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Jan 2nd, 2014
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  1. probability of this happening with normal coin = 1/1024
  2. probability of this happening with double coin = 1
  3.  
  4. Total probability of it happening = 0.999*(1/1024) + 0.001*1 = 0.00197558593
  5. Out of this total probability, the component due to normal coin= 0.999*(1/1024)
  6. due to double headed coin: 0.001*1
  7.  
  8. Probability the coin is normal = (0.999*(1/1024)) / 0.00197558593 = 0.49382105971
  9. Probability the coin is double = (0.001*1) / 0.00197558593 = 0.50617894408
  10.  
  11. Chance of getting heads again = (0.49382105971 / 2) + 0.50617894408
  12.  
  13. = 0.75308947393
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