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- probability of this happening with normal coin = 1/1024
- probability of this happening with double coin = 1
- Total probability of it happening = 0.999*(1/1024) + 0.001*1 = 0.00197558593
- Out of this total probability, the component due to normal coin= 0.999*(1/1024)
- due to double headed coin: 0.001*1
- Probability the coin is normal = (0.999*(1/1024)) / 0.00197558593 = 0.49382105971
- Probability the coin is double = (0.001*1) / 0.00197558593 = 0.50617894408
- Chance of getting heads again = (0.49382105971 / 2) + 0.50617894408
- = 0.75308947393
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