carbonates in the presence of water. Ammonium nitrate is, additionally, a salt and therefore typically neutral, but when dissolved in solution it forms a weak acid due to being formed from a weak base and a strong acid.
  265.  
  266. Lastly, and I can’t believe I missed this last time, sulphates.
  267.  
  268. Sulphates are, unsurprisingly, sulfur compounds of various types. They occur naturally in the environment, and are well-documented enemies of cement and concrete. They also occur in low-grade
  269.  
  270. https://www.hindawi.com/journals/jchem/2017/8698759/
  271.  
  272. The Lijiaxia Dam was completed in 1997, and was in many ways a sister dam to the Three Gorges, located on the scenic Yellow River. Samples were taken in 2017, after 20 years of operation, to evaluate the degree of concrete degradation due solely to sulphate. They used a Loss On Ignition test to see what percentage of the cement had been replaced by volatile compounds that could be burned off or that might dissolve away. The average was 11% of the total mass, and in areas of intense degradation the levels were closer to 20%. This means a peak degradation rate of 1% per year from sulphate exposure.
  273.  
  274. https://civilengineering.blog/2017/10/05/testing-portland-cement/#Loss_on_ignition
  275.  
  276. “Loss on ignition should not be more than 4%.”. I really don’t know what else needs to be said here. A loss of 4% during a LOI test indicates excess hydration and the presence of undesired chemicals, though several other sites use 5% as their benchmark and some give 3%. I’m sure a civil engineer in this thread can fact-check the acceptable LOI for concrete over time.
  277. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  278. Hydrology expert and Chinese expat Wang Weiluo on everything wrong with the TGD:
  279. >https://journal.probeinternational.org/?s=Wang+Weiluo
  280. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  281. TGD flood control capacity: 9% of a 100-year flood (first result):
  282. >https://journal.probeinternational.org/?s=capacity
  283. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  284. >In China, most small reservoirs were built in the 1960s and ’70s and did not follow high construction standards, said Brandon Meng, a hydraulic engineer in the southern city of Shenzhen.
  285.  
  286. >“Once there is extreme weather,” he said, “it’s very easy for them to be in danger.”
  287. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/03/world/asia/china-floods-rain.html
  288. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  289. Rain and More Rain
  290. With a reservoir capacity of 39.3 km^3, and a collection area of 1,000,000 km^2, an average of 3.93 cm of rain over the basin is enough to fill the entire reservoir.
  291.  
  292. The average expected rain for the entire area is roughly 6 inches over 10 days, or 15 cm from windy. That's meant to be a conservative estimate. That's 3.84 times the amount of water in the reservoir, or 151.2 km^3 of water, or 151,200,000,000 m^3 of water. Let’s be very conservative and say only 50% of that winds up in the basin.
  293.  
  294. There are 864,000 seconds in 10 days. That means the dam will have to flow 87,500 m^3 of water per second to drain all of the new water, and will have to do it every second for 10 whole days.
  295.  
  296. Right now, they are having problems flowing 50,000 m^3 of water/second.
  297.  
  298. The maximum rated flow is 110,000 m^3/sec
  299.  
  300. Wuhan and Shanghai are both predicted to receive 19 inches of rain over the next 10 days, meaning they will have flooding even if nothing flows from 3GD.
  301.  
  302. https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulation-rainAccu?rainAccu,29.631,107.391,7,m:evnai1W
  303.  
  304. tl;dr Right now windy.com is predicting 3-4x the max capacity of the reservoir to arrive over the next 10 days.
  305.  
  306. At 50,000 m^3/s they are draining 1 full reservoir every 9 days and already flooding downstream.
  307. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  308. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  309. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  310.  
  311.  
  312. 5.)DAMAGE ASSESSMENT
  313. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  314. July 7th 2020 - [3 Gorges Dam] Simulation done by Secretly
  315. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AfmWmSdNmMc
  316. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  317. Flood Risk Assessment - If the Three Gorges Dam were to Collapse
  318. >https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594010057028.jpg
  319. >https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/hhwg65/flood_risk_assessment_if_the_three_gorges_dam/
  320. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  321. What Happens if the 3 Gorges Dam Breaks at 181 Meters
  322. >https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594010354621.jpg
  323. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  324. Effects of 3 Gorges Dam Collapsing - Response from Virgil He, Masters in Electrical Engineering, 江南大学(Jiangnan University ,China
  325. >https://www.quora.com/What-would-the-effects-be-if-the-Three-Gorges-Dam-were-to-collapse
  326.  
  327. If the Three Gorges Dam is completely collapsed, more than 10 billion cubic meters of reservoir water will be released in a short time, and the coast between the dam site and Shashi City will be directly impacted by flood waves, resulting in serious disaster losses. The Gezhouba Dam water conservancy project will be severely damaged, and Yichang is flooded in the area below the railway line, and the embankment of Zhicheng, the upper and lower Dizhou and the Jing Jiang flood areas will be flooded by the embankment of the West Bank of the West. The maximum flow rate of the dam break peak will reach 100 - 2 million 370 thousand cubic meters per second. The flood peak will reach the Gezhouba Dam water control hub at 100 km per hour. The flood peak will still reach 310 thousand cubic meters per second, the flood damages the Gezhouba Dam dam and enters the city of Yichang. The flow rate in the Yichang city is still still. With 65 kilometers per hour and 4 to 5 hours after dam break, the water level of Yichang will reach 64 to 71 meters above sea level.
  328. In 1998, the maximum flow of flood in the Yangtze River was 60 thousand cubic meters per second, and the flood peak presented here was 37 times that of its flood peak, and the speed of the flood peak was 100 kilometers per hour, the same as those on the freeway. Such a large volume of traffic, at such a high speed, is far more destructive than a few bombs that destroyed the Three Gorges dam. That is, the Gezhouba Dam water control project must be washed away under such a flow and speed. The average elevation of Yichang is less than 50 meters above sea level. When the flood level reaches 64-71 meters above sea level, Yichang city is 20 meters below water. Residents of Yichang had little chance to escape after the Three Gorges Dam burst because the flood peak reached Yichang half an hour after the dam burst. Only one city in Yichang will lose 500 thousand of its staff.
  329. The external condition of dam break simulation is not selected at the most unfavorable moment, nor is it selected at a relatively unfavorable moment, but is deliberately selected under favorable conditions. The total reservoir capacity of the Three Gorges Reservoir is 39.3 billion cubic meters. When there are signs of war, the reservoir will discharge water for seven days to the safe water level. There is only 10 billion cubic meters of water in the reservoir. The natural flow rate of dam break is 60 thousand cubic meters per second, and the maximum discharge volume of dam break flood peak will reach 2 million 370 thousand cubic meters per second. The largest flood flow in the Yangtze River is 110 thousand cubic meters per second (1870), which is third in the world. The maximum flood flow of the former Soviet Lena river is 18. 90 thousand cubic meters per second (1967). The maximum flood flow of the Brazil AMA river is 370 thousand cubic meters (1953), and the flow of the Three Gorges dam break is 2. 370 thousand cubic meters per second is not an order of magnitude. The simulation model has not yet told people what is the concept of the 39 billion 300 million cubic meters of water in the Three Gorges reservoir when the water is filled and the natural water flow is 60 thousand cubic meters per second. What kind of catastrophe will the Yellow River suffer in a very short period of time?
  330. Not only Yichang can not hold, Shashi can not hold, Jianghan plain can not hold, Wuhan can not hold, Beijing and Guangzhou, the Beijing Kowloon Railway also can not hold, the scope of the flood has been to Nanjing. In 1986, the Sichuan provincial CPPCC investigation group pointed out in the report that "once the war broke out, the Three Gorges dam must be the primary goal. If the dam was destroyed, the big cities in the middle and lower reaches of the dam were displaced, the consequences would be unimaginable."
  331. To put it simply, it is an unstoppable destruction of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River than the flood of tens of times of the flood of 98 years. Hong Feng arrives in Wuhan in 10 hours and in 1 days to Nanjing. Tens of tens of tens of meters of flood washed across building buildings, it is hard to imagine that people can escape from the sky. I'm afraid it's hard to count how many people are drowning.
  332. The Yangtze River Valley is the center of China's elite gravity, with 38% water, 25% arable land, 40% grain, 33% cotton, 66% freshwater fish, and 350 million people. Do you understand this effect?
  333. From a military point of view, the downstream area of the Three Gorges dam is China's strategic power. According to the study of Yang Lang, a military commentator, the Three Gorges project is in a very critical and very sensitive position in the whole of China's national defense. Once the dam breaks, both space and time will have a significant radiation impact on the whole national defense, and the effect of the disaster field is serious.
  334. In the lower reaches of the Three Gorges Dam, the Central Plains of the Three Gorges have always been the battleground of the army, and now it is the main military place for China. There are forty-five percent of the Chinese group army, twenty percent of the armoured division, Thirty-eight percent of the infantry division, and one hundred percent of the airborne division. It is the strategic reserve force of China and the strategic mobile force of China. The elite is where it is. The strategic maneuvering force and reserve force were very passive by the huge dam failure of the Three Gorges dam. If the strategic mobile force is consumed by dam break floods, the result is very serious.
  335.  
  336. >A Turbo-Autist research update:
  337. >Still no word from my friend's brother the civil engineer. Apparently he took one look at my compiled data and said "I need to make some phone calls" and we haven't heard back since then.
  338. >I have confirmed from various sources that the spillway pipes are lined with steel but not the grade or thickness of it. We know that there's internal erosion of the joining cement from reports, so it must have worn thin in some areas, but that doesn't tell us much except that the steel lining wasn't cast as a single solid object and that there are uneven surfaces inside the pipe.
  339. >The water jet cutting companies I spoke with today weren't willing to give me a crash course on physics, but they did share with me a few of their calculations about cutting speed, wear and tear on parts exposed to high pressure flowing water with abrasive compounds, and other bits and pieces. Turns out? A lot of linear relationships between various factors, which makes things super easy.
  340. >Still trying to find out how much the spillways get used year over year, whether they're used while the dam is around 175m or only during the flood season. The weight of the water increases the pressure, which increases the damage done by debris, but the power stations are, theoretically at least, designed to take the pressure. The spillways? Still figuring that one out.
  341. >Lastly, I've been looking at the weather patterns and earthquake data to make some preliminary efforts into understanding them.
  342.  
  343. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  344. It's 3.9Trillion KG's of water or more if the dam's above fail. There is so much water stored it has literally slowed down the Earth's rotation (The earth is giant, even how little it slowed, it is impressive)
  345. https://www.kinetica.co.uk/2014/03/27/chinese-dam-slows-down-earths-rotation/
  346. This dam breaking could kill upwards of 400 Million in primary and secondary effects. If there is a full dam failure it would wipe shanghai into the ocean. Not to mention all the nuclear reactors in the way. Wuhan would cease to exist (Water level currently about 26 M) This would be the biggest man-made ecological disaster ever.
  347. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  348. From the Amigo in Mexico
  349. Summary if the dam collapses
  350. >Yichang would be destroyed in less than one hour.
  351. >Wuhan would be destroyed in 10 hours.
  352. >The tsunami would reach Shanghai in 18-24 hours.
  353. >At least 100-150k instant deaths
  354. >Three nuclear plants destroyed, it would be Fukushima up to Eleven x3
  355. >All the nuclear and industrial waste would end up in the SEA
  356. >Mass extinction event in the SEA. All the neighbor countries fishing economy would be devastated (South Korea, Japan, Laos, Vietnam, etc)
  357. >Total world economy and supply chain collapse
  358. >China loses half of its GDP and military
  359. >The Yangtze Basin would be a wasteland swamp, agriculture almost impossible with all the industrial and nuclear waste.
  360. >Balkanization of China
  361. >Hundreds of millions of deaths due to disease, starvation and civil war
  362. >Refugee crisis that would make the current one like child's play.
  363.  
  364. 30% Of china's GDP Produced downstream of the TGD (Timestamp 6:50)
  365. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BL6S7bcViMw
  366. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  367. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  368. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  369.  
  370.  
  371. 6.) TIMELINE OF UPDATES, THINGS THAT ARE TIME AND DATE BASED ON TO BE COMPILED AT THE END AS A SORT OF TIMELINE OF EVENTS, THIS CAN INCLUDE PHOTOS, TWEETS, LINKS, NEWS ETC
  372. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  373. Updated list of the towns and cities in the basin area, with links,
  374. Green - No confirmed damage in the area. If safe, then likely higher ground, away from the rivers, or else just lucky.
  375. Yellow - Something happened, like heavy rain or a nearby earthquake, but no serious damage.
  376. Orange - Damage has occurred, water in the streets, minor landslides, but the area is mostly ok
  377. Red - Serious damage has taken place, people are being evacuated, homes are being destroyed
  378. https://mega.nz/file/G1pVzbqZ#dP9C26T8yNKx2t06Kv09aseHXPpvidVB0AgNbNsRaDE
  379. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  380. Unknown Date - WUHAN Upgrade Storm Rain Red Warning:
  381. https://www.weibo.com/tv/v/J8sCsBI72 (Is making me login, If anyone has a download please let me know)
  382. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  383. June 4 2020 1/4 China Flood Dam Pressure Intensifies | three gorges dam | collapse | millions people affected
  384. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8jdaEtFN-mg&feature=youtu.be
  385. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  386. June 15th 2020 - Bomb over the head of millions of people? Li Keqiang signs the Three Gorges Dam Protection Order (Translation)
  387. https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2020/06/15/a102871242.html
  388. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  389. June 23rd 2020 DEPUTY WATER MINISTER YE JIANCHUN HAS TALKED TO XINHUA FINANCIAL ABOUT THE SITUATION [BLACK SWAN EVENT]:
  390. >https://twitter.com/XinhuaFinancial/status/1275522290319491077
  391. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  392. June 24 2020 Residential areas changed into rivers, cars washed away by the currents:
  393. >https://twitter.com/caijinglengyan/status/1275806845873995776
  394. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  395. June 24th 2020 - More flooding videos:
  396. >https://youtu.be/E4psLgFzlt0
  397. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  398. June 25th 2020 - Floods force evacuation of millions, cause 24.1b yuan loss:
  399. >https://hk.appledaily.com/us/20200625/IYTJFWGDSKVGLCHPNW4ES7GKQU/
  400. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  401. June 26th 2020 - Chongqing (upstream) bans posting flood videos:
  402. >https://twitter.com/skywalker_2k/status/1276646039685120002
  403. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  404. June 26th 2020 - Water Levels rise in Yichang as Gezhouba sluice opens
  405. >https://i.4pcdn.org/pol/1593236752645.png
  406. >https://m.chinanews.com/wap/detail/pic/138936.shtml
  407. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  408. June 28th 2020 - Yichang (20km downstream) heavily flooded; 2x secret release of water from TGD acknowledged
  409. >https://twitter.com/jenniferatntd/status/1277314128210726913
  410. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  411. June 29th 2020 - Gallery: Chongqing Underwater
  412. https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-06-29/gallery-chongqing-underwater-101573225.html
  413. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  414. July 3rd 2020 - Official Chinese stance
  415. >https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKU9G6t7cPw [Embed]
  416. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  417. July 5th 2020 - Electrocution and Electrical Malfunctions During Flooding
  418. https://twitter.com/ExpelChina/status/1279967281913556993
  419. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  420. July 5th 2020 Chongqing Bridges Washed Away
  421. https://twitter.com/TuCaoFakeNews/status/1279780871348748289
  422. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  423. July 5th 2020 - Live from Wuhan
  424. >https://live.media.weibo.com/show?id=1042152:5182fd2bb3ed290d424f768f1b706a37
  425. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  426. July 5th 2020 - China imposes checks on large transactions after bank runs
  427. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-06/china-imposes-checks-on-large-transactions-after-bank-runs
  428. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  429. July 6th 2020 - Chinese regions raise flood response levels
  430. http://www.ecns.cn/news/society/2020-07-06/detail-ifzxwann9879686.shtml
  431. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  432. July 6th 2020 - Three Gorges Dam shows original form China still has 80,000 "time bombs" (Translation from Mandarin)
  433. https://www.ntdtv.com/gb/2020/07/06/a102886825.html
  434. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  435. July 6th 2020 - Wuhan Flooding
  436. https://twitter.com/ttingxiao/status/1280066515698544640
  437. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  438. July 6th 2020 - Hail in Baodei
  439. https://twitter.com/513Felicity/status/1280022771565617153
  440. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  441. July 6th 2020 - Wuhan Flooding
  442. https://twitter.com/TuCaoFakeNews/status/1280053834933399552
  443. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  444. July 6th 2020 - Shanghai Flooding
  445. https://twitter.com/mywayne0511/status/1280111540385968128
  446. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  447. July 6th 2020 - Wuhan Flood Update
  448. https://www.goldnewspaper.com/wuhan-raises-flood-alert-level-as-rains-batter-china/
  449. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  450. July 6th 2020 - Emergency Levels raised in 3 cities along the Yangtze
  451. https://twitter.com/dajiyuan/status/1280066458706423808
  452. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  453. July 6th 2020 - Shanghai Flooding
  454. https://twitter.com/zixinho17/status/1280341169994530817
  455. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  456. July 6th 2020 - Wuhan Flooding
  457. https://twitter.com/ttingxiao/status/1280066515698544640
  458. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  459. July 6th 2020 - Dam breaks floods and destroys roads
  460. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0N_bq0yhUaA
  461. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  462. July 7th 2020 - Flooding Gallery
  463. https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-07-07/gallery-testing-perseverance-101576637.html
  464. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  465. July 7th 2020 - The 7th day of the Three Gorges Dam flood discharge at full outflow
  466. https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1280506109070061572?s=20
  467. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  468. July 7th 2020 - "Three Gorges Dam flood discharge Wuhan local rainstorm Yangtze River floods..."
  469. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HSe31k83EGg
  470. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  471. July 7th 2020 - "The water level of the Yangtze River in Wuhan rises, and the river beach sees a very dangerous scene."
  472. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KVW782XgaGM
  473. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  474. July 7th 2020 - "Chongqing’s biggest rainstorm this year, the river has skyrocketed"
  475. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7qH4ZggGoQ
  476. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  477. July 7th 2020 - Floods Destroy Ming Dynasty Bridge; CCP Officials Told to Prepare for Global Crisis | Crossroads |
  478. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H4GRMgoSBbk
  479. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  480. July 7th 2020 - Kompsat 3 Satellite Image
  481. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594219234043.png
  482. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  483. July 8th 2020 - The rainstorm hit Nanchang at night, the road accumulated water into a river
  484. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pE49BWoVf20&feature=emb_title
  485. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  486. July 8th 2020 - Landslides
  487. https://twitter.com/haha5134/status/1280829939709853696
  488. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  489. July 8th 2020 - Yangtze Flooding (Unknown Location)
  490. https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1280837062011187200?s=20
  491. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  492. July 8th 2020 - An explosion occurred in Nanfeng Fireworks Factory, Guanghan City, Deyang City, Sichuan Province.
  493. https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1280895639136559104 - https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1280898353815937024?s=20
  494. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  495. July 8th 2020 - water level of the Yangtze River has submerged the parking platform at the highest point of Wuhan
  496. https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1280883736821633026
  497. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  498. July 11th 2020 - Poyang Lake barriers breaking
  499. https://twitter.com/blue500000/status/1282162240834002944
  500. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  501. July 12th 2020 - Flooding, Guizhou Province, China
  502. https://mobile.twitter.com/litepimp/status/1282255644523806720
  503. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  504. July 12th 2020 - Hankou River Beach, Wuhan
  505. https://mobile.twitter.com/egoho1ic/status/1282216745185361923
  506. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  507. July 19th 2020 - Nanjing Jiangxinzhou Flooding
  508. https://twitter.com/meimei1935/status/1285056810056134663?s=20
  509. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  510.  
  511. >https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1284087023188365314
  512. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  513.  
  514. >https://mobile.twitter.com/naochashu/status/1284116454242004992
  515. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  516.  
  517. >https://mobile.twitter.com/MgOqkzLBRPLCHyN/status/1284102283798573058
  518. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  519.  
  520. >http://www.xinhuanet.com/local/2020-07/17/c_1126252959.htm
  521. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  522.  
  523. >https://twitter.com/Fei_Nigh/status/1284070397512564736
  524. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  525.  
  526. >https://twitter.com/MgOqkzLBRPLCHyN/status/1284088350387798018
  527. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  528.  
  529. >https://twitter.com/naochashu/status/1284168878541561856
  530. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  531.  
  532. >https://twitter.com/qingshanlan/status/1284181439525859336
  533. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  534.  
  535. >https://twitter.com/Safeguard008/status/1284192741237260288
  536. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  537.  
  538. https://twitter.com/UndergroundSilk/status/1284317793916157953?s=20
  539. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  540. Twitter Accounts to follow
  541. https://twitter.com/naochashu
  542. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  543. "The floods in Poyang flooded large tracts of farmland and houses."
  544. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9go1dcsO_E [Embed]
  545. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  546. "In Qichun, hundreds of acres of crops were washed away by floods"
  547. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=61ieE-UXXoM [Embed]
  548. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  549. "The epic flood in Jingdezhen is too harmful"
  550. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHcCw_fXVXo [Embed]
  551. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  552. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  553. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  554.  
  555.  
  556.  
  557.  
  558. 7.) PROOF OF CCP NOT ALLOWING INFORMATION TO GET OUT, USE COVID-19/CORONAVIRUS, AND OTHER PAST EXAMPLES.
  559. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  560. TGD Renewable Energy Group planning a 3.5 Billion (USD) IPO in 2020
  561. >https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/three-gorges-dam-mulls-ipo-in-china-to-raise-as-much-as-35b-2133163
  562. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  563. Cyberspace Administration of China on Internet Activity
  564. https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594017979862.jpg
  565. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  566. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  567. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  568.  
  569. Compiled but not sorted information
  570.  
  571. Why Now?
  572. Well, the Flooding season is typically from Mid July to Late August, However, they have been inundated with rain both below and above the Dam itself, creating flooding among the Yangtze and the nearby cities. This challenges the ability of the Dam to efficiently regulate outflow, as it could flood downriver regions very heavily. We are already seeing this. The amount of rain they are receiving can be seen on Windy.Com and is far above any amount ever seen since the dam was completed.
  573.  
  574. This website shows the rising water levels of a variety of dams along the Yangtze and its tributaries (Water flows into the Yangtze from here.) Updated every hour we can see many dams and cities are gaining more and more water with China's local Governments putting out politically correct warnings. A precursory search on Weibo shows that there are next to no posts mentioning the word "flooding" in Mandarin. This is likely due to the CCP wanting to keep a tight lid on things. This is expected behavior as they did the same with Covid-19 However this year there is an added pressure, An IPO from China’s Three Gorges Renewables Group is scheduled to be done this year.
  575.  
  576. Additional Links
  577. https://twitter.com/mywayne0511/status/1281559930273533952
  578.  
  579. July 9th 2020 - Zhongzhouwei, Landkreis Poyang, Jiangxi Flood 4m over Warning Level
  580. https://twitter.com/dajiyuan/status/1281553758435123201
  581. https://twitter.com/wuwenhang/status/1281386817816653824
  582. https://twitter.com/ttingxiao/status/1281397192746360832
  583. https://twitter.com/MgOqkzLBRPLCHyN/status/1281502668037386241
  584.  
  585. https://twitter.com/mywayne0511/status/1281580849733877761
  586.  
  587.  
  588.  
  589.  
  590.  
  591. https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Currencies/China-watches-big-cash-transactions-to-stem-capital-flight
  592.  
  593. https://www.fbi.gov/news/speeches/the-threat-posed-by-the-chinese-government-and-the-chinese-communist-party-to-the-economic-and-national-security-of-the-united-states
  594.  
  595. "For the first time in history! The spillway of Xin'anjiang Hydropower Station is fully op"
  596. https://streamable.com/tbporv
  597.  
  598. https://www.wionews.com/world/is-china-deliberately-flooding-wuhan-to-flush-out-evidence-311451
  599.  
  600. Massive tunnel system under China:
  601. >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Underground_Great_Wall_of_China
  602.  
  603. The "singing hills" phenomenom:
  604. >https://mobile.twitter.com/mywayne0511/status/1278244964837670912
  605. >https://twitter.com/UndergroundSilk/status/1279115703468122113
  606.  
  607. Wuhan Water level Image - https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1594226422948.jpg
  608.  
  609. Water Level Warnings For Hankou (汉口)
  610. Warning 1 is 25m
  611. Warning 2 is 27.3
  612. Warning 3 is 29
  613.  
  614. NAMES TO KNOW
  615. Chongqing: Large metro area upstream from the dam, population 8 million.
  616. Yichang: Metro area that contains the Three Gorges Dam, population 4 million. Its urban core, population 1.3 million, is 20km downstream from the dam.
  617. Wuhan: Largest metro area in Hubei province, downstream from the dam, population 11 million.
  618. Hubei: Province of China that contains the dam, Yichang, Chongqing, and Wuhan.
  619. Yangtze River: River upon which the dam is built. Runs through Chongqing, Yichang, and Wuhan. Eventually meets the East China Sea in Shanghai.
  620.  
  621. GOOD SOURCES TO FOLLOW
  622. https://twitter.com/ChinaInFocusNTD
  623. https://twitter.com/jenniferatntd
  624. https://twitter.com/UndergroundSilk
  625. https://twitter.com/MgOqkzLBRPLCHyN
  626. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPws7pvuU0AnHrICnPot9rQ/videos
  627.  
  628. CHINESE VIDEO SITES
  629. https://www.bilibili.com/
  630. https://www.ixigua.com/
  631.  
  632. CHINESE SEARCH TERMS
  633. Three Gorges Dam: 三峡大坝
  634. Yichang: 宜昌
  635. Chongqing: 重庆
  636. Wuhan: 武汉
  637. Hubei: 湖北
  638. Rain: 雨
  639. Flood: 洪水
  640. Water level: 水位
  641.  
  642. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  643. https://www.bannedbook.org/bnews/topimagenews/20200709/1358165.html
  644.  
  645. >He said that the upstream of Chongqing to the Three Gorges Dam, the distance between the two places is more than 600 kilometers, the height difference between the two places is greater during the flood season. When the Three Gorges Reservoir impounded to 135 meters, the water level drop from the dam to the tail of the reservoir reached as much as 34.7 meters, far exceeding the 0.4 meters considered in the engineering demonstration report.
  646.  
  647. >The article pointed out that according to the estimation of the German expert Wang Weiluo, the water level in front of the dam of the Three Gorges Dam reached 175 meters in flood season, and the water level in Chongqing could reach 217 meters. The elevation of the railway tracks of the Chongqing Railway Station is 196 meters above sea level. At that time, all the railway lines in Chongqing will be flooded, and part of the urban area of Chongqing will be flooded. In other words, when the water level in front of the dam of the Three Gorges Dam reached 175 meters, it played a role in flood control downstream. However, some residents of the reservoir area were washed away long ago, and Chongqing has long been flooded.
  648.  
  649. Why are they fighting so hard to keep the water level around 150? Seems to be because of the flooding in Chongqing. The higher the water level at the dam, the more the area around Chongqing will flood. The dam is literally just deciding between flooding upstream by creating a bottleneck or flooding downstream by dumping the floodwaters from Chongqing onto Yicheng and Wuhan. If the rains die down then they can raise the water level, but until they do they have to be very cautious about holding back too much water.
  650.  
  651. It's a delicious lose-lose scenario for them that, to have to juggle maintaining the dam, draining upstream, and not flooding downstream.
  652. During the flood season, because of the water flow and distance, Chongqing typically sees a ~35m height difference from the dam.
  653.  
  654. During the dry season the height difference is much lesser, partly because there's so little flow so things can kind of just...settle. That means that when the dam is at 175, Chongqing is probably closer to 180-190 during the dry season, close to but not quite at risk of water on the tracks.
  655.  
  656. What's interesting is how minimal the difference supposedly is between the two sites. Either the water flow restriction at the dam is causing the water levels at the dam to rise relatively rapidly, which might cause a problem, or water levels are being misreported/unclear.
  657.  
  658. Cuntan and Wulong, the closest stations to the city, are reporting 166m and 177m. Cuntan is a bit of a distance from the city itself, while Wulong seems to be on one of the tributaries that feeds into the Yangtze downstream of the Cuntan station. Since Cuntan is downriver, Chongqing is likely higher up than it, and so the flood height is likewise probably higher. If the 35 number holds true then Chongqing would be at 185m, but we know Chongqing is severely flooded, so I would hazard a guess and say somewhere around at least 190m, maybe 195m?
  659. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RAW Paste Data