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DrySesame

Showstopper Taunt: Battin' a Thousand

DrySesame
Aug 13th, 2020 (edited)
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  1. [b]Thanks Xergoyf[/b]
  2. [b]Showstopper Taunt: Battin' a Thousand[/b]
  3.  
  4. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/8513716966[/b]
  5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000
  6. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118802562#!/compare/1590105600/1590451200
  7. Near ID traced 2 keys 37 ref ~ [b]2.65 keys[/b]
  8.  
  9. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/8465068239[/b]
  10. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146484428#!/compare/1590192000/1591747200
  11. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051798340#!/compare/1591660800/1592956800
  12. Untrace
  13.  
  14. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051798340#!/compare/1596758400/1597190400
  15. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1596758400/1597190400
  16. Untrace and probably bulk
  17.  
  18. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/8290634791[/b]
  19. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1590451200/1590796800
  20. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600
  21. Untrace
  22.  
  23. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
  24. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210225228#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
  25. Untrace
  26.  
  27. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/7844515196[/b]
  28. Marketplace sale
  29.  
  30. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/6566585193[/b]
  31. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161265532#!/compare/1590624000/1590969600
  32. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446331423#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
  33. Sold for a bunch of cosmetics and weapons
  34.  
  35. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446331423#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200
  36. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354786487#!/compare/1590624000/1590796800
  37. Untrace
  38.  
  39. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354786487#!/compare/1592092800/1593129600
  40. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800
  41. Sold for 2 keys and 11 ref. Lower than buyers, excluding.
  42.  
  43. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1594944000/1595030400
  44. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1593907200/1595376000
  45. Untrace
  46.  
  47. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1595376000/1595721600
  48. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600
  49. Untrace
  50.  
  51. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
  52. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000
  53. Sold to bot buy orders
  54.  
  55. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/6011349724[/b]
  56. Marketplace
  57.  
  58. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/5302961195[/b]
  59. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400
  60. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068634500#!/compare/1583971200/1594684800
  61. SCM?
  62.  
  63. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/5143045464[/b]
  64. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140718797#!/compare/1585958400/1592092800
  65. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800
  66. Probs qs, only can trace a cosmetic
  67.  
  68. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/4852882006[/b]
  69. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054191816#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600
  70. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846789568#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200
  71. Untrace
  72.  
  73. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846789568#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000
  74. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352457232#!/compare/1591920000/1592006400
  75. Untrace
  76.  
  77. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352457232#!/compare/1592784000/1592956800
  78. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000
  79. Untrace
  80.  
  81. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1594944000/1595030400
  82. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1594944000/1595116800
  83. Untrace
  84.  
  85. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/4025183135[/b]
  86. Bot buy order and marketplace transfers
  87.  
  88. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/3073226480[/b]
  89. Marketplace
  90.  
  91. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2907030106[/b]
  92. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198968412423#!/compare/1589068800/1589673600
  93. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230154020#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000
  94. Bulk for orbiting planets lhomme burger.
  95.  
  96. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230154020#!/compare/1590796800/1591228800
  97. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800
  98. Bot buy orders, lower than current buyers
  99.  
  100. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1595030400/1595376000
  101. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600
  102. Bulk and untrace
  103.  
  104. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2948409657[/b]
  105. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028064416#!/compare/1591401600/1591660800
  106. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094679687#!/compare/1590192000/1591488000
  107. Untrace
  108.  
  109. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094679687#!/compare/1591488000/1597276800
  110. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
  111. Untrace
  112.  
  113. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400
  114. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133830671#!/compare/1547078400/1592956800
  115. Untrace
  116.  
  117. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2842470526[/b]
  118. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299040854#!/compare/1592352000/1596240000
  119. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1592352000/1596153600
  120. Untrace
  121.  
  122. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2801049330[/b]
  123. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199298697#!/compare/1593216000/1594339200
  124. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1593216000/1594339200
  125. Bot buy order sale
  126.  
  127. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1595203200/1595289600
  128. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192494651#!/compare/1594598400/1595462400
  129. Untrace
  130.  
  131. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192494651#!/compare/1595462400/1596153600
  132. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051942537#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000
  133. Untrace
  134.  
  135. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051942537#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
  136. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142733199#!/compare/1596412800/1596412800/nearest
  137. Untrace
  138.  
  139. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2800322152[/b]
  140. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000
  141. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360112360#!/compare/1575504000/1591833600
  142. untrace
  143.  
  144. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2709528522[/b]
  145. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066171590#!/compare/1590969600/1591920000
  146. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600
  147. Sold for 2 keys to bot
  148.  
  149. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1593043200/1593561600
  150. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079397106#!/compare/1593475200/1593820800
  151. Untrace
  152.  
  153. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2697287331[/b]
  154. Bot buy order and transfers
  155.  
  156. [b]https://backpack.tf/item/2696268159[/b]
  157. Scrap.tf transfer
  158.  
  159. [b]Marketplace sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1117;5;u3001[/b]
  160. Sales:
  161. 3 x 3.30 keys
  162. 1 x 3.15 keys
  163. 2 x 3.2 keys
  164. 1 x 3.05 keys
  165. 1 x 3.1 keys
  166. 3 x 3.0 keys
  167. [s]1 x 2.2 keys[/s]
  168. 4 x 2.65 keys
  169. 3 x 3.25 keys
  170.  
  171. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  172. Xergoyf:
  173. Bot.tf sales:
  174. Buys: (roughly since key prices varied a bit)
  175. 7x @ 2.3
  176. 7x @ 2.4
  177. Sales
  178. 4x @ 3.6
  179. 3x @ 3.65
  180. = total sales:
  181. 2.2
  182. 2.3 (x7)
  183. 2.4 (x7)
  184. 2.6 (x4)
  185. 2.65 (x7)
  186.  
  187. Sellers over time
  188. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX3W870
  189. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79RK36L
  190. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79X7KV9
  191. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRGV8QR
  192. https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4668LL30
  193. There have been consistently multiple sellers under 3, I dont think the mp.tf market represents the normal item market here so I would just throw those out and go 2.3 - 2.65.
  194.  
  195. That makes sense.
  196. Taking 2.3 - 2.65
  197.  
  198.  
  199.  
  200.  
  201.  
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