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- AK :
- Trump: 48.32084% vote share, 76.40% win prob
- Clinton: 40.87356% vote share, 23.54% win prob
- AL :
- Trump: 58.17918% vote share, 99.93% win prob
- Clinton: 35.83019% vote share, 00.07% win prob
- AR :
- Trump: 56.96626% vote share, 99.62% win prob
- Clinton: 36.29233% vote share, 00.37% win prob
- AZ :
- Trump: 47.60696% vote share, 66.58% win prob
- Clinton: 45.38638% vote share, 33.41% win prob
- CA :
- Trump: 35.52779% vote share, 00.04% win prob
- Clinton: 58.45205% vote share, 99.95% win prob
- CO :
- Trump: 43.62856% vote share, 22.45% win prob
- Clinton: 47.67816% vote share, 77.53% win prob
- CT :
- Trump: 40.16638% vote share, 02.71% win prob
- Clinton: 52.83242% vote share, 97.28% win prob
- DE :
- Trump: 40.38113% vote share, 08.54% win prob
- Clinton: 52.85846% vote share, 91.46% win prob
- FL :
- Trump: 47.46051% vote share, 44.91% win prob
- Clinton: 48.11794% vote share, 55.08% win prob
- GA :
- Trump: 49.53388% vote share, 79.08% win prob
- Clinton: 45.51072% vote share, 20.91% win prob
- HI :
- Trump: 34.10622% vote share, 01.13% win prob
- Clinton: 57.85536% vote share, 98.87% win prob
- IA :
- Trump: 47.97918% vote share, 69.77% win prob
- Clinton: 45.07723% vote share, 30.21% win prob
- ID :
- Trump: 55.50050% vote share, 99.05% win prob
- Clinton: 35.92774% vote share, 00.94% win prob
- IL :
- Trump: 40.67696% vote share, 01.71% win prob
- Clinton: 53.62693% vote share, 98.29% win prob
- IN :
- Trump: 51.97892% vote share, 97.47% win prob
- Clinton: 40.41080% vote share, 02.52% win prob
- KS :
- Trump: 51.53914% vote share, 97.29% win prob
- Clinton: 39.00532% vote share, 02.69% win prob
- KY :
- Trump: 56.08235% vote share, 99.61% win prob
- Clinton: 37.88644% vote share, 00.39% win prob
- LA :
- Trump: 55.54961% vote share, 99.46% win prob
- Clinton: 39.40200% vote share, 00.54% win prob
- MA :
- Trump: 34.60018% vote share, 00.08% win prob
- Clinton: 57.98075% vote share, 99.91% win prob
- MD :
- Trump: 34.14972% vote share, 00.03% win prob
- Clinton: 59.83384% vote share, 99.96% win prob
- ME :
- Trump: 42.04337% vote share, 17.34% win prob
- Clinton: 49.47904% vote share, 82.63% win prob
- ME1 :
- Trump: 39.09728% vote share, 08.45% win prob
- Clinton: 52.95895% vote share, 91.53% win prob
- ME2 :
- Trump: 45.28049% vote share, 49.03% win prob
- Clinton: 45.64745% vote share, 50.93% win prob
- MI :
- Trump: 44.19136% vote share, 21.09% win prob
- Clinton: 48.37770% vote share, 78.90% win prob
- MN :
- Trump: 43.14677% vote share, 14.95% win prob
- Clinton: 48.93555% vote share, 85.04% win prob
- MO :
- Trump: 51.44466% vote share, 96.12% win prob
- Clinton: 41.37880% vote share, 03.88% win prob
- MS :
- Trump: 54.45816% vote share, 97.81% win prob
- Clinton: 41.39882% vote share, 02.19% win prob
- MT :
- Trump: 52.07240% vote share, 95.86% win prob
- Clinton: 37.08315% vote share, 04.10% win prob
- NC :
- Trump: 47.50283% vote share, 44.48% win prob
- Clinton: 48.18854% vote share, 55.52% win prob
- ND :
- Trump: 57.16013% vote share, 97.69% win prob
- Clinton: 34.07969% vote share, 02.30% win prob
- NE :
- Trump: 54.35692% vote share, 97.67% win prob
- Clinton: 36.53121% vote share, 02.31% win prob
- NE1 :
- Trump: 52.95132% vote share, 89.32% win prob
- Clinton: 37.46636% vote share, 10.66% win prob
- NE2 :
- Trump: 47.25186% vote share, 55.79% win prob
- Clinton: 45.48741% vote share, 44.19% win prob
- NE3 :
- Trump: 62.79039% vote share, 99.17% win prob
- Clinton: 26.67341% vote share, 00.81% win prob
- NH :
- Trump: 43.92591% vote share, 30.24% win prob
- Clinton: 47.50506% vote share, 69.75% win prob
- NJ :
- Trump: 41.98124% vote share, 03.11% win prob
- Clinton: 53.50215% vote share, 96.89% win prob
- NM :
- Trump: 39.87109% vote share, 17.20% win prob
- Clinton: 45.65428% vote share, 82.57% win prob
- NV :
- Trump: 45.88834% vote share, 41.73% win prob
- Clinton: 47.06956% vote share, 58.27% win prob
- NY :
- Trump: 37.76130% vote share, 00.22% win prob
- Clinton: 56.77995% vote share, 99.78% win prob
- OH :
- Trump: 47.65876% vote share, 64.59% win prob
- Clinton: 45.78414% vote share, 35.39% win prob
- OK :
- Trump: 59.16284% vote share, 99.95% win prob
- Clinton: 33.20357% vote share, 00.04% win prob
- OR :
- Trump: 41.77312% vote share, 06.30% win prob
- Clinton: 50.92733% vote share, 93.69% win prob
- PA :
- Trump: 45.23409% vote share, 22.95% win prob
- Clinton: 48.93459% vote share, 77.05% win prob
- RI :
- Trump: 39.56375% vote share, 06.79% win prob
- Clinton: 53.97367% vote share, 93.20% win prob
- SC :
- Trump: 50.79250% vote share, 89.74% win prob
- Clinton: 43.83046% vote share, 10.25% win prob
- SD :
- Trump: 52.98920% vote share, 93.86% win prob
- Clinton: 37.48422% vote share, 06.11% win prob
- TN :
- Trump: 53.09438% vote share, 97.34% win prob
- Clinton: 41.13668% vote share, 02.66% win prob
- TX :
- Trump: 51.03875% vote share, 93.95% win prob
- Clinton: 42.47507% vote share, 06.04% win prob
- UT :
- Trump: 37.28674% vote share, 83.17% win prob
- Clinton: 26.74410% vote share, 03.31% win prob
- VA :
- Trump: 44.28180% vote share, 14.49% win prob
- Clinton: 49.84831% vote share, 85.50% win prob
- VT :
- Trump: 32.76051% vote share, 01.93% win prob
- Clinton: 60.21048% vote share, 98.06% win prob
- WA :
- Trump: 39.92418% vote share, 01.64% win prob
- Clinton: 53.21793% vote share, 98.36% win prob
- WI :
- Trump: 44.26560% vote share, 16.46% win prob
- Clinton: 49.59468% vote share, 83.53% win prob
- WV :
- Trump: 59.83099% vote share, 99.72% win prob
- Clinton: 33.30486% vote share, 00.27% win prob
- WY :
- Trump: 62.35849% vote share, 98.92% win prob
- Clinton: 27.40339% vote share, 01.06% win prob
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